The numbers in paraenthesis are the genesis of the 2009 season, from my preseason 09 list (2/7/09), to the list prior to this one (8/18/09). See who gained/lost in my eyes. This will be my final 2009 ranking.
The lists were as follows: 2/7 (top 30), 5/17 (top 20), 6/6 (top 30), 8/18 (top 60), 1/8 (this one, written on 11/8 - top 20)
1. OF Fernando Martinez (1): Made his MLB debut, showed off some of the tools which have been talked about many times in scouting reports, plus some which weren't expected (good speed, good defense in CF). Was injured in a freak slip&fall in Milwaukee, posted a really good line in AAA. Should open 2010 back in Buffalo
2. RHSP Jenrry Mejia (9,4,4,2): Blew through St. Lucie, had mixed results in AA, and a poor line in the AFL (but his K/9 and GOFO was off the charts good in Zona). Should open 2010 back in Binghamton
3. SS Wilmer Flores (2,2,2,3): After posting a composite .307/.347/.468/.815 line over 280 ABs last year, some were expecting big things out of the 17/18 year old this season, but they didn't materialize, as he hit just .264/.305/.332/.637 over 488 ABs. He probably should repeat Savannah at age 18/19, but chances are he opens 2010 in St. Lucie
4. 1B Ike Davis (15,11,14,5): Davis shut me up something fierce this season, I'd made it very well known I did not like him one bit, but a composite .298/.381/.524/.906 line with 20 HR and 31 2b between St. Lucie and Binghamton vault him into the top 5 of Met prospects. He should open 2010 in Buffalo, after hitting .341/.394/.565/.958 in Arizona.
5. RHSP Brad Holt (5,5,5,4): Holt apparently is in the doghouse for skipping Instructs, but outside of the off the field stuff, his on the field performance left much to be desired. While he did post a 3.12 in St. Lucie, he struggled mightily in AA, with a 6.21 era, and just 45 Ks in 58 innings, after posting 54 Ks in 43.1 St. Lucie innings. His secondary pitches need improvement if he is to remain a starter. He should open 2010 back in Binghamton.
6. RHSP Kyle Allen (20,14,30,10): Allen isn't well known, but I predict that by this time next year, he will be, so while ranking him 6th is a reach right now, I like being ahead of the curve. Allen features a fastball in the 92-95 range, with a good low to mid 80s changeup, and a mid 80s slider. He posted a 3.45 in Savannah, but if you subtract out his April (7.47), his ERA plummets to 2.87 over 109.2 innings. He should open 2010 in St. Lucie, but there exists a good possibility he ends the year in Binghamton, then visits Arizona.
7. SS Reese Havens (7,6,6,7) Havens had a fine season in 2009, with a 247/361/422/784 line, supressed by a very low BABIP, in the pitcher friendly FSL. Havens began making the transition to 2b in Arizona, where he hit 368/478/658/1136 in 38 ABs, and should either be outright playing 2b in 2010, or flip-flopping there with Ruben Tejada (who shouldn't be in Buffalo).
8. OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis (UNR,UNR,17,11) Nieuwenhuis, until early July, was a disappointment, but from July 8th to September 2nd, he totally exploded, hitting .340/.411/.602/1.013 in 206 ABs, and earning a promotion to Binghamton, where he should spend most (if not all) of 2010 as a 22 year old. Nieuwenhuis is a 5 tool prospect, though you don't hear much about him, you will. During his torrid streak, his BB/K was a solid 24/48, even though his overall BB/K was nothing special.
9. LHSP Jon Niese (3,8,8,8) Niese posted a sub 1 era in Buffalo over a 8 start span, got promoted, was pitching well, them succumbed to the black death which afflicted so many other Mets in 2009. Featuring a refined arsenal, including a cutter, Niese looked poised to grab a permanent rotation spot and run with it, but it was not to be. He comes into 2010 (if 100% healthy) as the favorite for the 5th SP job.
10. C Josh Thole (8,7,7,6) Thole is as Thole does. A+, AA, MLB, VWL, it doesn't matter. Thole hits. The only question about him is defense, and he threw out ~30% of basestealers in AA this year, though at last check, he was 1 for 19 in the VWL. Thole, solely based on his defense, should open 2010 in Buffalo. It will be a rare case where whatever he does offensively will (or should) mean considerably less then what he does defensively.
11. RHSP Jeurys Familia (19,9,9,9)
12. SS Ruben Tejada (21,UNR,11,12)
13. RHSP Scott Moviel (12,17,15,24)
14. LHSP Robert Carson (14,10,10,13)
15. 3B Zach Lutz (UNR,UNR,26,14)
16. RHP Brant Rustich (22,3,3,21)
17. OF Cesar Puello (29,UNR,37,15)
18. LHSP Steven Matz (16)
19. LHSP Juan Urbina (17)
20. LHSP Zach Dotson (18)
Showing posts with label Tejesh. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tejesh. Show all posts
Friday, January 08, 2010
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Post Draft Signing Top 60 Prospects
Numbers in paraenthesis are my last official rankings. My next prospect list will be the final one for the 2009 season, sometime in November.
1. OF Fernando Martinez (1)
2. RHSP Jenrry Mejia (4)
3. SS Wilmer Flores (2)
4. RHSP Brad Holt (5)
5. 1B Ike Davis (14)
6. C Josh Thole (7)
7. SS Reese Havens (6)
8. LHSP Jon Niese (8)
9. RHSP Jeurys Familia (9)
10. RHSP Kyle Allen (30)
11. OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis (17)
12. SS Ruben Tejada (11)
13. LHSP Robert Carson (10)
14. 3B Zach Lutz (26)
15. OF Cesar Puello (37)
16. LHSP Steven Matz
17. LHSP Juan Urbina
18. LHSP Zach Dotson
19. 2B Jordany Valdespin (22) Note: He needs to get his head out of his anal cavaty, he's got all the talent in the world...
20. 1B Lucas Duda (21)
21. RHSP Brant Rustich (3) Note: His stuff is unparalled in the system, but his history of arm injuries renders him a complete wild card, and as such, I cannot justify a ranking in the top 10 anymore. Make no mistake, on pure stuff alone, he's a top 5 prospect, injuries rob him.
22. OF Brahiam Maldonado
23. RHSP Dillon Gee (13) Note: Torn labrums are nothing to take lightly, and that is the injury Gee's suffered from this year. He's opted for rest and rehab in lieu of surgery, so his status is completely up in the air, hence the low ranking. Prior to the injury, he was a good bet to make a few starts in the majors as a command and control guy.
24. RHSP Scott Moviel (15)
25. 3B Richard Lucas (41)
26. 2B Alonzo Harris (32)
27. C Nelfi Zapata
28. C Francisco Pena (18)
29. SS Robbie Shields
30. RHSP Eric Beaulac (20)
31. OF Darrell Ceciliani
32. 3B Jefry Marte
33. LHSP Eric Niesen (24)
34. RHSP Nick Carr (12) Note: See Rustich, Brant
35. LHSP Angel Calero
36. RHRP Eddie Kunz (23)
37. OF ZeErika Hall
38. 3B Shawn Bowman
39. 1B/3B Stefan Welch (43)
40. Camden Maron
41. RHSP Elvin Ramirez (16) Note: For the second straight season, Ramirez suffered an injury around the 75 inning mark, perhaps signalling he's a future reliever? He's got one of the best sinkers in the system, and tops out around 95,96, so he could be a nasty reliever.
42. OF Javier Rodriguez (38)
43. LHP Jim Fuller (49)
44. 3B Aderlin Rodriguez (33)
45. Julio Concepcion
46. RHSP Eduardo Aldama
47. 2B Hector Pellot (39)
48. C Dock Doyle (40)
49. C Ralph Henriquez
50. RHSP Tobi Stoner
51. RHSP Armando Rodriguez
52. RHSP Scott Shaw
53. RHSP Phillips Orta
54. RHSP John Holdzkom
55. OF Pedro Zapata
56. RHRP Stephen Clyne
57. LHSP Michael Antonini
58. OF/2B Emmanuel Garcia
59. OF Rafael Fernandez
60. RHSP Cole Abbott
1. OF Fernando Martinez (1)
2. RHSP Jenrry Mejia (4)
3. SS Wilmer Flores (2)
4. RHSP Brad Holt (5)
5. 1B Ike Davis (14)
6. C Josh Thole (7)
7. SS Reese Havens (6)
8. LHSP Jon Niese (8)
9. RHSP Jeurys Familia (9)
10. RHSP Kyle Allen (30)
11. OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis (17)
12. SS Ruben Tejada (11)
13. LHSP Robert Carson (10)
14. 3B Zach Lutz (26)
15. OF Cesar Puello (37)
16. LHSP Steven Matz
17. LHSP Juan Urbina
18. LHSP Zach Dotson
19. 2B Jordany Valdespin (22) Note: He needs to get his head out of his anal cavaty, he's got all the talent in the world...
20. 1B Lucas Duda (21)
21. RHSP Brant Rustich (3) Note: His stuff is unparalled in the system, but his history of arm injuries renders him a complete wild card, and as such, I cannot justify a ranking in the top 10 anymore. Make no mistake, on pure stuff alone, he's a top 5 prospect, injuries rob him.
22. OF Brahiam Maldonado
23. RHSP Dillon Gee (13) Note: Torn labrums are nothing to take lightly, and that is the injury Gee's suffered from this year. He's opted for rest and rehab in lieu of surgery, so his status is completely up in the air, hence the low ranking. Prior to the injury, he was a good bet to make a few starts in the majors as a command and control guy.
24. RHSP Scott Moviel (15)
25. 3B Richard Lucas (41)
26. 2B Alonzo Harris (32)
27. C Nelfi Zapata
28. C Francisco Pena (18)
29. SS Robbie Shields
30. RHSP Eric Beaulac (20)
31. OF Darrell Ceciliani
32. 3B Jefry Marte
33. LHSP Eric Niesen (24)
34. RHSP Nick Carr (12) Note: See Rustich, Brant
35. LHSP Angel Calero
36. RHRP Eddie Kunz (23)
37. OF ZeErika Hall
38. 3B Shawn Bowman
39. 1B/3B Stefan Welch (43)
40. Camden Maron
41. RHSP Elvin Ramirez (16) Note: For the second straight season, Ramirez suffered an injury around the 75 inning mark, perhaps signalling he's a future reliever? He's got one of the best sinkers in the system, and tops out around 95,96, so he could be a nasty reliever.
