Prospects traded away in the last year - Part IIII
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
9/4/08: .290/.355/.447/.802, 148 for 510, 69 runs, 34 2b, 8 3b, 10 HR, 72 RBI, 49/125 BB/K, 22/33 SBs
The fact he ended up with the same number of RBI as Mike Carp is stunning, not to mention he ended up with 5 more doubles. From the getgo, Martin hit much much better against lefties (.343/.403/.434/.836) then righties (.270/.337/.452/.789), though with more pop against RHP. Martin played this season at age 24, roughly 1.5 years older then you'd like a prospect to be in AA. Still, he's got a chance to be a decent/good player if he handles AAA well next season.
Bottom line: No regrets on trading away Dustin Martin. Many regrets on who we got for him.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
9/4/08: .219/.308/.354/.663, 66 for 302, 39 runs, 18 2b, 3b, 7 HR, 39 RBI, 35/55 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .167/.286/.292/.577. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
Well, he had a "better" August, hitting .235/.286/.431/.717. Yeah. Not a good year at all for Butera. He played the majority of it at age 24, and performed very badly.
Bottom line: No regrets on trading away Dustin Martin. Many regrets on who we got for him.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
9/4/08 (A+) .238/.273/.297/.570, 85 for 357, 31 runs, 12 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 9/31 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .238/.275/.301/.576, 101 for 425, 37 runs, 16 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 13/35 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
9/4/08 (AA): .285/.361/.455/.816, 113 for 396, 66 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 11 HR, 62 RBI, 42/75 BB/K, 16/23 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (A+/AA).286/.362/.451/.813, 125 for 437, 72 runs, 25 2b, 7 3b, 11 HR, 69 RBI, 45/82 BB/K, 20/27 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
Bottom Line: Useless trade for a useless pile of junk (Conine).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
9/4/08: 11-9, 5.47 era, 26 G, 25 GS, CGSO, 130 IP, 138 H, 85/79 R/ER, 12 HR, 71/71 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .272 BAA, 1.68 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is having a nightmarish time of it. He had as bad an August as you could have (1-3, 8.44 era, 5 GS, 21.1 ip, 27 h, 20 er, 20/14 bb/k). He still has age on his side, but it is highly disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
9/4/08: 7-9, 3.77 era, 27 GS, CG, 148 IP, 152 H, 80/62 R/ER, 16 HR, 48/121 BB/K, 0.79 GO.FO, .265 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 29 innings, allowing 25 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
9/4/08: 10-8, 4.56 era, 31 G, 23 GS, 2 CG, 136.1 IP, 145 H, 76/69 R/ER, 21 HR, 49/106 BB/K, 0.73 GO/FO, .273 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
And he turned it around big time in August, earning a September callup to the Twins. Humber had a great month of August, going 4-1, 2.74 (6 GS, 2 CG, 42.2 IP, 38 H, 13 ER, 7/36 BB/K), bringing his numbers down to respectability. It appears, from his K rate, that his fastball's come back the last couple months (59 Ks in 67 IP July, August), after just 47 in 69.1 IP April-June.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
9/4/08: .252/.289/.341/.630, 125 for 496, 68 runs, 18 2b, 4 3b, 6 HR, 39 RBI, 21/124 BB/K, 28/38 SBs
Ouch. he's on pace to K 146 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
Showing posts with label Phillip Humber. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Phillip Humber. Show all posts
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Update IV on Former Prospects
Prospects traded away in the last year - Part III
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
He's still hitting LHP much better then he's hitting RHP, with an .894 OPS vs LHP and a .753 OPS vs RHP. You would expect his numbers vs RHP to come up, so there's still a chance he'll become something useful down the road, but at his age/level, remember he's about a year or two older then average in the EL.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .176/.300/.309/.609. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is struggling big time doing it, he still has age on his side, but it is disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CF, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 22.2 innings, allowing 19 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing, in his last 10 games, he's lost games of 6 ip, 1 er, and 4.2 ip, 1 er, while taking NDs in games of 6.2 ip, 3 er and 7 ip, 2 er. Still, the performance of the next guy on this list is terrible, so as of right now, Mulvey's the only minor leaguer given him in this trade who's performing reasonably well.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
Ouch. He went into the tank since our last update, and is on pace to K 157 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
1. Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
5/29/08: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
7/29/08: .289/.360/.433/.793, 108 for 374, 50 runs, 23 2b, 5 3b, 7 HR, 53 RBI, 39/88 BB/K, 18/27 SBs
He's still hitting LHP much better then he's hitting RHP, with an .894 OPS vs LHP and a .753 OPS vs RHP. You would expect his numbers vs RHP to come up, so there's still a chance he'll become something useful down the road, but at his age/level, remember he's about a year or two older then average in the EL.
2. Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
5/29/08: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
7/29/08: .219/.317/.344/.661, 54 for 247, 36 runs, 13 2b, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 32/44 BB/K
He had a great June with a .308/.378/.477/.855 line, but has regressed back to major suckitude in July, hitting a paltry .176/.300/.309/.609. About the only good thing you can say about Butera is that he has a good eye at the plate, but what good is it if he's hitting .219? A 98 IsoD isn't useful when it carries you to .317 for an OBP. And he turns 25 in a couple of weeks. Ouch.
3. Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
5/29/08: .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
7/29/08 (A+) .240/.274/.303/.578, 61 for 254, 23 runs, 7 2b, 3 3b, HR, 15 RBI, 7/18 BB/K, 2/5 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+/AA/A+) .239/.277/.307/.585, 77 for 322, 29 runs, 11 2b, 4 3b, HR, 22 RBI, 11/22 BB/K, 2/6 SBs
He's proving that last year was a big fluke as far as his hitting went (.318/.363/.383/.746 in the FSL for the Mets), but we really didn't get a big return for him, and the next guy on this list turns this trade into one I regret wholeheartedly. Castro is no big loss.
4. Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+, AA
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
5/29/08: .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
7/29/08: .319/.392/.514/.906, 91 for 286, 54 runs, 19 2b, 5 3b, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 30/56 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .315/.389/.502/.891, 103 for 327, 60 runs, 22 2b, 6 3b, 9 HR, 60 RBI, 33/63 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
We could use a toolsy OF prospect, especially after trading away Milledge and Gomez, and with Nando's brittleness. Henry turns 23 in 2 1/2 weeks or so, but he's been doing the vast majority of his damage in the AA Southern League as a 22 year old, right in line for a prospect. After a down month power wise in June, he's tearing shit up in July with a .367/.452/.646/1.097 line in 79 ABs, with an 11/12 BB/K ratio. Of the 4 prospects traded for Castillo/Conine, this is the only one I regret now, although I was against both deals, for different reasons (Gotay, Castro could've been our RH power bat off the bench if we'd gone to 3 catchers, Conine was as useful a RH bat as I would've been).
5. Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
5/29/08: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
7/29/08: 10-5, 4.56 era, 20 G, 19 GS, CG, 104.2 IP, 102 H, 58/53 R/ER, 9 HR, 47/56 BB/K, 0.61 GO/FO, .253 BAA, 1.42 WHIP
Guerra's repeating a level, and is struggling big time doing it, he still has age on his side, but it is disconcerting to see him struggle so mightily in a repeat of a pitcher's league.
6. Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 23 1/6, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
5/29/08: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
7/29/08: 4-8, 3.87 era, 20 GS, CF, 104.2 IP, 107 H, 60/45 R/ER, 12 HR, 34/84 BB/K, 0.80 GO/FO, .261 BAA, 1.35 WHIP
Mulvey's having a very good July, except that he's still not pitching deep into games, averaging just about 5.5 IP/GS, he's walked just 4 in 22.2 innings, allowing 19 hits. He's exhibit A why W-L means nothing, in his last 10 games, he's lost games of 6 ip, 1 er, and 4.2 ip, 1 er, while taking NDs in games of 6.2 ip, 3 er and 7 ip, 2 er. Still, the performance of the next guy on this list is terrible, so as of right now, Mulvey's the only minor leaguer given him in this trade who's performing reasonably well.
7. Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
5/29/08: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
7/29/08: 6-7, 5.38 era, 25 G, 17 GS, 93.2 IP, 107 H, 63/56 R/ER, 16 HR, 42/70 BB/K, 0.69 GO/FO, .288 BAA, 1.59 WHIP
Humber was once again demoted to the bullpen for a brief period this year in July, making 5 relief appearances in between starts, and at least for now, the short term gains seem to be apparent, his last 2 GS, he's gone 12.2 innings, allowing 10 hits and striking out 15, going 2-0 with a 2.13 era. However, overall his season has been nothing short of a disaster, and 2 GS isn't going to change anything there. On the bright side, at least his K rate has been rising, 43 Ks in 43.1 innings in his last 2 months, after just 29 in his first 50.1 innings, and his walk rate is coming down. Still, he is 25 in AAA, on the verge of becoming irrelevant.
8. Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
5/29/08: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
7/29/08: .250/.284/.349/.633, 101 for 404, 54 runs, 17 2b, 4 3b, 5 HR, 33 RBI, 15/99 BB/K, 21/30 SBs
Ouch. He went into the tank since our last update, and is on pace to K 157 times this year, not good at all for a leadoff hitter. Even when Jose Reyes struggled with his walks, he didn't K nearly as much as Gomez is. Still, I'll stubbornly hold onto my Gomez 2008 = Reyes 2005 prediction, and we'll see where things end up (hopefully with a few more BBs, less Ks and more SBs for Gomez).
Saturday, May 31, 2008
Prospects traded away in the last year - Part III
I don't have much to say on them right now - but when I do, I'll throw in some commentary.
