Prospects traded away in the last year - Part IIII
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
9/4/08: .290/.355/.447/.802, 148 for 510, 69 runs, 34 2b, 8 3b, 10 HR, 72 RBI, 49/125 BB/K, 22/33 SBs
The fact he ended up with the same number of RBI as Mike Carp is stunning, not to mention he ended up with 5 more doubles. From the getgo, Martin hit much much better against lefties (.343/.403/.434/.836) then righties (.270/.337/.452/.789), though with more pop against RHP. Martin played this season at age 24, roughly 1.5 years older then you'd like a prospect to be in AA. Still, he's got a chance to be a decent/good player if he handles AAA well next season.
Bottom line: No regrets on trading away Dustin Martin. Many regrets on who we got for him.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
9/4/08: .219/.308/.354/.663, 66 for 302, 39 runs, 18 2b, 3b, 7 HR, 39 RBI, 35/55 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .167/.286/.292/.577. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
Well, he had a "better" August, hitting .235/.286/.431/.717. Yeah. Not a good year at all for Butera. He played the majority of it at age 24, and performed very badly.
Bottom line: No regrets on trading away Dustin Martin. Many regrets on who we got for him.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
9/4/08 (A+) .238/.273/.297/.570, 85 for 357, 31 runs, 12 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 9/31 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .238/.275/.301/.576, 101 for 425, 37 runs, 16 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 13/35 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
9/4/08 (AA): .285/.361/.455/.816, 113 for 396, 66 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 11 HR, 62 RBI, 42/75 BB/K, 16/23 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (A+/AA).286/.362/.451/.813, 125 for 437, 72 runs, 25 2b, 7 3b, 11 HR, 69 RBI, 45/82 BB/K, 20/27 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
Bottom Line: Useless trade for a useless pile of junk (Conine).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
9/4/08: 11-9, 5.47 era, 26 G, 25 GS, CGSO, 130 IP, 138 H, 85/79 R/ER, 12 HR, 71/71 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .272 BAA, 1.68 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is having a nightmarish time of it. He had as bad an August as you could have (1-3, 8.44 era, 5 GS, 21.1 ip, 27 h, 20 er, 20/14 bb/k). He still has age on his side, but it is highly disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
9/4/08: 7-9, 3.77 era, 27 GS, CG, 148 IP, 152 H, 80/62 R/ER, 16 HR, 48/121 BB/K, 0.79 GO.FO, .265 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 29 innings, allowing 25 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
9/4/08: 10-8, 4.56 era, 31 G, 23 GS, 2 CG, 136.1 IP, 145 H, 76/69 R/ER, 21 HR, 49/106 BB/K, 0.73 GO/FO, .273 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
And he turned it around big time in August, earning a September callup to the Twins. Humber had a great month of August, going 4-1, 2.74 (6 GS, 2 CG, 42.2 IP, 38 H, 13 ER, 7/36 BB/K), bringing his numbers down to respectability. It appears, from his K rate, that his fastball's come back the last couple months (59 Ks in 67 IP July, August), after just 47 in 69.1 IP April-June.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
9/4/08: .252/.289/.341/.630, 125 for 496, 68 runs, 18 2b, 4 3b, 6 HR, 39 RBI, 21/124 BB/K, 28/38 SBs
Ouch. he's on pace to K 146 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
Showing posts with label Deolis Guerra. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Deolis Guerra. Show all posts
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Update IV on Former Prospects
Prospects traded away in the last year - Part III
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
He's still hitting LHP much better then he's hitting RHP, with an .894 OPS vs LHP and a .753 OPS vs RHP. You would expect his numbers vs RHP to come up, so there's still a chance he'll become something useful down the road, but at his age/level, remember he's about a year or two older then average in the EL.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .176/.300/.309/.609. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is struggling big time doing it, he still has age on his side, but it is disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CF, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 22.2 innings, allowing 19 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing, in his last 10 games, he's lost games of 6 ip, 1 er, and 4.2 ip, 1 er, while taking NDs in games of 6.2 ip, 3 er and 7 ip, 2 er. Still, the performance of the next guy on this list is terrible, so as of right now, Mulvey's the only minor leaguer given him in this trade who's performing reasonably well.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
Ouch. He went into the tank since our last update, and is on pace to K 157 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
He's still hitting LHP much better then he's hitting RHP, with an .894 OPS vs LHP and a .753 OPS vs RHP. You would expect his numbers vs RHP to come up, so there's still a chance he'll become something useful down the road, but at his age/level, remember he's about a year or two older then average in the EL.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .176/.300/.309/.609. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is struggling big time doing it, he still has age on his side, but it is disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CF, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 22.2 innings, allowing 19 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing, in his last 10 games, he's lost games of 6 ip, 1 er, and 4.2 ip, 1 er, while taking NDs in games of 6.2 ip, 3 er and 7 ip, 2 er. Still, the performance of the next guy on this list is terrible, so as of right now, Mulvey's the only minor leaguer given him in this trade who's performing reasonably well.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
Ouch. He went into the tank since our last update, and is on pace to K 157 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
Saturday, May 31, 2008
Prospects traded away in the last year - Part III
I don't have much to say on them right now - but when I do, I'll throw in some commentary.
1. Dustin Martin
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
Now: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
He's CRUSHING LHP to the tune of .436/.515/.509 (24 for 55, 17 runs, 4 2b, 10 RBI, 7/10 BB/K, 8/10 SBs)
2. Jose Castro
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
Now (A+): .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
3. Sean Henry
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
Now (AA): .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
4. Drew Butera
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
Now: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
5. Deolis Guerra
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
Now: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
6. Kevin Mulvey
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
Now: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
Philip Humber
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
Now: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
Carlos Gomez
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
Now: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
1. Dustin Martin
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
Now: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
He's CRUSHING LHP to the tune of .436/.515/.509 (24 for 55, 17 runs, 4 2b, 10 RBI, 7/10 BB/K, 8/10 SBs)
2. Jose Castro
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
Now (A+): .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
3. Sean Henry
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
Now (AA): .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
4. Drew Butera
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
Now: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
5. Deolis Guerra
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
Now: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
6. Kevin Mulvey
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
Now: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
Philip Humber
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
Now: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
Carlos Gomez
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
Now: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
Monday, May 05, 2008
Prospects We Traded In the Past Year - Part II
OF Dustin Martin L/L 4/4/84 24 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Now: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
My thoughts: Again, I was against this trade (I wanted to go with Gotay), but Martin's 24 in AA, and was drafted in the low 20th rounds in 2006 as a senior. Maybe he becomes another Jason Tyner for the Twins. He, like Carp and Murphy, is hitting better vs LHP (.441/.487/.529/1.017) then RHP (.298/.344/.474/.817). There isn't much upside here, IMO. Just would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
C Drew Butera R/R 8/9/83 24.75 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Now: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
My thoughts: Well, it didn't take to June. Obviously, he's not quite this bad of a hitter, but he's not much better. He hit .258/.348/.418 in high A for the Mets last year, then .188/.208/.231 in AA in 117 ABs. He's sound defensively, but obviously needs to hit better. And he's not getting much younger, being close to 25.