42. OF Javier Rodriguez (38)
43. LHP Jim Fuller (49)
44. 3B Aderlin Rodriguez (33)
45. Julio Concepcion
46. RHSP Eduardo Aldama
47. 2B Hector Pellot (39)
48. C Dock Doyle (40)
49. C Ralph Henriquez
50. RHSP Tobi Stoner
51. RHSP Armando Rodriguez
52. RHSP Scott Shaw
53. RHSP Phillips Orta
54. RHSP John Holdzkom
55. OF Pedro Zapata
56. RHRP Stephen Clyne
57. LHSP Michael Antonini
58. OF/2B Emmanuel Garcia
59. OF Rafael Fernandez
60. RHSP Cole Abbott
Monday, July 27, 2009
2009 MPH Midseason Report!
The 2009 MetsProspectHub Midseason Report!
The Mets farm system has been much maligned lately, with some people insinuating that the individual teams records actually has something to do with the quality of prospects on those teams. That might be the most laughable notion I've ever heard (right up there with trading Reyes because his .355 OBP = immaturity, and trading Beltran for someone with more "grit" - boy we've had some gems this season, huh?).
As of this writing, the Sand Gnats record is 51-46, good for 3rd in their division, 1.5 games behind Greeneville (Red Sox) for first place. They may have the strongest prospect core in the Mets system, with top prospects Wilmer Flores (he who looks like a teenager because...coincidently, he is a teenager), Jefry Marte (he's also a teenager) headlining a pretty good offense, along with lessor prospects Jordany Valdespin (injured; hammy), Raul Reyes, and Eric Campbell. Kyle Allen (teenager), Robert Carson, Elvin Ramirez (injured; tendon), Eric Beaulac and Jeurys Familia (teenager) form one of the best prospect/pitching rotations in the minor leagues.
The ringer laden Cyclones lead their division by 3 games over Staten Island with a 22-11 record, but very few actual prospects exist here. Sam Honeck, an 11th round pick out of Tulane (where Jamie Bruno is going, incidently), is off to a rip roaring start, hitting .320/.373 over his first 25 games (albeit with just 3 doubles). Nick Santomauro, a 10th rounder out of Dartmouth, is hitting .260/.403/.400 in 18 games. All other quasi-prospects are all floundering, with Ralph Henriquez (.208), Nick Giarraputo (.185), Juan Centeno (.179), Luis Nieves (.167) struggling to hit at or over the Mendoza line. Through 28 ABs, 3rd rounder Robbie Shields is hitting a lusty .107. The pitching staff is led by 23 year old Brandon Moore with a 1.32 era. Again, very few prospects exist, with Mark Cohoon being one of the few (2.48 era).
Down in Kingsport, the Mets are 10-19, all due to allowing 7.24 runs per game on average (210 runs in 29 games). Offensively, the Mets are a dynamic power laden team, with 2b Alonzo Harris having 7 HR, leading the team. Darrell Ceciliani (4th round, Columbia Basin) is off to a very good start, hitting .301/.393/.452 in 73 ABs. Kingsport is laden with good hitting prospects, most of them being actually age/level appropriate. Pedro Zapata is a speed burner who is hitting .339, with 5 steals in 6 tries (17 games). Harris is 20, Ceciliani 19. Cesar Puello is 17, hitting .263, though with a fugly 1/25 BB/K ratio. Pitching wise, it is largely an older staff, though they have gotten younger with the additions of Jhonathan Torres and Yohan Almonte from the GCL team. They've largely been ineffective, but there are people to keep an eye on. Besides the aforementioned, Eduardo Aldama is just 19, and shows good GB tendencies (1.82). Angel Cuan, who dominated the VSL last summer, is finding life stateside much more difficult, but his last outing was his best of the season.
So the conclusion? The Mets have several very very intriguing prospects in the lower levels of the farm system, going simply by record and dismissing all else is a very dubious, very poor way of judging a farm system.
Tejesh's Top 15:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Wilmer Flores
3. Jenrry Mejia
4. Brad Holt
5. Brant Rustich
6. Jon Niese
7. Josh Thole
8. Reese Havens
9. Robert Carson
10. Kyle Allen
11. Jeurys Familia
12. Ike Davis
13. Ruben Tejada
14. Nick Carr
15. Dillon Gee
David's Top 11:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Jenrry Mejia
3. Brad Holt
4. Wilmer Flores
5. Jon Niese
6. Ike Davis
7. Jeurys Familia
8. Reese Havens
9. Jefry Marte
10. Robert Carson
11. Ruben Tejada
The Man's Top 11:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Jenrry Mejia
3. Wilmer Flores
4. Brad Holt
5. Ike Davis
6. Jon Niese
7. Robert Carson
8. Jeurys Familia
9. Ruben Tejada.
10. Josh Thole
11. Eric Beaulac
MPH Mid-Season Awards
*Note: I (Tejesh) wanted to stay away from the sexy buzzword prospects, which both David and The Man have covered very well in this section, so my choices for these categories will be a bit off the beaten track.
1. Most Improved Prospect:
Tejesh: Josh Thole
David: Jenrry Mejia and Ike Davis(tie)
The Man: Ruben Tejada
2. Biggest Disappointment:
Tejesh: Brahiam Maldonado
David: Michael Antonini
The Man: Reese Havens
3. Most Impressive:
Tejesh: Alonzo Harris
David: Jenrry Mejia
The Man: Jenrry Mejia
4. Don't sleep on..
Tejesh: Stefan Welch
David: Zach Lutz, and Aderlin Rodriguez
The Man: Eric Beaulac
5. I'd Never Heard of Him Before:
Tejesh: Jordany Valdespin (and may never again, lol)
David: Yohan Almonte
The Man: Jeurys Familia
6. To early to call a bust?
Tejesh: Francisco Pena (as much as I personally dislike him)
David: Jefry Marte and Francisco Pena(tie)
The Man: Fransisco Pena
The Mets farm system has been much maligned lately, with some people insinuating that the individual teams records actually has something to do with the quality of prospects on those teams. That might be the most laughable notion I've ever heard (right up there with trading Reyes because his .355 OBP = immaturity, and trading Beltran for someone with more "grit" - boy we've had some gems this season, huh?).
As of this writing, the Sand Gnats record is 51-46, good for 3rd in their division, 1.5 games behind Greeneville (Red Sox) for first place. They may have the strongest prospect core in the Mets system, with top prospects Wilmer Flores (he who looks like a teenager because...coincidently, he is a teenager), Jefry Marte (he's also a teenager) headlining a pretty good offense, along with lessor prospects Jordany Valdespin (injured; hammy), Raul Reyes, and Eric Campbell. Kyle Allen (teenager), Robert Carson, Elvin Ramirez (injured; tendon), Eric Beaulac and Jeurys Familia (teenager) form one of the best prospect/pitching rotations in the minor leagues.
The ringer laden Cyclones lead their division by 3 games over Staten Island with a 22-11 record, but very few actual prospects exist here. Sam Honeck, an 11th round pick out of Tulane (where Jamie Bruno is going, incidently), is off to a rip roaring start, hitting .320/.373 over his first 25 games (albeit with just 3 doubles). Nick Santomauro, a 10th rounder out of Dartmouth, is hitting .260/.403/.400 in 18 games. All other quasi-prospects are all floundering, with Ralph Henriquez (.208), Nick Giarraputo (.185), Juan Centeno (.179), Luis Nieves (.167) struggling to hit at or over the Mendoza line. Through 28 ABs, 3rd rounder Robbie Shields is hitting a lusty .107. The pitching staff is led by 23 year old Brandon Moore with a 1.32 era. Again, very few prospects exist, with Mark Cohoon being one of the few (2.48 era).
Down in Kingsport, the Mets are 10-19, all due to allowing 7.24 runs per game on average (210 runs in 29 games). Offensively, the Mets are a dynamic power laden team, with 2b Alonzo Harris having 7 HR, leading the team. Darrell Ceciliani (4th round, Columbia Basin) is off to a very good start, hitting .301/.393/.452 in 73 ABs. Kingsport is laden with good hitting prospects, most of them being actually age/level appropriate. Pedro Zapata is a speed burner who is hitting .339, with 5 steals in 6 tries (17 games). Harris is 20, Ceciliani 19. Cesar Puello is 17, hitting .263, though with a fugly 1/25 BB/K ratio. Pitching wise, it is largely an older staff, though they have gotten younger with the additions of Jhonathan Torres and Yohan Almonte from the GCL team. They've largely been ineffective, but there are people to keep an eye on. Besides the aforementioned, Eduardo Aldama is just 19, and shows good GB tendencies (1.82). Angel Cuan, who dominated the VSL last summer, is finding life stateside much more difficult, but his last outing was his best of the season.
So the conclusion? The Mets have several very very intriguing prospects in the lower levels of the farm system, going simply by record and dismissing all else is a very dubious, very poor way of judging a farm system.
Tejesh's Top 15:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Wilmer Flores
3. Jenrry Mejia
4. Brad Holt
5. Brant Rustich
6. Jon Niese
7. Josh Thole
8. Reese Havens
9. Robert Carson
10. Kyle Allen
11. Jeurys Familia
12. Ike Davis
13. Ruben Tejada
14. Nick Carr
15. Dillon Gee
David's Top 11:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Jenrry Mejia
3. Brad Holt
4. Wilmer Flores
5. Jon Niese
6. Ike Davis
7. Jeurys Familia
8. Reese Havens
9. Jefry Marte
10. Robert Carson
11. Ruben Tejada
The Man's Top 11:
1. Fernando Martinez
2. Jenrry Mejia
3. Wilmer Flores
4. Brad Holt
5. Ike Davis
6. Jon Niese
7. Robert Carson
8. Jeurys Familia
9. Ruben Tejada.
10. Josh Thole
11. Eric Beaulac
MPH Mid-Season Awards
*Note: I (Tejesh) wanted to stay away from the sexy buzzword prospects, which both David and The Man have covered very well in this section, so my choices for these categories will be a bit off the beaten track.
1. Most Improved Prospect:
Tejesh: Josh Thole
David: Jenrry Mejia and Ike Davis(tie)
The Man: Ruben Tejada
2. Biggest Disappointment:
Tejesh: Brahiam Maldonado
David: Michael Antonini
The Man: Reese Havens
3. Most Impressive:
Tejesh: Alonzo Harris
David: Jenrry Mejia
The Man: Jenrry Mejia
4. Don't sleep on..
Tejesh: Stefan Welch
David: Zach Lutz, and Aderlin Rodriguez
The Man: Eric Beaulac
5. I'd Never Heard of Him Before:
Tejesh: Jordany Valdespin (and may never again, lol)
David: Yohan Almonte
The Man: Jeurys Familia
6. To early to call a bust?
Tejesh: Francisco Pena (as much as I personally dislike him)
David: Jefry Marte and Francisco Pena(tie)
The Man: Fransisco Pena
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Revisiting my Preseason Top 30...