1. Dustin Martin
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
Now: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
He's CRUSHING LHP to the tune of .436/.515/.509 (24 for 55, 17 runs, 4 2b, 10 RBI, 7/10 BB/K, 8/10 SBs)
2. Jose Castro
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
Now (A+): .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
3. Sean Henry
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
Now (AA): .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
4. Drew Butera
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
Now: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
5. Deolis Guerra
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
Now: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
6. Kevin Mulvey
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
Now: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
Philip Humber
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
Now: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
Carlos Gomez
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
Now: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
1. Dustin Martin
4/14/08: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
5/5/08: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
Now: .316/.381/.433/.814, 54 for 171, 29 runs, 10 2b, 2 3b, 2 HR, 33 RBI, 17/40 BB/K, 13/18 SBs
He's CRUSHING LHP to the tune of .436/.515/.509 (24 for 55, 17 runs, 4 2b, 10 RBI, 7/10 BB/K, 8/10 SBs)
2. Jose Castro
4/14/08: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
5/5/08: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
Now (A+): .231/.259/.282/.541, 18 for 78, 5 runs, 2 2b, 3b, 5 RBI, 2/2 BB/K, 1/2 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: (AA/A+): .234/.275/.303/.578, 34 for 145, 11 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, 12 RBI, 6/6 BB/K, 1/3 SBs
3. Sean Henry
4/14/08: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
5/5/08: AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
Now (AA): .301/.394/.504/.898, 34 for 113, 21 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 16/26 BB/K, 6/8 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .299/.388/.481/.868, 46 for 154, 27 runs, 8 2b, 4 3b, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19/33 BB/K, 10/12 SBs
4. Drew Butera
4/14/08: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
5/5/08: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
Now: .196/.298/.295/.592, 22 for 112, 19 runs, 5 2b, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 17/21 BB/K
5. Deolis Guerra
4/14/08: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
Now: 6-1, 4.23 era, 11 G, 10 GS, 55.1 IP, 52 H, 29 R, 26 ER, 4 HR, 26/32 BB/K, 0.64 GO/FO, .244 BAA, 1.41 WHIP
6. Kevin Mulvey
4/14/08: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
5/5/08: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
Now: 3-6, 4.07 era, 11 GS, 55.1 IP, 62 H, 32 R, 25 ER, 6 HR, 22/50 BB/K, 0.90 GO/FO, .279 BAA, 1.52 WHIP
Philip Humber
4/14/08: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
5/5/08: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
Now: 2-5, 5.19 era, 13 G, 10 GS, 50.1 IP, 60 H, 35 R, 29 ER, 5 HR, 27/29 BB/K, 1.02 GO/FO, .299 BAA, 1.73 WHIP
Carlos Gomez
4/14/08: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
5/5/08: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
Now: .293/.327/.429/.756, 58 for 198, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3 3b, 4 HR, 22 RBI, 8/51 BB/K, 17/22 SBs
Monday, May 05, 2008
Prospects We Traded In the Past Year - Part II
OF Dustin Martin L/L 4/4/84 24 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Now: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
My thoughts: Again, I was against this trade (I wanted to go with Gotay), but Martin's 24 in AA, and was drafted in the low 20th rounds in 2006 as a senior. Maybe he becomes another Jason Tyner for the Twins. He, like Carp and Murphy, is hitting better vs LHP (.441/.487/.529/1.017) then RHP (.298/.344/.474/.817). There isn't much upside here, IMO. Just would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
C Drew Butera R/R 8/9/83 24.75 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Now: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
My thoughts: Well, it didn't take to June. Obviously, he's not quite this bad of a hitter, but he's not much better. He hit .258/.348/.418 in high A for the Mets last year, then .188/.208/.231 in AA in 117 ABs. He's sound defensively, but obviously needs to hit better. And he's not getting much younger, being close to 25.
SS Jose Castro S/R 11/5/86 21.5 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
AA Chattanooga
Previously: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Now: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
My thoughts: It remains to be seen just how much of a loss, if any, Castro was. As I said earlier, his 07 was his best offensive year to date, and it was coming off a complete and utter disaster in 2006 (.217/.285/.245/.530 in Hagerstown). Binghamton would've been insanity with all these guys there, though.
OF Sean Henry R/R 8/18/85 22.75 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
A+ Sarasota/AA Chattanooga
Previously: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Now - AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
My thoughts: Immediately after I posted my thoughts on 4/14, he was promoted to AA, where he has continued to rake. The weird thing about Henry is he's hitting .182/.280/.455 vs LHP and .464/.500/.786 vs RHP. Last year in St. Lucie, he hit .281/.344/.430 vs LHP and .296/.359/.470 vs RHP, as a comparison. As with Martin, it would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
SP Deolis Guerra R/R 4/17/89 19 years old (traded for Johan)
A+ Fort Myers
Previously: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Now: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
My thoughts: Same as before. Since the last update about 2 1/2 weeks ago, he's had 4 more outings, including 3 starts, and his last two have been brutal (8.1 ip, 15 h, 11 er, 3/5 bb/k, 11.88 era). I'm still not sure why he's repeating high A, but whatever. He's yet to go past 5 innings in any outing this year.
SP Kevin Mulvey R/R 5/26/85 23 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Now: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
My thoughts: Since the last update, he went 7 innings allowing a run, 5.2 allowing a run, and then has had back to back awful outings totalling 9.2 innings, 17 h, 11 er, 5/9 bb/k, 10.24 era. I still hold to my prediction he'll be better then Humber, and the jury is out on Pelfrey.
P Philip Humber R/R 12/21/82 25.33 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Now: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
My thoughts: Yeesh. For a while, I ranked Humber ahead of Pelfrey...that's not working out well. Since the last update, Humber had 3 more poor starts, and has now been banished to the bullpen. The jury may have finished deliberations, and the verdict isn't good. It's still a small sample size this year, but the lack of Ks and loss of control is alarming, as is the .320 BAA.