SS Jose Castro S/R 11/5/86 21.5 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
AA Chattanooga
Previously: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Now: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
My thoughts: It remains to be seen just how much of a loss, if any, Castro was. As I said earlier, his 07 was his best offensive year to date, and it was coming off a complete and utter disaster in 2006 (.217/.285/.245/.530 in Hagerstown). Binghamton would've been insanity with all these guys there, though.
OF Sean Henry R/R 8/18/85 22.75 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
A+ Sarasota/AA Chattanooga
Previously: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Now - AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
My thoughts: Immediately after I posted my thoughts on 4/14, he was promoted to AA, where he has continued to rake. The weird thing about Henry is he's hitting .182/.280/.455 vs LHP and .464/.500/.786 vs RHP. Last year in St. Lucie, he hit .281/.344/.430 vs LHP and .296/.359/.470 vs RHP, as a comparison. As with Martin, it would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
SP Deolis Guerra R/R 4/17/89 19 years old (traded for Johan)
A+ Fort Myers
Previously: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Now: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
My thoughts: Same as before. Since the last update about 2 1/2 weeks ago, he's had 4 more outings, including 3 starts, and his last two have been brutal (8.1 ip, 15 h, 11 er, 3/5 bb/k, 11.88 era). I'm still not sure why he's repeating high A, but whatever. He's yet to go past 5 innings in any outing this year.
SP Kevin Mulvey R/R 5/26/85 23 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Now: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
My thoughts: Since the last update, he went 7 innings allowing a run, 5.2 allowing a run, and then has had back to back awful outings totalling 9.2 innings, 17 h, 11 er, 5/9 bb/k, 10.24 era. I still hold to my prediction he'll be better then Humber, and the jury is out on Pelfrey.
P Philip Humber R/R 12/21/82 25.33 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Now: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
My thoughts: Yeesh. For a while, I ranked Humber ahead of Pelfrey...that's not working out well. Since the last update, Humber had 3 more poor starts, and has now been banished to the bullpen. The jury may have finished deliberations, and the verdict isn't good. It's still a small sample size this year, but the lack of Ks and loss of control is alarming, as is the .320 BAA.
OF Carlos Gomez R/R 12/4/85 22.33 years old
MLB Twins
Previously: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Now: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
My thoughts: He's incredibly raw. Ugly IsoD of 26, and equally ugly IsoP of 103, but it's not terrible for where he is in his career. His career numbers aren't awful, either. Not good, but not terrible: .250/.292/.336/.628, 58 for 232, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3b, 3 HR, 20 RBI, 11/53 BB/K, 25/29 SBs. Very comparable to Jose Reyes' 2005 season. I reiterate: if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape.
AA New Britain
Previously: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Now: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
My thoughts: Again, I was against this trade (I wanted to go with Gotay), but Martin's 24 in AA, and was drafted in the low 20th rounds in 2006 as a senior. Maybe he becomes another Jason Tyner for the Twins. He, like Carp and Murphy, is hitting better vs LHP (.441/.487/.529/1.017) then RHP (.298/.344/.474/.817). There isn't much upside here, IMO. Just would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
C Drew Butera R/R 8/9/83 24.75 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Now: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
My thoughts: Well, it didn't take to June. Obviously, he's not quite this bad of a hitter, but he's not much better. He hit .258/.348/.418 in high A for the Mets last year, then .188/.208/.231 in AA in 117 ABs. He's sound defensively, but obviously needs to hit better. And he's not getting much younger, being close to 25.
SS Jose Castro S/R 11/5/86 21.5 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
AA Chattanooga
Previously: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Now: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
My thoughts: It remains to be seen just how much of a loss, if any, Castro was. As I said earlier, his 07 was his best offensive year to date, and it was coming off a complete and utter disaster in 2006 (.217/.285/.245/.530 in Hagerstown). Binghamton would've been insanity with all these guys there, though.
OF Sean Henry R/R 8/18/85 22.75 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
A+ Sarasota/AA Chattanooga
Previously: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Now - AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
My thoughts: Immediately after I posted my thoughts on 4/14, he was promoted to AA, where he has continued to rake. The weird thing about Henry is he's hitting .182/.280/.455 vs LHP and .464/.500/.786 vs RHP. Last year in St. Lucie, he hit .281/.344/.430 vs LHP and .296/.359/.470 vs RHP, as a comparison. As with Martin, it would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
SP Deolis Guerra R/R 4/17/89 19 years old (traded for Johan)
A+ Fort Myers
Previously: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Now: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
My thoughts: Same as before. Since the last update about 2 1/2 weeks ago, he's had 4 more outings, including 3 starts, and his last two have been brutal (8.1 ip, 15 h, 11 er, 3/5 bb/k, 11.88 era). I'm still not sure why he's repeating high A, but whatever. He's yet to go past 5 innings in any outing this year.
SP Kevin Mulvey R/R 5/26/85 23 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Now: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
My thoughts: Since the last update, he went 7 innings allowing a run, 5.2 allowing a run, and then has had back to back awful outings totalling 9.2 innings, 17 h, 11 er, 5/9 bb/k, 10.24 era. I still hold to my prediction he'll be better then Humber, and the jury is out on Pelfrey.