My preseason top 30, comments in parathesis, the grade following my comments is the grade I feel he's earned this season
1. Fernando Martinez OF (performed very well in AAA, flashed signs in the majors, solid BB/K, line drive hitter, injured again, though) B
2. Wilmer Flores SS (After, I'll say it, a very subpar April (.296/.676) and May (.235/.600), Wilmer's turned it on in June (.309/.766) and July (.310/.741), hitting around .310 with solid K numbers (17 in 165 ABs) after 24 in 158 April+May ABs with a .260 average, needs to show some power (but the average is damn impressive) B+
3. Jon Niese LHSP (after a disasterous first half, Jon's pitching to a 0.96 era in his last 8 starts, the best stretch of his pro career) B-
4. Danirl Murphy 3B/2B/1B/LF (started the season in LF, looked lost, moved to 1b, looks great. The bat hasn't come around as we'd hoped, he looks lost and in between at the plate, but he's been jerked around by Jerry, so it's not totally Daniel's fault.) C-
5. Brad Holt RHSP (Outside of his season debut, Holt dominated high A and made it to AA in his first full season. Has performed respectably in AA, again, removing his worst start, reports on his secondaries have been good) B
6. Nick Evans LF/1B (Yeesh. Was demoted to EXT then AA after hitting .096 in AAA (yes, .096). Performed decently in the majors, and has been...better upon his return to AAA (.227/.261/.273/.534 (22 ABs)) D
7. Reese Havens SS (severe disappointment, fell into a deep slump in high A, then got hurt) D
8. Josh Thole C/1B (Thole keeps on doing what Thole does. High average, high on base, acceptable pop (22 2b). Reports of his defense improving enhance his stock, and it's more a matter of him being passed by higher ceiling prospects then slippage that he'll likely end the year outside of my top 10) B+
9. Jenrry Mejia RHSP (flat out dominated high A at 19, made it to AA, performance was more mixed, then got hurt. Has HUGE upside, jumped 6 spots in my midseason rankings) A
10. Jefry Marte 3B (has been flat out awful on both sides of the ball, is making a 2 level jump at 17/18, hitting MUCH better in July (.296/.350/.446/.796), still on pace for 50 errors (he's got 35)) C+
11. Bobby Parnell RHP (has spent the entire season in the majors, has been hit or miss, flashes a wickedly plus fastball (96-100), inconsistent secondaries (slider, changeup), could probably use time in the minors/winter league to refine his secondaries) C+
12. Scott Moviel RHSP (tore his knee meniscus twice, hasn't pitched well since returning, but it's only 4 starts in St. Lucie) INC
13. Dillon Gee RHSP (was pitching decently in AAA before getting hurt, labrum tear severely clouds his future, which at best was a Greg Maddux lite) INC
14. Robert Carson LHSP (Has performed extremely well, outside of a 2 start + 1 inning span (4/24, awful first, good 5 after), totalling just 5.1 innings, he's pitched to a 3.15 RA, a 1.43 era, and a 7-4 record) A
15. Ike Davis 1B (Davis is shutting me up something fierce, huh? I've made my disdain for Davis well known, and Davis is doing nothing but performing, with 12 HR and 23 2b split between high A and AA. He's only got a .563 OPS against LHP, so he needs to improve that markedly, but his 1.015 against RHP is extremely impressive) A
16. Francisco Pena C (Pena's made some strides this season (12/48 BB/K, vs a 25/95 last year, .190 K rate this year, vs .239 last year, there are some who would tell you the high contact rate points to an imminent breakout, I'm not sure, but then again, to be fair, I've never been a Pena fan, either, and his July (.905 OPS, best month of his pro career) certainly backs up the prediction of a breakout) C
17. Eddie Kunz RHRP (yeah, I ranked my 3 "disdains" in a row, lol. Kunz has been largely pedestrian in his first full season in AAA, posting a 4.08 era, and slipping 6 spots in my midseason rankings (to 23). Again, to be fair, Kunz' season is largely a product of 4-5 very ill-placed appearances where he's been bombed out of existance (3+ runs). And as we know, one appearance of 4 runs in an inning can KILL an ERA for weeks and months. Still, AAA lefties are hitting .267 with a .360 OBP, while righties are hitting just .176 against him) C-
18. Michael Antonini LHSP (we knew Owen would flame out in AA, I, personally, had some hope Antonini wouldn't go down the same path, but he has. His season tanked his ranking, he's in the mid 40s, easily the largest drop on my preseason list (except for Nathan Vineyard). Antonini's allowing AA lefties to hit .269 against him, while righties are hitting .308, so even a role as a LOOGY looks like a longshot at this point) F
19. Jeurys Familia RHSP (his stock has risen considerably this season, he's jumped up 10 spots from this ranking to 9th overall (though I may be tweaking that post 8/15). Still, Familia at age 19 is dominating the Sally League, with 1.47 GO/FO and 91 Ks in 106 innings. Familia is 55 innings above his career high, a cautionary note if his performance were to slip from here) A
20. Kyle Allen RHSP (Allen was only ranked here because I didn't have good information on him, the same reason he was 30th in my predraft top 50, right now, he would be in the top 15 for sure. Outside of an awful 7.5 era April, Allen's pitched to a 3 era this season, and had 72 Ks in 86 innings, with an extremely good 2.31 GO/FO) B
21. Ruben Tejada SS (Considering his age (19), and his putrid performance in high A last year (.229/.293/.296/.588) it would've been very easy to write off Tejada for 2009 as well, after learning he was going to open in Binghamton. Indeed, Tejada hit just .222/.347/.286 in April, but from 5/1 on, Tejada's been extremely impressive, hitting around .292/.341/.374 in 250 ABs.
22. Brant Rustich RHP (he was ranked here due to injury concerns, stayed healthy long enough (pitching 4-5 innings every outing) for me to rocket him up to 3rd, and then got hurt. He's still got the best stuff in the system, but injury concerns at UCLA dropped him into the 3rd round in 07, and injury concerns in the pros have limited him to just high A at age 24) B-
23. Nathan Vineyard LHSP (he retired rather then rehab) Grade: WUSS
24. Angel Calero LHSP (Calero's had a mixed season, suffering through a 5.68 era in May+June, but posting 1.23 in April and 3.86 in July around them, overall pitching to a 4.19 in 77.1 innings. Calero hasn't appeared in a game since the 9th of July, cause unknown) C+
25. Greg Veloz 2b (outside of a hot 2-3 weeks to start the season, Veloz has been flat out awful, with a .628 OPS. He has slightly improved his BB/K (.3451 last year, .3824 this), but overall, it's been a disappointing season for Veloz) C-
26. Lucas Duda 1b/OF (Duda's performed well in AA, considering his ... somewhat disappointing high A campaign in 2008 (.263/.358/.398/.755). He's cut down his Ks (.267 rate last year, .249 this), and significantly improved his BB/K (.5116 last year, .622 this). Significant platoon splits are holding him back, however (.487 OPS vs LHP, .904 vs RHP), but this has been a good step forward season for Duda) B-
27. Nick Carr RHSP (Carr rebounded from a nightmarish 2008, and was having a good 2009, but got hurt midway through) INC
28. Jose Coronado SS (awful season from Coronado, who some had thought made strides offensively with his great showing in the VWL, but he got off to a putrid start in AAA, and hasn't been much better in AA) D
29. Cesar Puello OF (performing very well in short season rookie ball at age 17) B+
30. Aderlin Rodriguez 3B (hasn't appeared in a game yet) INC
1. Fernando Martinez OF (performed very well in AAA, flashed signs in the majors, solid BB/K, line drive hitter, injured again, though) B
2. Wilmer Flores SS (After, I'll say it, a very subpar April (.296/.676) and May (.235/.600), Wilmer's turned it on in June (.309/.766) and July (.310/.741), hitting around .310 with solid K numbers (17 in 165 ABs) after 24 in 158 April+May ABs with a .260 average, needs to show some power (but the average is damn impressive) B+
3. Jon Niese LHSP (after a disasterous first half, Jon's pitching to a 0.96 era in his last 8 starts, the best stretch of his pro career) B-
4. Danirl Murphy 3B/2B/1B/LF (started the season in LF, looked lost, moved to 1b, looks great. The bat hasn't come around as we'd hoped, he looks lost and in between at the plate, but he's been jerked around by Jerry, so it's not totally Daniel's fault.) C-
5. Brad Holt RHSP (Outside of his season debut, Holt dominated high A and made it to AA in his first full season. Has performed respectably in AA, again, removing his worst start, reports on his secondaries have been good) B
6. Nick Evans LF/1B (Yeesh. Was demoted to EXT then AA after hitting .096 in AAA (yes, .096). Performed decently in the majors, and has been...better upon his return to AAA (.227/.261/.273/.534 (22 ABs)) D
7. Reese Havens SS (severe disappointment, fell into a deep slump in high A, then got hurt) D
8. Josh Thole C/1B (Thole keeps on doing what Thole does. High average, high on base, acceptable pop (22 2b). Reports of his defense improving enhance his stock, and it's more a matter of him being passed by higher ceiling prospects then slippage that he'll likely end the year outside of my top 10) B+
9. Jenrry Mejia RHSP (flat out dominated high A at 19, made it to AA, performance was more mixed, then got hurt. Has HUGE upside, jumped 6 spots in my midseason rankings) A
10. Jefry Marte 3B (has been flat out awful on both sides of the ball, is making a 2 level jump at 17/18, hitting MUCH better in July (.296/.350/.446/.796), still on pace for 50 errors (he's got 35)) C+
11. Bobby Parnell RHP (has spent the entire season in the majors, has been hit or miss, flashes a wickedly plus fastball (96-100), inconsistent secondaries (slider, changeup), could probably use time in the minors/winter league to refine his secondaries) C+
12. Scott Moviel RHSP (tore his knee meniscus twice, hasn't pitched well since returning, but it's only 4 starts in St. Lucie) INC
13. Dillon Gee RHSP (was pitching decently in AAA before getting hurt, labrum tear severely clouds his future, which at best was a Greg Maddux lite) INC
14. Robert Carson LHSP (Has performed extremely well, outside of a 2 start + 1 inning span (4/24, awful first, good 5 after), totalling just 5.1 innings, he's pitched to a 3.15 RA, a 1.43 era, and a 7-4 record) A
15. Ike Davis 1B (Davis is shutting me up something fierce, huh? I've made my disdain for Davis well known, and Davis is doing nothing but performing, with 12 HR and 23 2b split between high A and AA. He's only got a .563 OPS against LHP, so he needs to improve that markedly, but his 1.015 against RHP is extremely impressive) A
16. Francisco Pena C (Pena's made some strides this season (12/48 BB/K, vs a 25/95 last year, .190 K rate this year, vs .239 last year, there are some who would tell you the high contact rate points to an imminent breakout, I'm not sure, but then again, to be fair, I've never been a Pena fan, either, and his July (.905 OPS, best month of his pro career) certainly backs up the prediction of a breakout) C
17. Eddie Kunz RHRP (yeah, I ranked my 3 "disdains" in a row, lol. Kunz has been largely pedestrian in his first full season in AAA, posting a 4.08 era, and slipping 6 spots in my midseason rankings (to 23). Again, to be fair, Kunz' season is largely a product of 4-5 very ill-placed appearances where he's been bombed out of existance (3+ runs). And as we know, one appearance of 4 runs in an inning can KILL an ERA for weeks and months. Still, AAA lefties are hitting .267 with a .360 OBP, while righties are hitting just .176 against him) C-
18. Michael Antonini LHSP (we knew Owen would flame out in AA, I, personally, had some hope Antonini wouldn't go down the same path, but he has. His season tanked his ranking, he's in the mid 40s, easily the largest drop on my preseason list (except for Nathan Vineyard). Antonini's allowing AA lefties to hit .269 against him, while righties are hitting .308, so even a role as a LOOGY looks like a longshot at this point) F
19. Jeurys Familia RHSP (his stock has risen considerably this season, he's jumped up 10 spots from this ranking to 9th overall (though I may be tweaking that post 8/15). Still, Familia at age 19 is dominating the Sally League, with 1.47 GO/FO and 91 Ks in 106 innings. Familia is 55 innings above his career high, a cautionary note if his performance were to slip from here) A
20. Kyle Allen RHSP (Allen was only ranked here because I didn't have good information on him, the same reason he was 30th in my predraft top 50, right now, he would be in the top 15 for sure. Outside of an awful 7.5 era April, Allen's pitched to a 3 era this season, and had 72 Ks in 86 innings, with an extremely good 2.31 GO/FO) B
21. Ruben Tejada SS (Considering his age (19), and his putrid performance in high A last year (.229/.293/.296/.588) it would've been very easy to write off Tejada for 2009 as well, after learning he was going to open in Binghamton. Indeed, Tejada hit just .222/.347/.286 in April, but from 5/1 on, Tejada's been extremely impressive, hitting around .292/.341/.374 in 250 ABs.