OF Carlos Gomez R/R 12/4/85 22.33 years old
MLB Twins
Previously: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Now: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
My thoughts: He's incredibly raw. Ugly IsoD of 26, and equally ugly IsoP of 103, but it's not terrible for where he is in his career. His career numbers aren't awful, either. Not good, but not terrible: .250/.292/.336/.628, 58 for 232, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3b, 3 HR, 20 RBI, 11/53 BB/K, 25/29 SBs. Very comparable to Jose Reyes' 2005 season. I reiterate: if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape.
AA New Britain
Previously: .520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Now: .352/.398/.495/.893, 32 for 91, 19 runs, 6 2b, 2 3b, HR, 19 RBI, 8/22 BB/K, 8/9 SBs
My thoughts: Again, I was against this trade (I wanted to go with Gotay), but Martin's 24 in AA, and was drafted in the low 20th rounds in 2006 as a senior. Maybe he becomes another Jason Tyner for the Twins. He, like Carp and Murphy, is hitting better vs LHP (.441/.487/.529/1.017) then RHP (.298/.344/.474/.817). There isn't much upside here, IMO. Just would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
C Drew Butera R/R 8/9/83 24.75 years old (traded for Luis Castillo)
AA New Britain
Previously: .300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Now: .177/.257/.194/.451, 11 for 62, 8 runs, 2b, 2 RBI, 7/14 BB/K
My thoughts: Well, it didn't take to June. Obviously, he's not quite this bad of a hitter, but he's not much better. He hit .258/.348/.418 in high A for the Mets last year, then .188/.208/.231 in AA in 117 ABs. He's sound defensively, but obviously needs to hit better. And he's not getting much younger, being close to 25.
SS Jose Castro S/R 11/5/86 21.5 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
AA Chattanooga
Previously: .280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Now: .250/.304/.344/.648, 16 for 64, 6 runs, 4 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 4/4 BB/K
My thoughts: It remains to be seen just how much of a loss, if any, Castro was. As I said earlier, his 07 was his best offensive year to date, and it was coming off a complete and utter disaster in 2006 (.217/.285/.245/.530 in Hagerstown). Binghamton would've been insanity with all these guys there, though.
OF Sean Henry R/R 8/18/85 22.75 years old (traded for Jeff Conine)
A+ Sarasota/AA Chattanooga
Previously: 293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Now - AA Chattanooga: .340/.404/.640/1.044, 17 for 50, 12 runs, 2 2b, 2 3b, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 5/12 BB/K, 3/4 SBs
Total 2008 Stats: .319/.388/.538/.927, 29 for 91, 18 runs, 5 2b, 3 3b, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 8/19 BB/K, 7/8 SBs
My thoughts: Immediately after I posted my thoughts on 4/14, he was promoted to AA, where he has continued to rake. The weird thing about Henry is he's hitting .182/.280/.455 vs LHP and .464/.500/.786 vs RHP. Last year in St. Lucie, he hit .281/.344/.430 vs LHP and .296/.359/.470 vs RHP, as a comparison. As with Martin, it would be nice to have with Milledge/Gomez gone.
SP Deolis Guerra R/R 4/17/89 19 years old (traded for Johan)
A+ Fort Myers
Previously: 0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Now: 2-1, 4.61 era, 6 G, 5 GS, 27.1 IP, 29 H, 16 R, 14 ER, 2 HR, 12/20 BB/K, 1.50 WHIP
My thoughts: Same as before. Since the last update about 2 1/2 weeks ago, he's had 4 more outings, including 3 starts, and his last two have been brutal (8.1 ip, 15 h, 11 er, 3/5 bb/k, 11.88 era). I'm still not sure why he's repeating high A, but whatever. He's yet to go past 5 innings in any outing this year.
SP Kevin Mulvey R/R 5/26/85 23 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Now: 2-3, 3.82 era, 6 GS, 33 IP, 37 H, 15 R, 14 ER, 4 HR, 12/34 BB/K, 1.48 WHIP
My thoughts: Since the last update, he went 7 innings allowing a run, 5.2 allowing a run, and then has had back to back awful outings totalling 9.2 innings, 17 h, 11 er, 5/9 bb/k, 10.24 era. I still hold to my prediction he'll be better then Humber, and the jury is out on Pelfrey.
P Philip Humber R/R 12/21/82 25.33 years old (traded for Johan)
AAA Rochester
Previously: 0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Now: 1-3, 5.40 era, 8 G, 5 GS, 25 IP, 33 H, 20 R, 15 ER, 2 HR, 11/14 BB/K, 1.76 WHIP
My thoughts: Yeesh. For a while, I ranked Humber ahead of Pelfrey...that's not working out well. Since the last update, Humber had 3 more poor starts, and has now been banished to the bullpen. The jury may have finished deliberations, and the verdict isn't good. It's still a small sample size this year, but the lack of Ks and loss of control is alarming, as is the .320 BAA.
OF Carlos Gomez R/R 12/4/85 22.33 years old
MLB Twins
Previously: .269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Now: .271/.297/.374/.671, 29 for 107, 6 2b, 3b, HR, 8 RBI, 3/26 BB/K, 13/14 SBs
My thoughts: He's incredibly raw. Ugly IsoD of 26, and equally ugly IsoP of 103, but it's not terrible for where he is in his career. His career numbers aren't awful, either. Not good, but not terrible: .250/.292/.336/.628, 58 for 232, 31 runs, 9 2b, 3b, 3 HR, 20 RBI, 11/53 BB/K, 25/29 SBs. Very comparable to Jose Reyes' 2005 season. I reiterate: if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape.