P Philip Humber R/R 12/21/82 25.33 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Now: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
My thoughts: Yeesh. For a while, I ranked Humber ahead of Pelfrey...that's not working out well. Since the last update, Humber had 3 more poor starts, and has now been banished to the bullpen. The jury may have finished deliberations, and the verdict isn't good. It's still a small sample size this year, but the lack of Ks and loss of control is alarming, as is the .320 BAA.
OF Carlos Gomez R/R 12/4/85 22.33 years old
MLB Twins
Previously: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Now: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
My thoughts: He's incredibly raw. Ugly IsoD of 26, and equally ugly IsoP of 103, but it's not terrible for where he is in his career. His career numbers aren't awful, either. Not good, but not terrible: .250/.292/.336/.628, 58 for 232, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3b, 3 HR, 20 RBI, 11/53 BB/K, 25/29 SBs. Very comparable to Jose Reyes' 2005 season. I reiterate: if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape.
Monday, April 14, 2008
The prospects we traded in the last year...
I'm not sure if people care, but here is a recap of how all our traded prospects over the past year are faring so far this year:
Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
.520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
.300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
.280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+
.293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 22 11/12, R/R, AAA
1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
.269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Oh - by the way, just for fun:
CF Fernando Martinez
SS/2B Jose Castro
3B Dan Murphy
1B/DH Nick Evans
1B/DH Mike Carp
OF Sean Henry
OF Dustin Martin
SS/2B Emmanuel Garcia
C Drew Butera
Wow.
Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
.520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
.300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
.280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+
.293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 22 11/12, R/R, AAA
1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
.269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Oh - by the way, just for fun:
CF Fernando Martinez
SS/2B Jose Castro
3B Dan Murphy
1B/DH Nick Evans
1B/DH Mike Carp
OF Sean Henry
OF Dustin Martin
SS/2B Emmanuel Garcia
C Drew Butera
Wow.
Thursday, January 04, 2007
Projectprospect.com's top 100 Prospect List...
10. Mike Pelfrey (Will figure things out in big leagues and surface as an ace before long)
23. Fernando Martinez (253/.305/.379 in AFL; still a few years away, could top this list by then.)
44. Phillip Humber (Other Owl who is back on track, expect Humber to crack the Mets rotation by July)
72. Carlos Gomez (Career: .279/.337/.400; best season came in 2006: .281/.350/.423)
87. Deolis Guerra (Very impressive for his age (17); career: 89 IP 69:43 K to BB 1.25 WHIP)
------------------------
MPH's take: I really doubt Pelfrey and Humber are as far apart as this list indicates. Anyone who knows me knows I rank Humber ahead of Pelfrey on any list I do. As for Nando, he's special, that's for sure. He outperformed Jose Tabata, his Yankee counterpart, but both are (barring injury) destined for stardom in the majors.
I am very surprised by the low rankings for Carlos Gomez and Deolis Guerra. And obviously, these guys don't know much about either, if all they give us in their discussion is career stats.
Carlos Gomez is a potential 5 tool talent, he's got blazing speed, great defensive skills, and can hit for average pretty well. He needs to work on plate discipline and power hitting, which should come in time.
Let's remember that you don't need to hit 20 homers to be an impact major league player. Oh, and not every prospect has to be an impact player. If someone came up and consistently hit .280 with 8 homers and 46 RBI and solid defense, that's certainly not high impact, but it is a very solid player.
Deolis Guerra is 17, as they mentioned, and should add a good bit to his 88-92 mph fastball, making it a plus plus offering (velocity/movement). While right now he's compared to Yusmiero Petit, we feel that in the future, he'll be compared more to a King Felix type. Not to mention Guerra is actually a half season ahead of Felix Hernandez in terms of player development. Felix didn't see high A until his second professional season, Deolis saw high A in his rookie campaign. Look out.
23. Fernando Martinez (253/.305/.379 in AFL; still a few years away, could top this list by then.)
44. Phillip Humber (Other Owl who is back on track, expect Humber to crack the Mets rotation by July)
72. Carlos Gomez (Career: .279/.337/.400; best season came in 2006: .281/.350/.423)
87. Deolis Guerra (Very impressive for his age (17); career: 89 IP 69:43 K to BB 1.25 WHIP)
------------------------
MPH's take: I really doubt Pelfrey and Humber are as far apart as this list indicates. Anyone who knows me knows I rank Humber ahead of Pelfrey on any list I do. As for Nando, he's special, that's for sure. He outperformed Jose Tabata, his Yankee counterpart, but both are (barring injury) destined for stardom in the majors.
I am very surprised by the low rankings for Carlos Gomez and Deolis Guerra. And obviously, these guys don't know much about either, if all they give us in their discussion is career stats.
Carlos Gomez is a potential 5 tool talent, he's got blazing speed, great defensive skills, and can hit for average pretty well. He needs to work on plate discipline and power hitting, which should come in time.
Let's remember that you don't need to hit 20 homers to be an impact major league player. Oh, and not every prospect has to be an impact player. If someone came up and consistently hit .280 with 8 homers and 46 RBI and solid defense, that's certainly not high impact, but it is a very solid player.
Deolis Guerra is 17, as they mentioned, and should add a good bit to his 88-92 mph fastball, making it a plus plus offering (velocity/movement). While right now he's compared to Yusmiero Petit, we feel that in the future, he'll be compared more to a King Felix type. Not to mention Guerra is actually a half season ahead of Felix Hernandez in terms of player development. Felix didn't see high A until his second professional season, Deolis saw high A in his rookie campaign. Look out.