22. Brant Rustich RHP (he was ranked here due to injury concerns, stayed healthy long enough (pitching 4-5 innings every outing) for me to rocket him up to 3rd, and then got hurt. He's still got the best stuff in the system, but injury concerns at UCLA dropped him into the 3rd round in 07, and injury concerns in the pros have limited him to just high A at age 24) B-
23. Nathan Vineyard LHSP (he retired rather then rehab) Grade: WUSS
24. Angel Calero LHSP (Calero's had a mixed season, suffering through a 5.68 era in May+June, but posting 1.23 in April and 3.86 in July around them, overall pitching to a 4.19 in 77.1 innings. Calero hasn't appeared in a game since the 9th of July, cause unknown) C+
25. Greg Veloz 2b (outside of a hot 2-3 weeks to start the season, Veloz has been flat out awful, with a .628 OPS. He has slightly improved his BB/K (.3451 last year, .3824 this), but overall, it's been a disappointing season for Veloz) C-
26. Lucas Duda 1b/OF (Duda's performed well in AA, considering his ... somewhat disappointing high A campaign in 2008 (.263/.358/.398/.755). He's cut down his Ks (.267 rate last year, .249 this), and significantly improved his BB/K (.5116 last year, .622 this). Significant platoon splits are holding him back, however (.487 OPS vs LHP, .904 vs RHP), but this has been a good step forward season for Duda) B-
27. Nick Carr RHSP (Carr rebounded from a nightmarish 2008, and was having a good 2009, but got hurt midway through) INC
28. Jose Coronado SS (awful season from Coronado, who some had thought made strides offensively with his great showing in the VWL, but he got off to a putrid start in AAA, and hasn't been much better in AA) D
29. Cesar Puello OF (performing very well in short season rookie ball at age 17) B+
30. Aderlin Rodriguez 3B (hasn't appeared in a game yet) INC
Monday, June 29, 2009
Why The Mets Should Overslot The Draft, Frequently
Why The Mets Should Overslot The Draft, Frequently
Tejesh Patel
Every May, we hear the Mets will be paying overslot for players, and many people get taken in, thinking this will finally be the year we draft a Luke Bailey, or a Andrew Susac, or a Tanner Robles, Tim Melville, or other HS and/or college talent (Tanner Scheppers), and every year, it doesn't happen (Brandon Efferson, James Bruno, Preston Paramore, etc...). And every year I take the Mets to task for it, but I've never actually detailed the reasons for my continual bashing/blasting of the Mets draft process, until now.
Here is, step by step (wasn't that a sitcom?), my thought process on the Mets draft philosophy, and why they should overslot the fuck out of the draft. I'll be using extreme examples in either direction, so as to not give my opponents much in the way of ammunition to fire back at me (but if you do, I will respond, I'm not trying to dissuade you, I'm trying to outthink you ;)). I do not advocate spending the amount of money per pick I'll outline below, that will come into play later in the article. Here we go.
I propose the Mets allocate 40% of their draft picks to tough sign high schoolers, and sign every one of them for $1.5 million. So, 20 picks, $30 mil, the other 30 picks, lets say they get an average of $350k each, totalling $10.5, bringing your total draft expenditure to $40.5 million. Now, keep in mind what I said above, before your head explodes and you start yelling at me in the chat box or in comments (or email, metsprospecthub@yahoo.com).
So, take those 20 HS picks, and lets automatically say 16 of them flame out completely. Absolute busts. Worth nothing to you in any regard whatsoever (think Daniel Stegall, Brahiam Maldonado, Parris Austin) Kay? Kay. Now, the other 4, lets say 2 of them are hitters, and 2 of them are pitchers. 3 of the 4 become league average players, 100 OPS+, 100 ERA+, yada yada, absolutely average in every way (for your MLB team, not traded - think a Nick Evans, Jon Niese type).
OK, so you've got 3 league average players, 1 as of yet unspecified player, and 16 busts for $30 mil, and you're thinking to yourself...Tej, this is why they shouldn't overslot! Patience, my young padawans, my reasoning is forthcoming.
Lets take these 100 ERA+, 100 OPS+ players we've developed, and put them up against indentical players on the free agent market. Lets further this example by writing it in stone these players won't get one ounce better, nor one ounce worse, over the lifetime of their contracts. Kay? Kay. Now, lets throw out a league minimum of $400,000 (which is what I believe it is right now), and as your developed players contracts are renewed (that's how it works, 3 years of basically indentured servitude, 3 years of arbitration, then FAcy), the salary increases a little. So, for our little example here, we'll go 400, 500, 600 for our 3 league average players (2 hitters and a pitcher). That's 1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total.
Now salary arbitration, throw out some numbers, 2.5 mil, 3.25 mil, 5 mil, that's 10.75 mil each, 32.25 mil total. Add it all up, and with the bonus you have them to sign (1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total), the first 3 years of salary (1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total), and the 3 years of arbitration (10.75 mil each, 32.25 mil total), you've invested 13.75 mil into each player, 41.25 mil total).
Now - what are you going to pay for an identical player on the free agent market? Keep in mind my rule earlier, I'm writing it in stone these players won't get one ounce better, nor one ounce worse, over the lifetime of their contracts. Nor will they get hurt, no one in this example gets hurt over the life of their contract. However, the FAs you're signing are between 27 and 28 years old (not that it matters since they're maintaining production and health the same as these 21 year old rookies you produced). What are you going to pay for these league average players/pitchers on the open market? Lets say 6 years, 36 mil per player (again, vastly less then what you would actually be paying, at least for the pitcher, if not the league average hitter). So, 36 mil per player, 3 players...108 mil.
Take the 108 mil, subtract it from the 41.25 mil you've invested in the 3 league average players. Oh...what the hell, add up the entire draft, including those 30 college players, 41.25 mil + 36 mil (remember, the 41.25 mil includes the 4.5 mil in bonuses to the 3 leagfue average players), = 77.25 mil. 77.25 from 108 leaves you a net benefit of 30.75 mil. AND, we haven't even touched on the 30 JC and college guys, 2 or 3 of whom are likely to develop at the least into Alex Cora, Vance Wilson, Ramon Castro, Omir Santos type backups who will save you some money, too.
So, in conclusion, there you go, that's why we should overslot, because there's a damn good chance you'll be paid back in spades. And keep in mind I used a) ridiculously high bonus figures (every HSer isn't getting 1.5 mil), and b) ridiculously low salaries for FAs (6 mil for a league average pitcher? Pieces of shit like Carlos Silva get twice that).
I await your rebuttals.
Tejesh Patel
Every May, we hear the Mets will be paying overslot for players, and many people get taken in, thinking this will finally be the year we draft a Luke Bailey, or a Andrew Susac, or a Tanner Robles, Tim Melville, or other HS and/or college talent (Tanner Scheppers), and every year, it doesn't happen (Brandon Efferson, James Bruno, Preston Paramore, etc...). And every year I take the Mets to task for it, but I've never actually detailed the reasons for my continual bashing/blasting of the Mets draft process, until now.
Here is, step by step (wasn't that a sitcom?), my thought process on the Mets draft philosophy, and why they should overslot the fuck out of the draft. I'll be using extreme examples in either direction, so as to not give my opponents much in the way of ammunition to fire back at me (but if you do, I will respond, I'm not trying to dissuade you, I'm trying to outthink you ;)). I do not advocate spending the amount of money per pick I'll outline below, that will come into play later in the article. Here we go.
I propose the Mets allocate 40% of their draft picks to tough sign high schoolers, and sign every one of them for $1.5 million. So, 20 picks, $30 mil, the other 30 picks, lets say they get an average of $350k each, totalling $10.5, bringing your total draft expenditure to $40.5 million. Now, keep in mind what I said above, before your head explodes and you start yelling at me in the chat box or in comments (or email, metsprospecthub@yahoo.com).
So, take those 20 HS picks, and lets automatically say 16 of them flame out completely. Absolute busts. Worth nothing to you in any regard whatsoever (think Daniel Stegall, Brahiam Maldonado, Parris Austin) Kay? Kay. Now, the other 4, lets say 2 of them are hitters, and 2 of them are pitchers. 3 of the 4 become league average players, 100 OPS+, 100 ERA+, yada yada, absolutely average in every way (for your MLB team, not traded - think a Nick Evans, Jon Niese type).
OK, so you've got 3 league average players, 1 as of yet unspecified player, and 16 busts for $30 mil, and you're thinking to yourself...Tej, this is why they shouldn't overslot! Patience, my young padawans, my reasoning is forthcoming.
Lets take these 100 ERA+, 100 OPS+ players we've developed, and put them up against indentical players on the free agent market. Lets further this example by writing it in stone these players won't get one ounce better, nor one ounce worse, over the lifetime of their contracts. Kay? Kay. Now, lets throw out a league minimum of $400,000 (which is what I believe it is right now), and as your developed players contracts are renewed (that's how it works, 3 years of basically indentured servitude, 3 years of arbitration, then FAcy), the salary increases a little. So, for our little example here, we'll go 400, 500, 600 for our 3 league average players (2 hitters and a pitcher). That's 1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total.