Monday, April 14, 2008
The prospects we traded in the last year...
I'm not sure if people care, but here is a recap of how all our traded prospects over the past year are faring so far this year:
Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
.520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
.300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
.280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+
.293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 22 11/12, R/R, AAA
1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
.269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Oh - by the way, just for fun:
CF Fernando Martinez
SS/2B Jose Castro
3B Dan Murphy
1B/DH Nick Evans
1B/DH Mike Carp
OF Sean Henry
OF Dustin Martin
SS/2B Emmanuel Garcia
C Drew Butera
Wow.
Dustin Martin (traded for Luis Castillo) OF, L/L, 24, AA
.520/.517/.720/1.237, 13 for 25, 5 runs, 5 2b, 8 RBI, 2/3 BB/K, 3/3 SBs
My thoughts: Can you imagine him in Binghamton's lineup in front of the Trinity? My god.
Drew Butera (traded for Luis Castillo) C, R/R, 24 3/4, AA
.300/.364/.300/.664, 6 for 20, 4 runs, RBI, 2/3 BB/K
My thoughts: Would be nice to have around as another catching prospect, has never hit in the minors, lets see what he's doing in June.
Jose Castro (traded for Jeff Conine) SS, S/R, 21 1/2, AA
.280/.280/.440/.720, 7 for 25, 2 runs, 4 2b, 2 RBI, K
My thoughts: We could've had the best AA team ever if none of these trades had been made. They likely could've hung with any AAA team. Castro's no big loss, especially with the idiotic signing of Castillo for 4 years. Still, he did put together a great season in 2007 for the St. Lucie Mets, his first great season of hitting in his career, so the jury is still out here.
Sean Henry (traded for Jeff Conine) OF, R/R, 22 3/4, A+
.293/.370/.415/.784, 12 for 41, 6 runs, 3 2b, 3b, 7 RBI, 3/7 BB/K, 4/4 SBs
My thoughts: Would've been nice to have a toolsy OFer still around after we raped our OF depth this offseason (Milledge especially). Not sure why he's repeating the FSL after hitting .293/.355/.456/.810 there with us last year, he should be in AA.
Deolis Guerra (traded for Johan) SP, R/R, 19, A+
0-0, 0.90 era, 2 GS, 10 IP, 6 H, ER, HR, 6/8 BB/K
My thoughts: Obviously we had to make that trade, but it would've been great if we'd been able to keep one of Gomez/Guerra out of it.
Kevin Mulvey (traded for Johan) SP, 22 11/12, R/R, AAA
1-1, 0.84 era, 2 GS, 10.2 IP, 9 H, ER, 3/11 BB/K
My thoughts: I've been, in the back of my mind, thinking for a while now that Mulvey would end up being the best of the Trifeca (Pelfrey, Humber, Mulvey) - and so far, he's doing nothing to dissaude that thought. We'll see, though, he very likely will join the Twins rotation sometime this season.
Philip Humber (traded for Johan) SP, 25 1/3, R/R, AAA
0-2, 5 era, 2 GS, 9 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 5 ER, 1/5 BB/K
My thoughts: Not good early, and the low K rate through 2 starts would seem to indicate he hasn't gotten his fastball back yet (remember, he's a low to mid 90s pitcher, 92-95). The jury is still out on Humber.
Carlos Gomez (traded for Johan) OF, 22, R/R, MLB
.269/.296/.385/.681, 14 for 52, 4 2b, 3b, 4 RBI, 2/12 BB/K, 5/6 SBs
My thoughts: I loved Gomez, and I still do. He bleeds and oozes talent, and if/when he puts it together, he is going to explode onto the baseball landscape. Again, you absolutely had to trade for Johan, but keeping one of Gomez/Guerra would've made it infinitely less painful.
Oh - by the way, just for fun:
CF Fernando Martinez
SS/2B Jose Castro
3B Dan Murphy
1B/DH Nick Evans
1B/DH Mike Carp
OF Sean Henry
OF Dustin Martin
SS/2B Emmanuel Garcia
C Drew Butera
Wow.
Thursday, January 04, 2007
Projectprospect.com's top 100 Prospect List...
10. Mike Pelfrey (Will figure things out in big leagues and surface as an ace before long)
23. Fernando Martinez (253/.305/.379 in AFL; still a few years away, could top this list by then.)
44. Phillip Humber (Other Owl who is back on track, expect Humber to crack the Mets rotation by July)
72. Carlos Gomez (Career: .279/.337/.400; best season came in 2006: .281/.350/.423)
87. Deolis Guerra (Very impressive for his age (17); career: 89 IP 69:43 K to BB 1.25 WHIP)
------------------------
MPH's take: I really doubt Pelfrey and Humber are as far apart as this list indicates. Anyone who knows me knows I rank Humber ahead of Pelfrey on any list I do. As for Nando, he's special, that's for sure. He outperformed Jose Tabata, his Yankee counterpart, but both are (barring injury) destined for stardom in the majors.
I am very surprised by the low rankings for Carlos Gomez and Deolis Guerra. And obviously, these guys don't know much about either, if all they give us in their discussion is career stats.