Monday, January 01, 2007
Prospects of the day - Guerra, Garcia, Gomez
The 3 G's, the G- men, ...the Future?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carlos Gomez OF R R 6′ 2″ 175 20 12-04-1985
Emmanuel Garcia 2B L R 6′ 2″ 180 20 03-04-1986
via Macksmets.com, which is a great site, check it out
Deolis Guerra P R R 6′ 5″ 200 17 04-17-1989
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carlos Gomez OF R R 6′ 2″ 175 20 12-04-1985
Carlos came out of the DSL Mets system in 2003, and made his pro debut with Kingsport in 2004. Baseball America named him the 6th best Mets prospect, plus tagged him as the best base runner and outfield arm. Scout.com had him the 8th prospect. In 2005, at Hagerstown, Gomez hit .275/.331/.376, and stole 64 bases. In 2006, he had 41 steals in 50 attempts. His K-rate of 1 K per 4.4 Abs is excellent and is clearly the best defensive outfielder in the Mets minor league system. He seemed overmatched when he first jumped to AA; however, he hit .341 after July 1st. Gomez was named 3rd best Mets prospect/fastest player/best outfield arm by Baseball America. OnDeck has him #6. He’s very aggressive on the base paths, and an excellent bunter. Has ability to drive the ball as well.and was reported to have the best raw tools in the organization. InsidePitch ranks him as the #1 Mets prospect, RotoWorld has him #4, BA #6, and John Sickles rates him C+. Has been tagged “best arm in the business”, tons of raw power”, “blazing speed”, and “aggressive at the plate.” Many scouts say hi raw tools are better than Lastings Milledge, though his power isn’t there yet, similar to Milledge. Gomez’s main flaw is his plate discipline, and he has walked an outrageously low thirteen times in 294 at bats. He also has difficulty facing left-hand pitchers, particularly ones with great breaking balls. Some in the organization believe that if Gomez continues to improve his skills he could become the team’s right-fielder of the future. Scout.com updated their 2006 prospect ratings and now ranks Gomez #87. Gotham Baseball updated their prospect list in August 2006 and listed Gomez as #2. Baseball America named Gomez as the top Mets prospect in 2006. Also in 2006, Michel Abreu and Gomez were co-winners at Binghamton (AA) of the Eastern League. Baseball America listed the top 20 2006 prospects for the Eastern league and ranked Gomez #8. He played 2006 winter ball for Escongido of the Dominican League. InsidePitch listed him, in Nov 2001, as the top Mets prospect in the system. In December 2006 Scout.com listed Gomez as one of the top 10 Mets prospects and the 22nd best outfield prospect in all of baseball. Fantasyinfocentral.com currently lists Gomez as the 3rd top Mets prospect. Baseball Prospectus updated their top 10 Mets prospect list in December 2006 and placed Gomez as the #4 ranked prospect, with a second tier “very good prospect” tag.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Emmanuel Garcia 2B L R 6′ 2″ 180 20 03-04-1986
Garcia was a member of the 2004 Baseball Canada Junior National Team. He made his minor league debut (Garcia went undrafted in 2004 because of baseball’s shortage of work visas) with the GCL Mets in 2005 (.339, 17SB, 43 R) and won the Sterling Award, given out by the Mets organization for best player at each level. In 2005, Baseball America ranked Garcia as the 20th top prospect in the Gulf Coast league. OnDeck ranked him the 14th top Mets prospect in 2006. OnDeck also updated their ratings at the end of the 2006 season and ranked Garcia as the 9th best batter in the Appalachian League (146.50 rating) and 15th overall prospect in the league. Baseball America said “Garcia’s above-average speed might be his best tool, as he finished third in the league with 19 stolen bases, with his bat is a close second. Managers were uniformly impressed with his actions, range and body control at shortstop…”. The Mets named Garcia the winner of the Sterling Award for the top player on the 2006 Kingsport team of the Appalachian League.
via Macksmets.com, which is a great site, check it out
Monday, December 25, 2006
Minorleaguebaseball.com's METS Prospect Report + Comments and analysis from me
NEW YORK METS
Organization MVP: Lastings Milledge. Barring an injury in New York, the Mets' top prospect is probably stuck at Triple-A, where he should reward the team's decision-makers for electing to hold on to him during a whirlwind of trade talks over the offseason. As well as he's handled Major League pitching during Spring Training, you've gotta believe Lastings can hang in the IL.
This was dead on in a number of ways. First, it was an injury that brought Milledge up to New York. Second, he did hang in the IL, batting .277 with 32 extra-base hits in 84 games. He did hit better early on (.357 in April), with the travels to and from New York perhaps taking their toll. That being said, he didn't actually win the Sterling Minor League Organizational Player of the Year Award, an honor that went to first baseman Mike Carp.
Cy on the farm: Mike Pelfrey. He was widely considered the best pitching talent in last year's draft, and judging by his Spring Training performance, the long layoff didn't negatively affect him. Brian Bannister will be pitching at a much higher level -- possibly even in the Majors -- and other promising hurlers like Jon Niese and Bobby Parnell could be pitching at the same level as Pelfrey, just at a younger age.
Well, Pelfrey did have a successful run in the Minors. He went 7-3 with a 2.43 ERA across three levels, striking out 109 and walking only 33 in 96 1/3 innings. Opponents hit just .232 against him and he made it to the big leagues for four starts in his first pro season. But it was Mike Devaney who took home Pitcher of the Year honors after leading the organization in ERA and wins and finishing second to Niese in strikeouts. There's not likely to be too much debate, though, over which Mike is more highly touted at this point.
High Tide: With players like Milledge, Brian Bannister, Jeff Keppinger, Brett Harper and Chase Lambin possibly spending time in Norfolk this season, the Tides could have quite a talented young nucleus in the International League. They made the playoffs last year while relying largely on older, veteran players like Brian Daubach, Ron Calloway, Benji Gil, Rodney Nye, Eric Junge and Jae Seo. This year, a return trip wouldn't be a surprise, although potentially with a much younger cast.
Oops. Norfolk finished 57-84, 22 games behind division winner Charlotte. Some of the players, like Milledge and Bannister (before getting hurt), were lost to the big leagues. Keppinger hit well before being traded. Lambin batted just .222 before being demoted to Double-A. Harper missed most of the year and the time he did play also was also in Double-A.
Latin love: Conspiracy theorists tried to accuse GM Omar Minaya of being a racist because of his proclivity for signing Latin players. But Mets fans won't be complaining if youngsters like Deolis Guerra, Fernando Martinez and/or Junior Contreras pan out as they're expected to. Martinez, from the Dominican Republic, and Guerra, a Venezuelan, are 16 and 17 respectively and signed for a combined $2.1 million last year (with Martinez getting $1.4 million). Contreras is a hulking 6-foot-6, 250-pound first baseman, who was second in the Gulf Coast League with eight home runs last year. The 20-year-old Dominican also drew 26 walks and was fourth in the league with a .401 on-base percentage and fifth in slugging (.500).