Now salary arbitration, throw out some numbers, 2.5 mil, 3.25 mil, 5 mil, that's 10.75 mil each, 32.25 mil total. Add it all up, and with the bonus you have them to sign (1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total), the first 3 years of salary (1.5 mil each, 4.5 mil total), and the 3 years of arbitration (10.75 mil each, 32.25 mil total), you've invested 13.75 mil into each player, 41.25 mil total).
Now - what are you going to pay for an identical player on the free agent market? Keep in mind my rule earlier, I'm writing it in stone these players won't get one ounce better, nor one ounce worse, over the lifetime of their contracts. Nor will they get hurt, no one in this example gets hurt over the life of their contract. However, the FAs you're signing are between 27 and 28 years old (not that it matters since they're maintaining production and health the same as these 21 year old rookies you produced). What are you going to pay for these league average players/pitchers on the open market? Lets say 6 years, 36 mil per player (again, vastly less then what you would actually be paying, at least for the pitcher, if not the league average hitter). So, 36 mil per player, 3 players...108 mil.
Take the 108 mil, subtract it from the 41.25 mil you've invested in the 3 league average players. Oh...what the hell, add up the entire draft, including those 30 college players, 41.25 mil + 36 mil (remember, the 41.25 mil includes the 4.5 mil in bonuses to the 3 leagfue average players), = 77.25 mil. 77.25 from 108 leaves you a net benefit of 30.75 mil. AND, we haven't even touched on the 30 JC and college guys, 2 or 3 of whom are likely to develop at the least into Alex Cora, Vance Wilson, Ramon Castro, Omir Santos type backups who will save you some money, too.
So, in conclusion, there you go, that's why we should overslot, because there's a damn good chance you'll be paid back in spades. And keep in mind I used a) ridiculously high bonus figures (every HSer isn't getting 1.5 mil), and b) ridiculously low salaries for FAs (6 mil for a league average pitcher? Pieces of shit like Carlos Silva get twice that).
I await your rebuttals.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
My thinking on the current season and why I want to NOT make any trades...
I fail to see any better options out there. Or if there are, you're going to trade some real good prospects for a chance to save a season which spiralled out of control due to injury and was compounded by handing the Phils/Yankees 3 games in a row.
My view is, there is no season to save. We're down 2 SPs, our 2nd and 4th best offensive players (both All Stars who can light it up in their own way), down a lockdown 8th inning setup man, and now there are light concerns about our ace. You CANNOT plug the holes on this team, there are too many with too few realistic trade options.
Lets say you can trade 3 of the following for Dunn: Duda, Kunz, Stoner, Tejada, Bowman, Antonini, Niese, Church.
That solves one problem, and you're out 3 chips.
What's next on our list? We need a good backup middle infielder (Cora's hitting like Wilson Valdez since coming back from his injury).
2 of Duda, Kunz, Stoner, Tejada, Bowman, Antonini, Niese, Church for DeRosa, he slides in at SS.
Next? Reliable SP. Gonna have to dip into your untouchables. Holt, Mejia, Fernando, Thole (for me, he is), Wilmer.
Fernando, Thole, whichever 2 of the above 7 are left, Green for Peavy.
Done. 7 C/B prospects, 2 A/B prospects, MLB reliever gone. Dunn, Peavy, DeRosa here. How good is that team compared to the one we have now? And then at what cost?
See where I'm going with this? All of that to TRY and salvage a season which Lemony Snicket would laugh at. None of those trades make us locks for anything.
My view is, there is no season to save. We're down 2 SPs, our 2nd and 4th best offensive players (both All Stars who can light it up in their own way), down a lockdown 8th inning setup man, and now there are light concerns about our ace. You CANNOT plug the holes on this team, there are too many with too few realistic trade options.
Lets say you can trade 3 of the following for Dunn: Duda, Kunz, Stoner, Tejada, Bowman, Antonini, Niese, Church.
That solves one problem, and you're out 3 chips.
What's next on our list? We need a good backup middle infielder (Cora's hitting like Wilson Valdez since coming back from his injury).
2 of Duda, Kunz, Stoner, Tejada, Bowman, Antonini, Niese, Church for DeRosa, he slides in at SS.
Next? Reliable SP. Gonna have to dip into your untouchables. Holt, Mejia, Fernando, Thole (for me, he is), Wilmer.
Fernando, Thole, whichever 2 of the above 7 are left, Green for Peavy.
Done. 7 C/B prospects, 2 A/B prospects, MLB reliever gone. Dunn, Peavy, DeRosa here. How good is that team compared to the one we have now? And then at what cost?
See where I'm going with this? All of that to TRY and salvage a season which Lemony Snicket would laugh at. None of those trades make us locks for anything.
Saturday, June 06, 2009
Tejesh's PreDraft Top 35 Prospects
I was gonna do stats and a short 3 line or so commentary...but I said more then enough during the System Audit, right? Links up at 4:58pm. Yes, 4:58pm, lol.
1. OF Fernando Martinez
2. SS Wilmer Flores
3. RHSP Brant Rustich
4. RHSP Jenrry Mejia
5. RHSP Brad Holt
6. SS Reese Havens
7. C Josh Thole
8. LHSP Jon Niese
9. RHSP Jeurys Familia
10. LHSP Robert Carson
11. SS Ruben Tejada
12. RHSP Nick Carr
13. RHSP Dillon Gee
14. 1B Ike Davis
15. RHSP Scott Moviel
16. RHSP Elvin Ramirez
17. OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis
18. C Francisco Pena
19. 3B Jefry Marte
20. RHSP Eric Beaulac
21. 1B Lucas Duda
22. 2B Jordany Valdespin
23. RHRP Eddie Kunz
24. LHSP Eric Niesen
25. 2B Greg Veloz
26. 3B Zach Lutz
27. C Ralph Henriquez
28. RHSP Tobi Stoner
29. LHSP Angel Calero
30. RHSP Kyle Allen
31. RHSP Scott Shaw
32. 2B Alonzo Harris
33. 3B Aderlin Rodriguez
34. RHSP Cole Abbott
35. RHSP Phillips Orta
36. RHSP John Holdzkom
37. OF Cesar Puello
38. OF Javier Rodriguez
39. 2B Hector Pellot
40. C Dock Doyle
41. 3B Richard Lucas
42. OF Daniel Stegall
43. 1B/3B Stefan Welch
44. OF Pedro Zapata
45. OF Gabriel Zavala
46. LHSP Michael Antonini
47. OF/2B Emmanuel Garcia
48. OF Rafael Fernandez
49. LHP Jim Fuller
50. 3B Shawn Bowman
1. OF Fernando Martinez
2. SS Wilmer Flores
3. RHSP Brant Rustich
4. RHSP Jenrry Mejia
5. RHSP Brad Holt
6. SS Reese Havens
7. C Josh Thole
8. LHSP Jon Niese
9. RHSP Jeurys Familia
10. LHSP Robert Carson
11. SS Ruben Tejada
12. RHSP Nick Carr
13. RHSP Dillon Gee
14. 1B Ike Davis
15. RHSP Scott Moviel
16. RHSP Elvin Ramirez
17. OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis
18. C Francisco Pena
19. 3B Jefry Marte
20. RHSP Eric Beaulac
21. 1B Lucas Duda
22. 2B Jordany Valdespin
23. RHRP Eddie Kunz
24. LHSP Eric Niesen
25. 2B Greg Veloz
26. 3B Zach Lutz
27. C Ralph Henriquez
28. RHSP Tobi Stoner
29. LHSP Angel Calero
30. RHSP Kyle Allen
31. RHSP Scott Shaw
32. 2B Alonzo Harris
33. 3B Aderlin Rodriguez
34. RHSP Cole Abbott
35. RHSP Phillips Orta
36. RHSP John Holdzkom
37. OF Cesar Puello
38. OF Javier Rodriguez
39. 2B Hector Pellot
40. C Dock Doyle
41. 3B Richard Lucas
42. OF Daniel Stegall
43. 1B/3B Stefan Welch
44. OF Pedro Zapata
45. OF Gabriel Zavala
46. LHSP Michael Antonini
47. OF/2B Emmanuel Garcia
48. OF Rafael Fernandez
49. LHP Jim Fuller
50. 3B Shawn Bowman
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Tejesh's FINAL post-season 2008 Prospect List
There were about 10 different versions of this list before I settled (finally) on this one. I started with a top 15, and then kept expanding it until I got to 30. Again, this is just MY list, The Man posted his, and David should be posting his in the next week or so. This will be my final postseason 2008 list. We'll probably do another round of lists shortly before the 2009 season starts.
1. Fernando Martinez OF
Consensus #1 prospect - has to prove he can stay on the field for a full season. Ripping shit up in the Dominican Winter League
2. Wilmer Flores SS
Many people have flipped Fernando and Wilmer - and they may not be wrong. Teenage hitting sensation, playing SS now, may have to move to a corner as he fills out. Keep in mind he'll be playing the majority of 2009 at age 17.
3. Jon Niese LHSP
OK, so he doesn't throw 95, and he needs a cutter/slider combination, but he spent the entire year at age 21, and reached the big leagues. He should, barring trade or necessity in NY, be anchoring Buffalo's rotation in 2009. Expect further gains from Niese.
4. Dan Murphy 3B/2B/1B/LF
We all saw what he can do with his bat, it's a question of finding him a position (3b, 2b, 1b, lf, rf). He won't be anything other then average at best anywhere, but with the type of offensive potential, he doesn't have to be.
5. Brad Holt RHSP
Yeah, I panned this pick when it was made, he was ranked 98th on BAs top 200 draft prospects. Oopsie. Holt is armed with a big mid 90s fastball, and has better command on his curveball then people thought. As with most NYPLers, we'll get a much better read on Holt after he spends time in the FSL, pitching friendly as it is.
6. Mike Carp 1B/LF
After a miserable 2007, Carp rebounded to post a career season in 2008, setting highs in AVG (.299), OBP (.403), OPS (.874), 2b (29), HR (17), and walks (79). It was a great season for the 21/22 year old, and one he can look to build off of next year in AAA, where he will be one of the younger everyday players, at age 22/23. Carp was able to put up such good numbers due to his newfound "prowess" against LHP (.792 OPS vs a career OPS of .661). Keeping that number over .750 will dictate whether the Mets view him as the successor to Carlos Delgado in 2010.
7. Nick Evans LF/1B
Evans, unlike Carp, did not falter in AA, instead proceeding directly to "kick the shit out of the league" phase, hitting .311/.365/.561/.926, and earning himself multiple callups to the majors, where he performed very well in a platoon situation. A very rough start to his winter league season ultimately means nothing, he should open 2009 either on the Mets bench, or preferably in Buffalo.