Carlos Gomez is a potential 5 tool talent, he's got blazing speed, great defensive skills, and can hit for average pretty well. He needs to work on plate discipline and power hitting, which should come in time.
Let's remember that you don't need to hit 20 homers to be an impact major league player. Oh, and not every prospect has to be an impact player. If someone came up and consistently hit .280 with 8 homers and 46 RBI and solid defense, that's certainly not high impact, but it is a very solid player.
Deolis Guerra is 17, as they mentioned, and should add a good bit to his 88-92 mph fastball, making it a plus plus offering (velocity/movement). While right now he's compared to Yusmiero Petit, we feel that in the future, he'll be compared more to a King Felix type. Not to mention Guerra is actually a half season ahead of Felix Hernandez in terms of player development. Felix didn't see high A until his second professional season, Deolis saw high A in his rookie campaign. Look out.
23. Fernando Martinez (253/.305/.379 in AFL; still a few years away, could top this list by then.)
44. Phillip Humber (Other Owl who is back on track, expect Humber to crack the Mets rotation by July)
72. Carlos Gomez (Career: .279/.337/.400; best season came in 2006: .281/.350/.423)
87. Deolis Guerra (Very impressive for his age (17); career: 89 IP 69:43 K to BB 1.25 WHIP)
------------------------
MPH's take: I really doubt Pelfrey and Humber are as far apart as this list indicates. Anyone who knows me knows I rank Humber ahead of Pelfrey on any list I do. As for Nando, he's special, that's for sure. He outperformed Jose Tabata, his Yankee counterpart, but both are (barring injury) destined for stardom in the majors.
I am very surprised by the low rankings for Carlos Gomez and Deolis Guerra. And obviously, these guys don't know much about either, if all they give us in their discussion is career stats.
Carlos Gomez is a potential 5 tool talent, he's got blazing speed, great defensive skills, and can hit for average pretty well. He needs to work on plate discipline and power hitting, which should come in time.
Let's remember that you don't need to hit 20 homers to be an impact major league player. Oh, and not every prospect has to be an impact player. If someone came up and consistently hit .280 with 8 homers and 46 RBI and solid defense, that's certainly not high impact, but it is a very solid player.
Deolis Guerra is 17, as they mentioned, and should add a good bit to his 88-92 mph fastball, making it a plus plus offering (velocity/movement). While right now he's compared to Yusmiero Petit, we feel that in the future, he'll be compared more to a King Felix type. Not to mention Guerra is actually a half season ahead of Felix Hernandez in terms of player development. Felix didn't see high A until his second professional season, Deolis saw high A in his rookie campaign. Look out.
Saturday, December 30, 2006
A little Q&A with Phillip Humber from scout.com
Q&A: Mets pitcher Philip Humber
Philip Humber was 2-2 with a 2.88 ERA at Double-A.By Bryan Hoch
Inside Pitch Magazine
Posted Sep 5, 2006
Philip Humber will get his first taste of the major leagues on Tuesday, as the former No. 1 draft pick was promoted from Double-A Binghamton along with several New York Mets top prospects.
A hard-throwing right-hander, Humber has rebounded from season-ending Tommy John surgery in 2005, coming back to the Double-A level stronger than before. Over the weekend, Humber spoke with Inside Pitch's Bryan Hoch during the Binghamton Mets' series at Connecticut, discussing his return to prominence in the farm system and his
possibilities for a big league call-up which has now arrived.
Q: Has it been good to get back into the competitive spirit of a playoff race with Binghamton here, and was it something you missed?
A: That was something I missed last year in St. Lucie; we didn’t have a very good year and I was used to, in college, always being in a playoff environment and actually playing for something. It’s a lot more fun when that’s going on. Instead of thinking about yourself, you're thinking about the team. And that's part of the rehab process from an injury, you're forced to focus on yourself.
Q: Was that a change for you?
A: For sure. Most of the rehab stuff you do is by yourself, until you get to extended [spring training], when you get into a team setting. It's a lot more fun out there competing and playing for something than it is in the gym rehabbing or throwing in the bullpen.
Q: Did it get lonely at times? I know you have the support staff and the coaches, but at the end of the day, it's really just you out there.
A: Yeah, exactly. I'm the kind of person who can deal with that. I'm pretty capable of motivating myself and not having someone push me. Sometimes it was tough.
Q: You came back to Double-A and posted your first victory at this level. Did you add any significance to that based upon how far you came to get back here?
A: My goal coming into this year, when I sat down with Tony Bernazard in spring training, was that at the end of the year I wanted to be one of the guys who is being talked about that can help the big club. I think maybe I'm in that discussion now. That’s really my goal. Wins and losses, there's not a whole lot I can do about that at times, except give the team a chance to win. That’s when I get in trouble, a lot of times, so I just try to focus on getting myself prepared for next level and at same time have fun with this playoff race.
Q: So it would be fair to say you set your goals well past coming back to Double-A and winning one game.
A: My goal all along has been to get to the big leagues as fast as I can. I had a setback because of the surgery, but I think so far I've overcome that and kind of minimized the impact of that.
Q: A few weeks ago, Omar Minaya was at Shea Stadium and he was discussing starting pitching depth in the system. He mentioned the guys you'd usually think of, but he also threw your name in there. Did you hear about that, and how did you react?