Muy bien. Guerra had a 2.20 ERA in 17 starts in his first taste of full-season ball (at age 17), yielding just 59 hits over 81 2/3 innings, before getting a three-start taste (including one playoff start) of the Florida State League. Martinez was the youngest player ever to play in the Arizona Fall League after he hit a combined .279 across two levels during the season. The teenage sensation is on the Top 50 prospects list and hit .333 in 45 games with Hagerstown before stumbling a little with an aggressive promotion to St. Lucie. Contreras made more modest gains, hitting .284, though without much power, mostly with Kingsport in the Appalachian League.
End result: Technically, we hit .250 on this one. But if you call the Pelfrey call a push, we improve to .333.
------------------------
Lastings Milledge had a good rookie season in the majors, and there is no reason to question his talent, or ability. His personality, perhaps, but not the talent. He displayed all 5 tools in his 166 AB introduction to the majors. He will likely begin the year in New Orleans, with Shawn Green (why?) in right field.
Mike Carp? He's legit. In a couple of the articles we posted late last month here, you read that Carp reinvented his stroke, spraying the ball around rather then being a dead pull (Jacobs?) hitter. We feel that this puts Carp into the David Wright mold of hitting. Carp's got natural power, enough to where he can and will hit 25-30 homers, just like Wright, along with a .300+ average. Look for big things out of Carp in Binghamton
Mike Pelfrey didn't do anything to harm his prospect status in his 4 MLB starts, but Phillip Humber, in my opinion, did a whole lot to boost his prospect status. Naysayers point out Humber is 23, which is true. However, Pelfrey's 22 and alot less refined. Humber has a 94 mph fastball which touches 96, with a hammer curve and a power change. Pelfrey just has a 96-98 mph fastball, and then several weak secondary pitches. Both pitchers will begin the season in New Orleans, most likely, headlining what looks to be a very very strong team.
The Latin Connection? Strong and vibrant. Fernando Martinez and Deolis Guerra are, without question, going to be stars in the majors, someday. FMart showed good discipline at Hagerstown, 15/36 BB/K ratio in 192 at-bats. Then, as a 17 year old (HS senior?) in high A St. Lucie, he hit 5 homers in 119 ABs, doubling his season total to 10. Guerra just tore the Sally League apart, and he's also just 17. Look for his fastball to pick up between 4-7 mph, becoming a plus/plus offering. He is also very refined, with a very good changeup.
All in all, I feel that the Mets farm system doesn't get the props it deserves. But that'll change, really soon. We have 7 very legit prospects in the farm, and good depth, too.
------------------------
PS: Sorry about not updating this blog in a while, but the winter months are extraordinairly quiet with regards to prospects.
PPS: Carlos Gomez is 5 for his last 8, raising his average to .242. His stats: 11 runs scored, 0 2b, 3b, hr, 5 RBI, 2 BBs/26 Ks (yes, his plate discipline ain't good, but he wasn't playing regularly for a long time, he is now), 12 SBs (considering he's gotten on base a whopping 24 times, that's pretty good, the 12 steals).
-------------------------
Have a nice and safe Christmas, everyone.
Organization MVP: Lastings Milledge. Barring an injury in New York, the Mets' top prospect is probably stuck at Triple-A, where he should reward the team's decision-makers for electing to hold on to him during a whirlwind of trade talks over the offseason. As well as he's handled Major League pitching during Spring Training, you've gotta believe Lastings can hang in the IL.
This was dead on in a number of ways. First, it was an injury that brought Milledge up to New York. Second, he did hang in the IL, batting .277 with 32 extra-base hits in 84 games. He did hit better early on (.357 in April), with the travels to and from New York perhaps taking their toll. That being said, he didn't actually win the Sterling Minor League Organizational Player of the Year Award, an honor that went to first baseman Mike Carp.
Cy on the farm: Mike Pelfrey. He was widely considered the best pitching talent in last year's draft, and judging by his Spring Training performance, the long layoff didn't negatively affect him. Brian Bannister will be pitching at a much higher level -- possibly even in the Majors -- and other promising hurlers like Jon Niese and Bobby Parnell could be pitching at the same level as Pelfrey, just at a younger age.
Well, Pelfrey did have a successful run in the Minors. He went 7-3 with a 2.43 ERA across three levels, striking out 109 and walking only 33 in 96 1/3 innings. Opponents hit just .232 against him and he made it to the big leagues for four starts in his first pro season. But it was Mike Devaney who took home Pitcher of the Year honors after leading the organization in ERA and wins and finishing second to Niese in strikeouts. There's not likely to be too much debate, though, over which Mike is more highly touted at this point.
High Tide: With players like Milledge, Brian Bannister, Jeff Keppinger, Brett Harper and Chase Lambin possibly spending time in Norfolk this season, the Tides could have quite a talented young nucleus in the International League. They made the playoffs last year while relying largely on older, veteran players like Brian Daubach, Ron Calloway, Benji Gil, Rodney Nye, Eric Junge and Jae Seo. This year, a return trip wouldn't be a surprise, although potentially with a much younger cast.
Oops. Norfolk finished 57-84, 22 games behind division winner Charlotte. Some of the players, like Milledge and Bannister (before getting hurt), were lost to the big leagues. Keppinger hit well before being traded. Lambin batted just .222 before being demoted to Double-A. Harper missed most of the year and the time he did play also was also in Double-A.
Latin love: Conspiracy theorists tried to accuse GM Omar Minaya of being a racist because of his proclivity for signing Latin players. But Mets fans won't be complaining if youngsters like Deolis Guerra, Fernando Martinez and/or Junior Contreras pan out as they're expected to. Martinez, from the Dominican Republic, and Guerra, a Venezuelan, are 16 and 17 respectively and signed for a combined $2.1 million last year (with Martinez getting $1.4 million). Contreras is a hulking 6-foot-6, 250-pound first baseman, who was second in the Gulf Coast League with eight home runs last year. The 20-year-old Dominican also drew 26 walks and was fourth in the league with a .401 on-base percentage and fifth in slugging (.500).