8. Reese Havens SS
Havens showed plus power when healthy this year, but he wasn't healthy all that often. Still, the Mets have to have liked what they saw, and a good bet is that he'll open 2009 in St. Lucie. Especially with Wilmer Flores likely opening in Savannah.
9. Josh Thole C/1B
High average, high OBP catcher who hits from the left side, only thing people question is his defense. Is tearing up the AFL, a very good sign for someone who played high A in the regular season. Booked for Binghamton in 2009.
10. Jenrry Mejia RHSP
Appeared out of nowhere to post a great half season between the GCL and Brooklyn, posting a 2.89 era in 71.2 innings. He'll play all of 2009 at age 19, so whether he's in Savannah, or St. Lucie, he'll be well ahead of the game. Mejia flashes a fastball between 94-96, which some scouts think could eventually reach into the upper 90s, and a curveball which shows plus potential. He also has a harder slider which he uses.
11. Jefry Marte 3B
Marte was signed in the same class as Flores, and he did just as well, but was a level behind, so he didn't get nearly the same pub as Wilmer. Make no mistake though, Marte is just as big a prospect as Flores, and should be playing alongside Wilmer in Savannah next season.
12. Bobby Parnell RHP
Parnell made his major league debut this year, one of 4 BMets to do so, he impressed out of the pen with a mid 90s fastball and good slider, just as advertised. Reportedly, he's making major strides with his slider in the AFL, tightening the spin on it. Still, it's hard to see how the Mets don't keep him in the pen for 2009.
13. Scott Moviel RHSP
Tall righty had a piss poor April (1-4, 9.68 era), but rebounded to post a very good season minus April (9-4, 3.35 era). Moviel features a low 90s fastball which should gain some velocity as he fills out, along with a curve and change which developed nicely as the season progressed. Moviel is on track to open 2009 in St. Lucie.
14. Maikel Cleto RHSP
Cleto, like Mejia, leaped onto many prospect lists this season, despite some rather on the surface unimpressive numbers (5-11, 4.25 in Savannah). But it was a couple of games which really grabbed people's eyes, first, a complete game shutout on May 22nd, and then 2 weeks later, firing 7 innings of 1 run ball, generating 19 groundball outs. Cleto's got a sinker (obviously), and throws in the mid to upper 90s right now, and there are some who think more velocity is possible. Cleto should open 2009 in St. Lucie.
15. Dillon Gee RHSP
Dillon Gee was one of a few pitchers who dominated the NYPL after being drafted in 2007, and as such, not much was expected of him in 2008. Well, Gee turned around and dominated the FSL, and then the EL, posting a sub 3 era cumulatively, and is unscored upon in Puerto Rico (2 GS, 11 IP). Gee should open 2009 back in Binghamton, but a quick promotion to Buffalo isn't out of the question.
16. Robert Carson LHSP
Carson features 4 pitches, a fastball, changeup, cutter and curveball. His fastball sits 90-92, and has topped out at 94. His changeup sits around 75-80, while his curveball is low to mid 70s. He feels his curveball needs more bite to it, and he is also working on developing a fifth pitch, a slider. He plowed through the GCL and Kingsport, and should open 2009 in Savannah.
17. Ike Davis 1B
Davis was drafted out of Arizona State in 2008, with the 18th overall pick, and debuted with a plop in Brooklyn. However, he's got massive power potential, and I find it very difficult to both judge, and take seriously, any stats put up by a recently drafted player. We should get a much better feel for Davis next season when he plays in St. Lucie.
18. Francisco Pena C
Pena improved slightly off a disasterous 2007 season, and he did play all of 2008 at age 18, so there are plenty of reasons to give him another mulligan, but reports of him being shaky behind the plate defensively, combined with his decline in plate discipline (.3152 BB/K in 2007, .2632 in 2008) led to his stock, in my eyes, plummetting. Despite very pedestrian numbers in Savannah (.264/.308/.380/.688), Pena should open in St. Lucie for 2009, at age 19.
19. Eddie Kunz RHRP
Kunz dominated AA, but has found life above AA to be very difficult, posting an ERA of 13.50 in 2.2 MLB innings, 7.94 in 5.2 AAA innings, and 10.13 in 13.1 AFL innings. Granted, all very small miniscule sample sizes, and the groundball tendencies are there (6.00 in the majors, 1.60 in AAA, 3.00 in the AFL), but he's given up 4 homers in those 21.2 innings above AA. Still, Kunz is either 1 or 2 amongst relief prospects, depending on what you call Parnell, and should open 2009 in Buffalo.
20. Michael Antonini LHSP
If Dillon Gee garnered a little attention post-draft in 2007, Antonini garnered none. A late teens pick out of a small college, who spent a good part of the 07 season in Kingsport, there wasn't much hype about Antonini. And then 2008 came around, and Michael blasted his way through 3 levels of the farm, starting in Savannah, and ending in Binghamton, posting a fabulous 9-7, 2.77 line in 28 GS. He should open 2008 in Binghamton, but a quick promotion to Buffalo isn't out of the question.
21. Jeurys Familia RHSP
22. Kyle Allen RHSP
23. Ezequiel Carrera OF
24. Ruben Tejada SS
25. Brant Rustich RHP
26. Nathan Vineyard LHSP
27. Angel Calero LHSP
28. Greg Veloz 2b
29. Lucas Duda 1b/OF
30. Nick Carr RHSP
1. Fernando Martinez OF
Consensus #1 prospect - has to prove he can stay on the field for a full season. Ripping shit up in the Dominican Winter League
2. Wilmer Flores SS
Many people have flipped Fernando and Wilmer - and they may not be wrong. Teenage hitting sensation, playing SS now, may have to move to a corner as he fills out. Keep in mind he'll be playing the majority of 2009 at age 17.
3. Jon Niese LHSP
OK, so he doesn't throw 95, and he needs a cutter/slider combination, but he spent the entire year at age 21, and reached the big leagues. He should, barring trade or necessity in NY, be anchoring Buffalo's rotation in 2009. Expect further gains from Niese.
4. Dan Murphy 3B/2B/1B/LF
We all saw what he can do with his bat, it's a question of finding him a position (3b, 2b, 1b, lf, rf). He won't be anything other then average at best anywhere, but with the type of offensive potential, he doesn't have to be.
5. Brad Holt RHSP
Yeah, I panned this pick when it was made, he was ranked 98th on BAs top 200 draft prospects. Oopsie. Holt is armed with a big mid 90s fastball, and has better command on his curveball then people thought. As with most NYPLers, we'll get a much better read on Holt after he spends time in the FSL, pitching friendly as it is.
6. Mike Carp 1B/LF
After a miserable 2007, Carp rebounded to post a career season in 2008, setting highs in AVG (.299), OBP (.403), OPS (.874), 2b (29), HR (17), and walks (79). It was a great season for the 21/22 year old, and one he can look to build off of next year in AAA, where he will be one of the younger everyday players, at age 22/23. Carp was able to put up such good numbers due to his newfound "prowess" against LHP (.792 OPS vs a career OPS of .661). Keeping that number over .750 will dictate whether the Mets view him as the successor to Carlos Delgado in 2010.
7. Nick Evans LF/1B
Evans, unlike Carp, did not falter in AA, instead proceeding directly to "kick the shit out of the league" phase, hitting .311/.365/.561/.926, and earning himself multiple callups to the majors, where he performed very well in a platoon situation. A very rough start to his winter league season ultimately means nothing, he should open 2009 either on the Mets bench, or preferably in Buffalo.
8. Reese Havens SS
Havens showed plus power when healthy this year, but he wasn't healthy all that often. Still, the Mets have to have liked what they saw, and a good bet is that he'll open 2009 in St. Lucie. Especially with Wilmer Flores likely opening in Savannah.
9. Josh Thole C/1B
High average, high OBP catcher who hits from the left side, only thing people question is his defense. Is tearing up the AFL, a very good sign for someone who played high A in the regular season. Booked for Binghamton in 2009.
10. Jenrry Mejia RHSP
Appeared out of nowhere to post a great half season between the GCL and Brooklyn, posting a 2.89 era in 71.2 innings. He'll play all of 2009 at age 19, so whether he's in Savannah, or St. Lucie, he'll be well ahead of the game. Mejia flashes a fastball between 94-96, which some scouts think could eventually reach into the upper 90s, and a curveball which shows plus potential. He also has a harder slider which he uses.
11. Jefry Marte 3B
Marte was signed in the same class as Flores, and he did just as well, but was a level behind, so he didn't get nearly the same pub as Wilmer. Make no mistake though, Marte is just as big a prospect as Flores, and should be playing alongside Wilmer in Savannah next season.
12. Bobby Parnell RHP
Parnell made his major league debut this year, one of 4 BMets to do so, he impressed out of the pen with a mid 90s fastball and good slider, just as advertised. Reportedly, he's making major strides with his slider in the AFL, tightening the spin on it. Still, it's hard to see how the Mets don't keep him in the pen for 2009.
13. Scott Moviel RHSP
Tall righty had a piss poor April (1-4, 9.68 era), but rebounded to post a very good season minus April (9-4, 3.35 era). Moviel features a low 90s fastball which should gain some velocity as he fills out, along with a curve and change which developed nicely as the season progressed. Moviel is on track to open 2009 in St. Lucie.
14. Maikel Cleto RHSP
Cleto, like Mejia, leaped onto many prospect lists this season, despite some rather on the surface unimpressive numbers (5-11, 4.25 in Savannah). But it was a couple of games which really grabbed people's eyes, first, a complete game shutout on May 22nd, and then 2 weeks later, firing 7 innings of 1 run ball, generating 19 groundball outs. Cleto's got a sinker (obviously), and throws in the mid to upper 90s right now, and there are some who think more velocity is possible. Cleto should open 2009 in St. Lucie.
15. Dillon Gee RHSP
Dillon Gee was one of a few pitchers who dominated the NYPL after being drafted in 2007, and as such, not much was expected of him in 2008. Well, Gee turned around and dominated the FSL, and then the EL, posting a sub 3 era cumulatively, and is unscored upon in Puerto Rico (2 GS, 11 IP). Gee should open 2009 back in Binghamton, but a quick promotion to Buffalo isn't out of the question.
16. Robert Carson LHSP
Carson features 4 pitches, a fastball, changeup, cutter and curveball. His fastball sits 90-92, and has topped out at 94. His changeup sits around 75-80, while his curveball is low to mid 70s. He feels his curveball needs more bite to it, and he is also working on developing a fifth pitch, a slider. He plowed through the GCL and Kingsport, and should open 2009 in Savannah.