A: Some people told me about it and I saw it in the papers. That's always nice to hear. It's a compliment to know that you're thought of as a guy who has possibilities of helping
the big club that's great to be in that discussion this year. Next year I can really make a push to be one of the guys that's up there. For him to say that, it was flattering for him to say that.
Q: Was it surprising?
A: No, I think I've pitched pretty well and I think I've shown I'm healthy. That’s kind of out of my control, whether they think I'm capable right now or not. I definitely think I've
shown I'm healthy and that I can make the pitches I need to, and get people out.
Q: Has it been a quick road or a long road back from surgery?
A: Well, when I first started out rehab, they tell you it's going to be 12 months until you get back on a mound. But looking back, it's really flown by. I guess once I started throwing it started going by a lot faster, because there wasn't the monotony. I was building on something every day, the amount of throws or the distance I could throw. It's gone by really fast and I'm thankful I haven’t had any setbacks with it. I've been able to pretty much progress as fast as the program would allow.
Q: I remember you saying in spring training that it was your goal to "prove a lot of people wrong." Do you feel like you did?
A: That was my goal at that time. I was pretty fired up. The season I had the year before, I didn't feel like I showed the way I was capable of pitching. I figured there were some
doubters out there that were skeptical; was this the right decision, making this guy the number one pick? I think I've done that and more. That's not my goal anymore, to prove
people wrong. My goal now is to prove people right. I think I've turned the tide a little bit as far as people doubting whether I'm coming back from surgery or whether I can compete in professional baseball.
Q: Everyone wants be a number one pick, obviously, but it is also something that never goes away. Do you feel people judge you based upon that?
A: No, and that's something I struggled with last year. I came in and put a lot of extra expectations on myself because of that, and I tried to live up to whatever expectations people think a No. 1 pick should be.
Q: Which is probably different for every person.
A: Exactly. There's a lot of guys who weren't number one picks who have been great in the big leagues. This year, I've taken a better approach to just trying to do my best and be the best pitcher I could be, regardless of where I was picked. I don't let whatever anyone else expects of me affect the way I go about my business and the way I prepare to pitch a game.
Q: Realistically, what do you feel your timetable is for reaching Shea Stadium?
A: If it's not this year, I want it to be next year. They've invited me to the [Arizona] Fall League and that's something that I think I'm going to go do, and improve on some things.
There's going to be a lot of competition, if you look at the guys now and the guys coming up. I'm sure there's going to be some guys that they get in the offseason, and a lot of things are going to happen. Spring training will be a battle next year, and hopefully it'll be the World Champion New York Mets spring training. It's going to be fun and I'm going to be prepared for it. I don't ever want to have that opportunity and not be ready for it.
Q: You were in spring training this year and, although you were on rehab, you watched as Brian Bannister surprised a lot of people and slipped into the rotation. Do you take inspiration from seeing that it can happen, even in New York?
A: He was my locker mate. Being around him and seeing the type of person he was, I could tell he was a fighter and regardless of what people thought about him going in, he was capable of proving them wrong. He just went out there and did it. You can't argue with the results he put up. Mike Pelfrey had the same thing happen. It just shows the Mets don't care how old you are or how much experience you have. They're going to go
with the best guy, so that's encouraging.
Philip Humber was 2-2 with a 2.88 ERA at Double-A.By Bryan Hoch
Inside Pitch Magazine
Posted Sep 5, 2006
Philip Humber will get his first taste of the major leagues on Tuesday, as the former No. 1 draft pick was promoted from Double-A Binghamton along with several New York Mets top prospects.
A hard-throwing right-hander, Humber has rebounded from season-ending Tommy John surgery in 2005, coming back to the Double-A level stronger than before. Over the weekend, Humber spoke with Inside Pitch's Bryan Hoch during the Binghamton Mets' series at Connecticut, discussing his return to prominence in the farm system and his
possibilities for a big league call-up which has now arrived.
Q: Has it been good to get back into the competitive spirit of a playoff race with Binghamton here, and was it something you missed?
A: That was something I missed last year in St. Lucie; we didn’t have a very good year and I was used to, in college, always being in a playoff environment and actually playing for something. It’s a lot more fun when that’s going on. Instead of thinking about yourself, you're thinking about the team. And that's part of the rehab process from an injury, you're forced to focus on yourself.
Q: Was that a change for you?
A: For sure. Most of the rehab stuff you do is by yourself, until you get to extended [spring training], when you get into a team setting. It's a lot more fun out there competing and playing for something than it is in the gym rehabbing or throwing in the bullpen.
Q: Did it get lonely at times? I know you have the support staff and the coaches, but at the end of the day, it's really just you out there.
A: Yeah, exactly. I'm the kind of person who can deal with that. I'm pretty capable of motivating myself and not having someone push me. Sometimes it was tough.
Q: You came back to Double-A and posted your first victory at this level. Did you add any significance to that based upon how far you came to get back here?
A: My goal coming into this year, when I sat down with Tony Bernazard in spring training, was that at the end of the year I wanted to be one of the guys who is being talked about that can help the big club. I think maybe I'm in that discussion now. That’s really my goal. Wins and losses, there's not a whole lot I can do about that at times, except give the team a chance to win. That’s when I get in trouble, a lot of times, so I just try to focus on getting myself prepared for next level and at same time have fun with this playoff race.