Muy bien. Guerra had a 2.20 ERA in 17 starts in his first taste of full-season ball (at age 17), yielding just 59 hits over 81 2/3 innings, before getting a three-start taste (including one playoff start) of the Florida State League. Martinez was the youngest player ever to play in the Arizona Fall League after he hit a combined .279 across two levels during the season. The teenage sensation is on the Top 50 prospects list and hit .333 in 45 games with Hagerstown before stumbling a little with an aggressive promotion to St. Lucie. Contreras made more modest gains, hitting .284, though without much power, mostly with Kingsport in the Appalachian League.
End result: Technically, we hit .250 on this one. But if you call the Pelfrey call a push, we improve to .333.
------------------------
Lastings Milledge had a good rookie season in the majors, and there is no reason to question his talent, or ability. His personality, perhaps, but not the talent. He displayed all 5 tools in his 166 AB introduction to the majors. He will likely begin the year in New Orleans, with Shawn Green (why?) in right field.
Mike Carp? He's legit. In a couple of the articles we posted late last month here, you read that Carp reinvented his stroke, spraying the ball around rather then being a dead pull (Jacobs?) hitter. We feel that this puts Carp into the David Wright mold of hitting. Carp's got natural power, enough to where he can and will hit 25-30 homers, just like Wright, along with a .300+ average. Look for big things out of Carp in Binghamton
Mike Pelfrey didn't do anything to harm his prospect status in his 4 MLB starts, but Phillip Humber, in my opinion, did a whole lot to boost his prospect status. Naysayers point out Humber is 23, which is true. However, Pelfrey's 22 and alot less refined. Humber has a 94 mph fastball which touches 96, with a hammer curve and a power change. Pelfrey just has a 96-98 mph fastball, and then several weak secondary pitches. Both pitchers will begin the season in New Orleans, most likely, headlining what looks to be a very very strong team.
The Latin Connection? Strong and vibrant. Fernando Martinez and Deolis Guerra are, without question, going to be stars in the majors, someday. FMart showed good discipline at Hagerstown, 15/36 BB/K ratio in 192 at-bats. Then, as a 17 year old (HS senior?) in high A St. Lucie, he hit 5 homers in 119 ABs, doubling his season total to 10. Guerra just tore the Sally League apart, and he's also just 17. Look for his fastball to pick up between 4-7 mph, becoming a plus/plus offering. He is also very refined, with a very good changeup.
All in all, I feel that the Mets farm system doesn't get the props it deserves. But that'll change, really soon. We have 7 very legit prospects in the farm, and good depth, too.
------------------------
PS: Sorry about not updating this blog in a while, but the winter months are extraordinairly quiet with regards to prospects.
PPS: Carlos Gomez is 5 for his last 8, raising his average to .242. His stats: 11 runs scored, 0 2b, 3b, hr, 5 RBI, 2 BBs/26 Ks (yes, his plate discipline ain't good, but he wasn't playing regularly for a long time, he is now), 12 SBs (considering he's gotten on base a whopping 24 times, that's pretty good, the 12 steals).
-------------------------
Have a nice and safe Christmas, everyone.
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Back from Vacation, Mets Prospect of the Day(11/13/06) -Deolis Guerra-
Sorry guys, was on vacation in Arizona, but im back now
Mets Prospect of the Day 11-13-06
Deolis Guerra P R R 6′ 5″ 200 17 04-17-1989
Guerra was one of top 2 International prospects secured by the Mets last year. The Mets inked the 16 year old Guerra in July 2005 for $700,000, and he made his professional debut with Hagerstown on May 6, 2006. He actually signed the same day as fellow prospect Fernando Martinez. OnDeck ranks Guerra as the 8th Mets prospect. His pitches include a 91-92 mph fastball, and a developing change-up. It’s hard to judge a 17 year old playing organized ball, but Hagerstown has purposely limited Guerra’s pitches this season. The SAL’s youngest player, Guerra never allowed more than two earned runs in any of his 17 outings. The Mets did keep him on tight pitch counts, but his 2.20 ERA still would have ranked third in the league if he had enough innings to qualify. He excelled at age 17 mainly on the strength of his changeup, showing an advanced feel for the pitch. The changeup has plus arm action on it which is very rare for a person this young. It is fairlt straight, but has a little fade and parachutes at the end. His fastball is already in the 87-91 range and should add velocity as he matures. Gotham Baseball updated their Mets prospect list in August 2006 and Guerra was ranked 7th.
Deolis Guerra, Mets
Age: 17.4 H/9: 6.75 BB/9: 4.39 K/9: 7.18
His ratios aren't great, but this is a guy born in 1989 (feel old yet?) who is already in the Florida State League and holding his own. Sitting at 89-91 mph with plenty of projection thanks to a 6-foot-5, 200 pound frame, Guerra's changeup is already a solid offering and his curveball has made great strides. The Mets need to slow down his development, but his ceiling is sky high.
Deolis Guerra (RHP) - Minaya gambled that Guerra was going to make Mets fans (or at least the ones that follow the minor leagues) forget all about Gaby Hernandez. So far, he’s been proven right, The 17-year old is far more polished than the departed Hernandez, and so far, seems to be the pitcher with the higher upside. An ERA under 2.20 in 17 starts in the offensive-minded, tiny ballpark-having SAL doesn’t hurt either.
Deolis Guerra, RHP (17 years old): Throws a 88-91 mph fastball with an above-average change that eventually will be a plus pitch. He’s only 17 and is very projectable, so there is no reason not to think he can’t add another 2-3 mph to his fastball and make that a plus pitch as well. The Mets had him work on his breaking pitches in instructional league. Next season he will probably start at St. Lucie. He’s on the fast track, but remember that he’s only 17 and still needs to build up arm-strength (i.e., so he can pitch an entire major league season) and needs to develop his breaking pitches, so I wouldn’t expect him at Shea until late-2008 or early 2009.