17. Ike Davis 1B
Davis was drafted out of Arizona State in 2008, with the 18th overall pick, and debuted with a plop in Brooklyn. However, he's got massive power potential, and I find it very difficult to both judge, and take seriously, any stats put up by a recently drafted player. We should get a much better feel for Davis next season when he plays in St. Lucie.
18. Francisco Pena C
Pena improved slightly off a disasterous 2007 season, and he did play all of 2008 at age 18, so there are plenty of reasons to give him another mulligan, but reports of him being shaky behind the plate defensively, combined with his decline in plate discipline (.3152 BB/K in 2007, .2632 in 2008) led to his stock, in my eyes, plummetting. Despite very pedestrian numbers in Savannah (.264/.308/.380/.688), Pena should open in St. Lucie for 2009, at age 19.
19. Eddie Kunz RHRP
Kunz dominated AA, but has found life above AA to be very difficult, posting an ERA of 13.50 in 2.2 MLB innings, 7.94 in 5.2 AAA innings, and 10.13 in 13.1 AFL innings. Granted, all very small miniscule sample sizes, and the groundball tendencies are there (6.00 in the majors, 1.60 in AAA, 3.00 in the AFL), but he's given up 4 homers in those 21.2 innings above AA. Still, Kunz is either 1 or 2 amongst relief prospects, depending on what you call Parnell, and should open 2009 in Buffalo.
20. Michael Antonini LHSP
If Dillon Gee garnered a little attention post-draft in 2007, Antonini garnered none. A late teens pick out of a small college, who spent a good part of the 07 season in Kingsport, there wasn't much hype about Antonini. And then 2008 came around, and Michael blasted his way through 3 levels of the farm, starting in Savannah, and ending in Binghamton, posting a fabulous 9-7, 2.77 line in 28 GS. He should open 2008 in Binghamton, but a quick promotion to Buffalo isn't out of the question.
21. Jeurys Familia RHSP
22. Kyle Allen RHSP
23. Ezequiel Carrera OF
24. Ruben Tejada SS
25. Brant Rustich RHP
26. Nathan Vineyard LHSP
27. Angel Calero LHSP
28. Greg Veloz 2b
29. Lucas Duda 1b/OF
30. Nick Carr RHSP
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Tejesh's Season Ending Top 15 Prospects List
This is my personal top 15 list, both Charlie's, and David's, I'm sure, would be vastly different.
All ages are af os 2/1/09.
1. Fernando Martinez 10/10/88 (20.33) L/R (AA Binghamton .287/.340/.432/.772, 101 for 352, 48 runs, 19 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 43 RBI, 27/73 BB/K, 6/8 SBs)
2. Wilmer Flores 8/6/91 (17.5) R/R (R Kingsport .310/.352/.490/.842, 76 for 245, 36 runs, 12 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 41 RBI, 12/28 BB/K, A Savannah 2 for 5, run, 2 Ks, A- Brooklyn .267/.290/.300/.590, 8 for 30, 3 runs, 2b, RBI, 1/7 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .307/.347/.468/.815, 86 for 280, 40 runs, 13 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 42 RBI, 13/37 BB/K, 2/3 SBs
3. Jon Niese 10/27/86 (22.25) L/L (AA Binghamton 6-7, 3.04 era, 22 GS, 2 CG, CGSO, 124.1 IP, 118 H, 53/42 R/ER, 5 HR, 44/112 BB/K, 1.50 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.30 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 5-1, 3.40 era, 7 GS, 39.2 IP, 34 H, 15 ER, 4 HR, 14/32 BB/K, 1.66 GO/FO, .231 BAA, 1.21 WHIP, MLB New York 1-1, 7.07 era, 3 GS, 14 IP, 20 H, 11 ER, 2 HR, 8/11 BB/K, 1.38 GO/FO, .333 BAA, 2.00 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 12-9, 3.44 era, 32 GS, 178 IP, 172 H, 79/68 R/ER, 11 HR, 66/155 BB/K, 1,53 GO/FO, .255 BAA, 1.34 WHIP
4. Dan Murphy 4/1/85 (23.83) L/R (AA Binghamton .308/.374/.496/.870, 110 for 357, 56 runs, 26 2b, 3b, 13 HR, 67 RBI, 39/46 BB/K, 14/19 SBs, MLB New York .313/.397/.473/.871, 41 for 131, 24 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 2 HR, 17 RBI, 18/28 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats (AA, MLB): .309/.381/.490/.870, 151 for 488, 80 runs, 35 2b, 4 3b, 15 HR, 84 RBI, 14/21 SBs, 57/74 BB/K
5. Brad Holt 10/13/86 (22.33) R/R (UNC Wilmington 11-1, 3.18 era, 15 GS, 2 CG, 93.1 IP, 78 H, 40/33 R/ER, 8 HR, 36/95 BB/K, .225 BAA, A- Brooklyn 5-3, 1.87 era, 14 GS, 72.1 IP, 43 H, 18/15 R/ER, 3 HR, 33/96 BB/K, 0.98 GO/FO, .171 BAA, 1.05 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 16-4, 2.61 era, 29 GS, 165.2 IP, 121 H, 69/191 BB/K, 1.15 WHIP
6. Mike Carp 6/30/86 (22.58) L/R (AA Binghamton .299/.403/.471/.874, 143 for 478, 67 runs, 29 2b, 3b, 17 HR, 72 RBI, 79/88 BB/K)
7. Nick Evans 1/30/86 (23) R/R (AA Binghamton .311/.365/.561/.926, 92 for 296, 52 runs, 18 2b, 7 3b, 14 HR, 53 RBI, 26/64 BB/K, MLB New York .257/.303/.404/.706, 28 for 109, 18 runs, 10 2b, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 7/24 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .296/.348/.519/.867, 120 for 405, 70 runs, 28 2b, 7 3b, 16 HR, 62 RBI, 33/88 BB/K
8. Reese Havens 10/20/86 (22.25) L/R (South Carolina .359/.486/.645/1.131, 89 for 248, 76 runs, 13 2b, 2 3b, 18 HR, 57 RBI, 58/44 BB/K, A- Brooklyn .247/.340/.471/.811, 21 for 85, 13 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 11/27 BB/K, 3/4 SBs)
Total 2008 Stats: .330/.450/.601/1.051, 110 for 333, 89 runs, 19 2b, 4 3b, 21 HR, 68 RBI, 69/71 BB/K
9. Josh Thole 10/28/86 (22.29) L/R (A+ St. Lucie .300/.382/.427/.808, 104 for 347, 49 runs, 25 2b, 2 3b, 5 HR, 56 RBI, 45/38 BB/K)
10. Francisco Pena 10/12/89 (19.29) R/R (A Savannah .264/.308/.380/.688, 105 for 397, 34 runs, 22 2b, 3 3b, 6 HR, 41 RBI, 25/95 BB/K)
11. Jefry Marte 6/21/91 (17.58) R/R (R GCL .325/.389/.532/.930, 50 for 154, 29 runs, 14 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 24 RBI, 13/30 BB/K)
12. Bobby Parnell 9/8/84 (24.42) R/R (AA Binghamton 10-6, 4.30 era, 24 GS, 127.2 IP, 126 H, 66/61 R/ER, 14 HR, 57/91 BB/K, 1.52 GO/FO, .258 BAA, 1.43 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 2-2, 6.64 era, 5 G, 4 GS, 20.1 IP, 25 H, 16/15 R/ER, 9/23 BB/K, 1.06 GO/FO, 1.67 WHIP, .298 BAA, MLB New York 0-0, 5.40 era, 6 G, 5 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 2/3 BB/K, 1.40 GO/FO, .176 BAA, 1.00 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 12-8, 4.65 era, 35 G, 28 GS, 153 IP, 154 H, 85/79 R/ER, 14 HR, 68/117 BB/K, 1.44 GO/FO, .262 BAA, 1.45 WHIP
13. Eddie Kunz 4/8/86 (22.83) R/R (AA Binghamton 1-4, 2.79 era, 44 G, 27 SVs, 48.1 IP, 39 H, 19/15 R/ER, 25/43 BB/K, 3.55 GO/FO, .222 BAA, 1.32 WHIP, MLB New York 0-0, 13.50 era, 4 G, 2.2 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, HR, BB, K, 6 GO/FO, .455 BAA, 2.25 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 0-1, 7.94 era, 6 G, 5.2 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, HR, 2/4 BB/K, 1.60 GO/FO, .346 BAA, 1.94 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 1-5, 3.82 era, 54 G, 27 SVs, 56.2 IP, 53 H, 28/24 R/ER, 2 HR, 28/48 BB/K, 3.47 GO/FO, .259 BAA, 1.43 WHIP
14. Ike Davis 3/22/87 (21.88) L/L (Arizona State .385/.457/.742/1.200, 82 for 213, 64 runs, 26 2b, 3b, 16 HR, 76 RBI, 31/34 BB/K, A- Brooklyn .256/.326/.326/.652, 55 for 215, 17 runs, 15 2b, 17 RBI, 23/43 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .320/.393/.533/.926, 137 for 428, 81 runs, 41 2b, 3b, 16 HR, 93 RBI, 54/77 BB/K
15. Brant Rustich 1/23/85 (24) R/R (A Savannah 3-4, 3.62 era, 20 G, 8 GS, 49.2 IP, 42 H, 26/20 R/ER, HR, 16/48 BB/K, 1.22 GO/FO, .231 BAA, 1.17 WHIP)
All ages are af os 2/1/09.