MPH Take- This kid was amazing in 2006. Like Fernando Martinez, he tore up Mid-A Hagerstown and was called up to High A. A 2.20 era for a 17 year old player is amazing, especially in Mid A. His change up is absolutly filthy, which is pretty crazy for someone as young and raw as him. His fastball touches 91-92, and he could add a few more mph to that before its all said and done, which should become a plus pitch. He is also working on a couple breaking pitches as well. He should start out in High A St Lucie next season and could be called up to AA towards the end. He is looking at a late-2009 arrival to the Mets, and could be an Ace for us for years to come. Watch out for this kid, he could be realllllll good.Monday, November 06, 2006
Collection of Mets Prospect Analysis
I've come up with a collection of recent rankings and analysis' of mets prospects(Note:They are ALL VERY RECENT)
check it out:
From a very recent top 100 list:
#12. Mike Pelfrey (23) Pitcher -- New York Mets
New York Mets (MLB) 21.1IP 2-1 5.48ERA 179K
Norfolk (AAA) 8IP 1-0 2.25ERA 6K
Binghamton (AA) 66.1IP 4-2 2.71ERA 77K
St. Lucie (High-A) 22IP 2-1 1.64ERA 26K
#37. Fernando Martinez (18) Outfield -- New York Mets
St. Lucie (High-A) 30 Games .193 5HR 11RBI
Hagerstown (Low-A) 45 Games .333 5HR 28RBI
GCL Mets (Rk) 1 Games .250 0HR 0RBI
#56. Carlos Gomez (21) Outfield -- New York Mets
Binghamton (AA) 120 Games .281 7HR 48RBI
Baseball America's rankings by position:
Center Field/Outfield
#6 Fernando Martinez
#8 Carlos Gomez
Righthanded Starters
#9 Mike Pelfrey
#11 Philip Humber
Mets top 3 prospects:
New York Mets
1. Fernando Martinez, OF: You can imagine Mets scouts in the Dominican salivating watching this highly-touted prospect named “Jesus” spray line drives from gap to gap. After dropping Jesus in favor of Fernando and signing to a $1.4 million contract in 2005, the 18-year-old (10/10/88) tore up Low-A Hagerstown before he was awarded a late-season promotion to High-A St. Lucie. His production slowed after the promotion, but he put up .279/.336/.457 combined vitals.
Paired with his comparative youth in both the leagues that Martinez played in, the 6-foot-0, 185-pound lefty was also just as productive against left-handed pitchers as he was righties, and his contact numbers were extremely impressive, as he struck out just 61 times in 315 at bats (80.6% contact). It’s hard to project when players as young as Martinez will appear at the major league level, but if he lives up to his considerable promise, the Mets may soon have another offensive messiah.
2. Mike Pelfrey, RHP: Drafted 9th overall in 2005 and given a $3.5 million signing bonus, Pelfrey, 22, has lived up to expectations. He started the season at High-A St. Lucie, before moving to AA-Binghamton, then to the big league roster, back to AAA-Norfolk, and up with the Mets again – that’s a mouthful. His combined 2006 minor league numbers include a 10.19 K/9 ratio, 1.18 WHIP, and 0.37 HR/9.
Pelfrey was disappointing in his 21.1 inning major league regular season debut (5.49 K/9 and 1.74 WHIP) but standing 6-foot-7 and owning a fastball that touches the high nineties as well as an above-average slider, quality curve, and changeup, he is almost a lock to start next season in New York, where he should make his way to the top of the rotation in the near future.
3. Phillip Humber, RHP : A 6-foot-4, 210-pound righty out of Rice University, Humber, 23, underwent Tommy John surgery in July of 2005 and suddenly looked like more of a risk than the Mets bargained for when they took him third overall in 2004.
But Humber regained his form beautifully upon his return to the mound in late-June. The Texas native went on to combine for a 9.32 K/9 ratio, 1.00 WHIP, and 0.94 HR/9 ratio with the Golf Coast League Rookie Mets (4.0 innings), High-A St. Lucie (38.0), and Double-A Binghamton (34.1). He’ll become the fixture that he was supposed to be in the Mets rotation before long.
also, Fernando Martinez was ranked best prospect in the entire NL EAST, meaning, best prospect out of the mets, marlins, braves, phillies, and nats farm systems.
Another sites top 10 prospects:
Our Top 10 Prospects
1. Delmon Young, OF (TB)
2. Alex Gordon, 3B (KC)
3. Brandon Wood, 3B (LAA)
4. Phil Hughes, SP (NYY)
5. Billy Butler, OF (KC)
6. Homer Bailey, SP (CIN)
7. Jay Bruce, OF (CIN)
8. Andrew McCutchen, OF (PIT)
9. Cameron Maybin, OF (DET)
10. Fernando Martinez, OF (NYM)
check out number 10 =)
Some more raving on Fernando Martinez:
Maybe the most impressive player so far in Arizona is Martinez, the Mets' Class A outfielder who signed last summer for $1.4 million. "It's pretty incredible at age 18 to be out here holding your own," says an American League scout. "He's a solid runner, throws pretty well, and he's going to hit. I admire this kid. . . . It's amazing considering he ought to be taking high school algebra right now, not batting practice." The same scout notes Martinez is "very respectful of older players," something that apparently has been a problem for Milledge. . .
Because of the workload in his first full season--he logged 89 innings in Class A--Guerra remained in Port St. Lucie after the season throwing bullpens, but he didn't pitch in the instructional league. Guerra already has an exceptional changeup to go along with a fastball that settles in the 88-91 mph range, and the Mets wanted him to work on his breaking pitch. Guerra then returned to his native Venezuela for some winter downtime.
"He has a good fastball, an above-average fastball, and a very good changeup," Mets special assistant Tony Bernazard said. "He's working on the other pitches. But you have to remember he's only 17 years old. Most kids at that age are juniors or seniors in high school."
Said farm director Adam Wogan: "It's a very positive sign for him that his changeup is such a strong pitch at his experience level. I think that's why he's been able to advance."
Guerra is expected to begin 2007 in the Florida State League. Mets executives rave about his maturity.
"He's a very remarkable kid," Wogan said. "I shouldn't call him a kid. I should call him a man. I think you get past the age. His performance in full-season ball stands out regardless of age."
• Outfielder Dustin Martin was off to a great start for the North Shore Honu in Hawaii Winter Baseball. The 22-year-old had six hits in his first 14 at-bats with two doubles and three walks. Martin hit .315/.399/.454 for short-season Brooklyn in 251 at-bats.