1. Fernando Martinez 10/10/88 (20.33) L/R (AA Binghamton .287/.340/.432/.772, 101 for 352, 48 runs, 19 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 43 RBI, 27/73 BB/K, 6/8 SBs)
2. Wilmer Flores 8/6/91 (17.5) R/R (R Kingsport .310/.352/.490/.842, 76 for 245, 36 runs, 12 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 41 RBI, 12/28 BB/K, A Savannah 2 for 5, run, 2 Ks, A- Brooklyn .267/.290/.300/.590, 8 for 30, 3 runs, 2b, RBI, 1/7 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .307/.347/.468/.815, 86 for 280, 40 runs, 13 2b, 4 3b, 8 HR, 42 RBI, 13/37 BB/K, 2/3 SBs
3. Jon Niese 10/27/86 (22.25) L/L (AA Binghamton 6-7, 3.04 era, 22 GS, 2 CG, CGSO, 124.1 IP, 118 H, 53/42 R/ER, 5 HR, 44/112 BB/K, 1.50 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.30 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 5-1, 3.40 era, 7 GS, 39.2 IP, 34 H, 15 ER, 4 HR, 14/32 BB/K, 1.66 GO/FO, .231 BAA, 1.21 WHIP, MLB New York 1-1, 7.07 era, 3 GS, 14 IP, 20 H, 11 ER, 2 HR, 8/11 BB/K, 1.38 GO/FO, .333 BAA, 2.00 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 12-9, 3.44 era, 32 GS, 178 IP, 172 H, 79/68 R/ER, 11 HR, 66/155 BB/K, 1,53 GO/FO, .255 BAA, 1.34 WHIP
4. Dan Murphy 4/1/85 (23.83) L/R (AA Binghamton .308/.374/.496/.870, 110 for 357, 56 runs, 26 2b, 3b, 13 HR, 67 RBI, 39/46 BB/K, 14/19 SBs, MLB New York .313/.397/.473/.871, 41 for 131, 24 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 2 HR, 17 RBI, 18/28 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats (AA, MLB): .309/.381/.490/.870, 151 for 488, 80 runs, 35 2b, 4 3b, 15 HR, 84 RBI, 14/21 SBs, 57/74 BB/K
5. Brad Holt 10/13/86 (22.33) R/R (UNC Wilmington 11-1, 3.18 era, 15 GS, 2 CG, 93.1 IP, 78 H, 40/33 R/ER, 8 HR, 36/95 BB/K, .225 BAA, A- Brooklyn 5-3, 1.87 era, 14 GS, 72.1 IP, 43 H, 18/15 R/ER, 3 HR, 33/96 BB/K, 0.98 GO/FO, .171 BAA, 1.05 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 16-4, 2.61 era, 29 GS, 165.2 IP, 121 H, 69/191 BB/K, 1.15 WHIP
6. Mike Carp 6/30/86 (22.58) L/R (AA Binghamton .299/.403/.471/.874, 143 for 478, 67 runs, 29 2b, 3b, 17 HR, 72 RBI, 79/88 BB/K)
7. Nick Evans 1/30/86 (23) R/R (AA Binghamton .311/.365/.561/.926, 92 for 296, 52 runs, 18 2b, 7 3b, 14 HR, 53 RBI, 26/64 BB/K, MLB New York .257/.303/.404/.706, 28 for 109, 18 runs, 10 2b, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 7/24 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .296/.348/.519/.867, 120 for 405, 70 runs, 28 2b, 7 3b, 16 HR, 62 RBI, 33/88 BB/K
8. Reese Havens 10/20/86 (22.25) L/R (South Carolina .359/.486/.645/1.131, 89 for 248, 76 runs, 13 2b, 2 3b, 18 HR, 57 RBI, 58/44 BB/K, A- Brooklyn .247/.340/.471/.811, 21 for 85, 13 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 11/27 BB/K, 3/4 SBs)
Total 2008 Stats: .330/.450/.601/1.051, 110 for 333, 89 runs, 19 2b, 4 3b, 21 HR, 68 RBI, 69/71 BB/K
9. Josh Thole 10/28/86 (22.29) L/R (A+ St. Lucie .300/.382/.427/.808, 104 for 347, 49 runs, 25 2b, 2 3b, 5 HR, 56 RBI, 45/38 BB/K)
10. Francisco Pena 10/12/89 (19.29) R/R (A Savannah .264/.308/.380/.688, 105 for 397, 34 runs, 22 2b, 3 3b, 6 HR, 41 RBI, 25/95 BB/K)
11. Jefry Marte 6/21/91 (17.58) R/R (R GCL .325/.389/.532/.930, 50 for 154, 29 runs, 14 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 24 RBI, 13/30 BB/K)
12. Bobby Parnell 9/8/84 (24.42) R/R (AA Binghamton 10-6, 4.30 era, 24 GS, 127.2 IP, 126 H, 66/61 R/ER, 14 HR, 57/91 BB/K, 1.52 GO/FO, .258 BAA, 1.43 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 2-2, 6.64 era, 5 G, 4 GS, 20.1 IP, 25 H, 16/15 R/ER, 9/23 BB/K, 1.06 GO/FO, 1.67 WHIP, .298 BAA, MLB New York 0-0, 5.40 era, 6 G, 5 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 2/3 BB/K, 1.40 GO/FO, .176 BAA, 1.00 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 12-8, 4.65 era, 35 G, 28 GS, 153 IP, 154 H, 85/79 R/ER, 14 HR, 68/117 BB/K, 1.44 GO/FO, .262 BAA, 1.45 WHIP
13. Eddie Kunz 4/8/86 (22.83) R/R (AA Binghamton 1-4, 2.79 era, 44 G, 27 SVs, 48.1 IP, 39 H, 19/15 R/ER, 25/43 BB/K, 3.55 GO/FO, .222 BAA, 1.32 WHIP, MLB New York 0-0, 13.50 era, 4 G, 2.2 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, HR, BB, K, 6 GO/FO, .455 BAA, 2.25 WHIP, AAA New Orleans 0-1, 7.94 era, 6 G, 5.2 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, HR, 2/4 BB/K, 1.60 GO/FO, .346 BAA, 1.94 WHIP)
Total 2008 Stats: 1-5, 3.82 era, 54 G, 27 SVs, 56.2 IP, 53 H, 28/24 R/ER, 2 HR, 28/48 BB/K, 3.47 GO/FO, .259 BAA, 1.43 WHIP
14. Ike Davis 3/22/87 (21.88) L/L (Arizona State .385/.457/.742/1.200, 82 for 213, 64 runs, 26 2b, 3b, 16 HR, 76 RBI, 31/34 BB/K, A- Brooklyn .256/.326/.326/.652, 55 for 215, 17 runs, 15 2b, 17 RBI, 23/43 BB/K)
Total 2008 Stats: .320/.393/.533/.926, 137 for 428, 81 runs, 41 2b, 3b, 16 HR, 93 RBI, 54/77 BB/K
15. Brant Rustich 1/23/85 (24) R/R (A Savannah 3-4, 3.62 era, 20 G, 8 GS, 49.2 IP, 42 H, 26/20 R/ER, HR, 16/48 BB/K, 1.22 GO/FO, .231 BAA, 1.17 WHIP)
Monday, October 06, 2008
Critique Away - Tejesh's 2008-2009 Offseason Plan for World Domination!
2009 Plan:
1. Trade Castillo for nothing, eat 12 mil of the 18 mil left on his deal, 4 mil in each year, 2009, 2010, 2011
2. Pick up Delgado's option.
3. Sign Oliver Perez 5 years, 81.25 mil (2009: 13.75 mil, 2010: 15 mil, 2010: 16.25 mil, 2011: 17.5 mil, 2012: 18.75 mil)
4. Sign CC Sabathia 6 years, 124.5 mil (2009: 15.75 mil, 2010: 17.75 mil, 2011: 19.75 mil, 2012: 21.75 mil, 2013: 23.75 mil, 2014: 25.75 mil)
5. Sign Francisco Rodriguez 5 years, 78.75 mil (2009: 14.75 mil, 2010: 15.25 mil, 2011: 15.75 mil, 2012: 16.25 mil, 2013: 16.75 mil)
6. Trade Aaron Heilman, Duaner Sanchez, Pedro Feliciano and Scott Schoeneweis for prospects
6a. Aaron Heilman to DET for AAA RP Yorman Bazardo, A SP Mauricio Robles, A C Alex Avila
6b. Scott Schoeneweis to LAD for AA OF Andrew Lambo
6c. Duaner Sanchez and Pedro Feliciano to TB for AAA 3B/1B Chris Nowak and A SP Alex Cobb
7. Chris Nowak, Alex Cobb and Eric Niesen to MIN for Jesse Crain
8. Greg Veloz/Juan Lagares/Ruben Tejada and Michael Antonini/Dillon Gee/Dylan Owen to ARI for Jon Rauch
9. Josh Stinson, Lucas Duda and Brahiam Maldonado to KC for Ross Gload, Ron Mahay, Yashuhiko Yabuta and A LHP Dan Duffy (salary dumps)
11. Sign Will Ohman 2 years, 4.75 mil (2009: 2.5 mil, 2010: 2.25 mil)
For 2009, you're set with:
Delgado 1b, Murphy/Argenis 2b, Reyes ss, Wright 3b, Evans/Gload, Beltran cf, Church rf, Schneider/Castro c
Santana, Sabathia, Maine, Perez, Pelfrey
Rodriguez, Rauch, Crain, Smith, Mahay, Ohman, Yabuta
Payroll: $158.8 mil (underneath the $162 mil luxury tax)
2009 payroll: $134.55 mil, with 3 bullpen arms to get (incl Crain), a new bench, and new #1 catcher (one of Thole/Pena/Avila?)
1. Trade Castillo for nothing, eat 12 mil of the 18 mil left on his deal, 4 mil in each year, 2009, 2010, 2011
2. Pick up Delgado's option.
3. Sign Oliver Perez 5 years, 81.25 mil (2009: 13.75 mil, 2010: 15 mil, 2010: 16.25 mil, 2011: 17.5 mil, 2012: 18.75 mil)
4. Sign CC Sabathia 6 years, 124.5 mil (2009: 15.75 mil, 2010: 17.75 mil, 2011: 19.75 mil, 2012: 21.75 mil, 2013: 23.75 mil, 2014: 25.75 mil)
5. Sign Francisco Rodriguez 5 years, 78.75 mil (2009: 14.75 mil, 2010: 15.25 mil, 2011: 15.75 mil, 2012: 16.25 mil, 2013: 16.75 mil)
6. Trade Aaron Heilman, Duaner Sanchez, Pedro Feliciano and Scott Schoeneweis for prospects
6a. Aaron Heilman to DET for AAA RP Yorman Bazardo, A SP Mauricio Robles, A C Alex Avila
6b. Scott Schoeneweis to LAD for AA OF Andrew Lambo
6c. Duaner Sanchez and Pedro Feliciano to TB for AAA 3B/1B Chris Nowak and A SP Alex Cobb
7. Chris Nowak, Alex Cobb and Eric Niesen to MIN for Jesse Crain
8. Greg Veloz/Juan Lagares/Ruben Tejada and Michael Antonini/Dillon Gee/Dylan Owen to ARI for Jon Rauch
9. Josh Stinson, Lucas Duda and Brahiam Maldonado to KC for Ross Gload, Ron Mahay, Yashuhiko Yabuta and A LHP Dan Duffy (salary dumps)
11. Sign Will Ohman 2 years, 4.75 mil (2009: 2.5 mil, 2010: 2.25 mil)
For 2009, you're set with:
Delgado 1b, Murphy/Argenis 2b, Reyes ss, Wright 3b, Evans/Gload, Beltran cf, Church rf, Schneider/Castro c
Santana, Sabathia, Maine, Perez, Pelfrey
Rodriguez, Rauch, Crain, Smith, Mahay, Ohman, Yabuta
Payroll: $158.8 mil (underneath the $162 mil luxury tax)
2009 payroll: $134.55 mil, with 3 bullpen arms to get (incl Crain), a new bench, and new #1 catcher (one of Thole/Pena/Avila?)
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