• The Mets may have gotten a steal in the 37th round of the draft in righthander Josh Stinson. The 18-year-old was 1-3, 1.79 between the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League and Hagerstown and was named the organization's player of the year for the GCL club.
~David
check it out:
From a very recent top 100 list:
#12. Mike Pelfrey (23) Pitcher -- New York Mets
New York Mets (MLB) 21.1IP 2-1 5.48ERA 179K
Norfolk (AAA) 8IP 1-0 2.25ERA 6K
Binghamton (AA) 66.1IP 4-2 2.71ERA 77K
St. Lucie (High-A) 22IP 2-1 1.64ERA 26K
#37. Fernando Martinez (18) Outfield -- New York Mets
St. Lucie (High-A) 30 Games .193 5HR 11RBI
Hagerstown (Low-A) 45 Games .333 5HR 28RBI
GCL Mets (Rk) 1 Games .250 0HR 0RBI
#56. Carlos Gomez (21) Outfield -- New York Mets
Binghamton (AA) 120 Games .281 7HR 48RBI
Baseball America's rankings by position:
Center Field/Outfield
#6 Fernando Martinez
#8 Carlos Gomez
Righthanded Starters
#9 Mike Pelfrey
#11 Philip Humber
Mets top 3 prospects:
New York Mets
1. Fernando Martinez, OF: You can imagine Mets scouts in the Dominican salivating watching this highly-touted prospect named “Jesus” spray line drives from gap to gap. After dropping Jesus in favor of Fernando and signing to a $1.4 million contract in 2005, the 18-year-old (10/10/88) tore up Low-A Hagerstown before he was awarded a late-season promotion to High-A St. Lucie. His production slowed after the promotion, but he put up .279/.336/.457 combined vitals.
Paired with his comparative youth in both the leagues that Martinez played in, the 6-foot-0, 185-pound lefty was also just as productive against left-handed pitchers as he was righties, and his contact numbers were extremely impressive, as he struck out just 61 times in 315 at bats (80.6% contact). It’s hard to project when players as young as Martinez will appear at the major league level, but if he lives up to his considerable promise, the Mets may soon have another offensive messiah.
2. Mike Pelfrey, RHP: Drafted 9th overall in 2005 and given a $3.5 million signing bonus, Pelfrey, 22, has lived up to expectations. He started the season at High-A St. Lucie, before moving to AA-Binghamton, then to the big league roster, back to AAA-Norfolk, and up with the Mets again – that’s a mouthful. His combined 2006 minor league numbers include a 10.19 K/9 ratio, 1.18 WHIP, and 0.37 HR/9.
Pelfrey was disappointing in his 21.1 inning major league regular season debut (5.49 K/9 and 1.74 WHIP) but standing 6-foot-7 and owning a fastball that touches the high nineties as well as an above-average slider, quality curve, and changeup, he is almost a lock to start next season in New York, where he should make his way to the top of the rotation in the near future.
3. Phillip Humber, RHP : A 6-foot-4, 210-pound righty out of Rice University, Humber, 23, underwent Tommy John surgery in July of 2005 and suddenly looked like more of a risk than the Mets bargained for when they took him third overall in 2004.
But Humber regained his form beautifully upon his return to the mound in late-June. The Texas native went on to combine for a 9.32 K/9 ratio, 1.00 WHIP, and 0.94 HR/9 ratio with the Golf Coast League Rookie Mets (4.0 innings), High-A St. Lucie (38.0), and Double-A Binghamton (34.1). He’ll become the fixture that he was supposed to be in the Mets rotation before long.
also, Fernando Martinez was ranked best prospect in the entire NL EAST, meaning, best prospect out of the mets, marlins, braves, phillies, and nats farm systems.
Another sites top 10 prospects:
Our Top 10 Prospects
1. Delmon Young, OF (TB)
2. Alex Gordon, 3B (KC)
3. Brandon Wood, 3B (LAA)
4. Phil Hughes, SP (NYY)
5. Billy Butler, OF (KC)
6. Homer Bailey, SP (CIN)
7. Jay Bruce, OF (CIN)
8. Andrew McCutchen, OF (PIT)
9. Cameron Maybin, OF (DET)
10. Fernando Martinez, OF (NYM)
check out number 10 =)
Some more raving on Fernando Martinez:
Maybe the most impressive player so far in Arizona is Martinez, the Mets' Class A outfielder who signed last summer for $1.4 million. "It's pretty incredible at age 18 to be out here holding your own," says an American League scout. "He's a solid runner, throws pretty well, and he's going to hit. I admire this kid. . . . It's amazing considering he ought to be taking high school algebra right now, not batting practice." The same scout notes Martinez is "very respectful of older players," something that apparently has been a problem for Milledge. . .
Because of the workload in his first full season--he logged 89 innings in Class A--Guerra remained in Port St. Lucie after the season throwing bullpens, but he didn't pitch in the instructional league. Guerra already has an exceptional changeup to go along with a fastball that settles in the 88-91 mph range, and the Mets wanted him to work on his breaking pitch. Guerra then returned to his native Venezuela for some winter downtime.
"He has a good fastball, an above-average fastball, and a very good changeup," Mets special assistant Tony Bernazard said. "He's working on the other pitches. But you have to remember he's only 17 years old. Most kids at that age are juniors or seniors in high school."
Said farm director Adam Wogan: "It's a very positive sign for him that his changeup is such a strong pitch at his experience level. I think that's why he's been able to advance."
Guerra is expected to begin 2007 in the Florida State League. Mets executives rave about his maturity.
"He's a very remarkable kid," Wogan said. "I shouldn't call him a kid. I should call him a man. I think you get past the age. His performance in full-season ball stands out regardless of age."
• Outfielder Dustin Martin was off to a great start for the North Shore Honu in Hawaii Winter Baseball. The 22-year-old had six hits in his first 14 at-bats with two doubles and three walks. Martin hit .315/.399/.454 for short-season Brooklyn in 251 at-bats.
• The Mets may have gotten a steal in the 37th round of the draft in righthander Josh Stinson. The 18-year-old was 1-3, 1.79 between the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League and Hagerstown and was named the organization's player of the year for the GCL club.
~David
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