Q: So it would be fair to say you set your goals well past coming back to Double-A and winning one game.
A: My goal all along has been to get to the big leagues as fast as I can. I had a setback because of the surgery, but I think so far I've overcome that and kind of minimized the impact of that.
Q: A few weeks ago, Omar Minaya was at Shea Stadium and he was discussing starting pitching depth in the system. He mentioned the guys you'd usually think of, but he also threw your name in there. Did you hear about that, and how did you react?
A: Some people told me about it and I saw it in the papers. That's always nice to hear. It's a compliment to know that you're thought of as a guy who has possibilities of helping
the big club that's great to be in that discussion this year. Next year I can really make a push to be one of the guys that's up there. For him to say that, it was flattering for him to say that.
Q: Was it surprising?
A: No, I think I've pitched pretty well and I think I've shown I'm healthy. That’s kind of out of my control, whether they think I'm capable right now or not. I definitely think I've
shown I'm healthy and that I can make the pitches I need to, and get people out.
Q: Has it been a quick road or a long road back from surgery?
A: Well, when I first started out rehab, they tell you it's going to be 12 months until you get back on a mound. But looking back, it's really flown by. I guess once I started throwing it started going by a lot faster, because there wasn't the monotony. I was building on something every day, the amount of throws or the distance I could throw. It's gone by really fast and I'm thankful I haven’t had any setbacks with it. I've been able to pretty much progress as fast as the program would allow.
Q: I remember you saying in spring training that it was your goal to "prove a lot of people wrong." Do you feel like you did?
A: That was my goal at that time. I was pretty fired up. The season I had the year before, I didn't feel like I showed the way I was capable of pitching. I figured there were some
doubters out there that were skeptical; was this the right decision, making this guy the number one pick? I think I've done that and more. That's not my goal anymore, to prove
people wrong. My goal now is to prove people right. I think I've turned the tide a little bit as far as people doubting whether I'm coming back from surgery or whether I can compete in professional baseball.
Q: Everyone wants be a number one pick, obviously, but it is also something that never goes away. Do you feel people judge you based upon that?
A: No, and that's something I struggled with last year. I came in and put a lot of extra expectations on myself because of that, and I tried to live up to whatever expectations people think a No. 1 pick should be.
Q: Which is probably different for every person.
A: Exactly. There's a lot of guys who weren't number one picks who have been great in the big leagues. This year, I've taken a better approach to just trying to do my best and be the best pitcher I could be, regardless of where I was picked. I don't let whatever anyone else expects of me affect the way I go about my business and the way I prepare to pitch a game.
Q: Realistically, what do you feel your timetable is for reaching Shea Stadium?
A: If it's not this year, I want it to be next year. They've invited me to the [Arizona] Fall League and that's something that I think I'm going to go do, and improve on some things.
There's going to be a lot of competition, if you look at the guys now and the guys coming up. I'm sure there's going to be some guys that they get in the offseason, and a lot of things are going to happen. Spring training will be a battle next year, and hopefully it'll be the World Champion New York Mets spring training. It's going to be fun and I'm going to be prepared for it. I don't ever want to have that opportunity and not be ready for it.
Q: You were in spring training this year and, although you were on rehab, you watched as Brian Bannister surprised a lot of people and slipped into the rotation. Do you take inspiration from seeing that it can happen, even in New York?
A: He was my locker mate. Being around him and seeing the type of person he was, I could tell he was a fighter and regardless of what people thought about him going in, he was capable of proving them wrong. He just went out there and did it. You can't argue with the results he put up. Mike Pelfrey had the same thing happen. It just shows the Mets don't care how old you are or how much experience you have. They're going to go
with the best guy, so that's encouraging.
Saturday, December 02, 2006
Mayo on Mets prospects
Mayo believes the majority of the team's top pitching prospects are not candidiates to help in the major-league team's bullpen, mostly because they are so young and project to be starting pitchers as they all have a wide array of pitches, such as Jason Vargas, who was acquired recently from the Marlins.
According to Mayo, though Vargas has done some relieving, he does not profile as a reliever, instead he is more of a back-end-of-the-rotation type of guy. Of course, Mayo is certain to reference cardinals RHP Adam Wainwright, who was initially projected to be a starter, but was quite dominant as a closer this past season when called upon to do so.
Regarding Joe Smith, who the Mets selected in the 2005 draft, Mayo believes he could be ready to pitch at the major leagues by the middle of this season, noting he will be more successful as a set-up man and not a closer.
Like many minor-league experts, Mayo was very impressed with the progress and maturity of Fernando Martinez, who was the youngest player to play in the Arizona Fall League, during which he hit .303. The 18–year-old Martinez, according to Mayo, has lived up to early expectations at this point in his young career, which is certainly worth noting since many international signees struggle early on.
Mayo was quite surprised to see Phil Humber return as strong as he did, following Tommy John surgery a year-and-a-half ago. As Mayo put it, “He went from being sort of a, 'well, he's an injury guy, we'll have to see what happens, another ruined-arm from Rice,' to a guy who is ready to help out in New York as early as next April.
Lastly, Mayo does not believe that other teams have soured on Lastings Milledge, noting, “considering his age, and his skillset,” while not outstanding, the young outfielder did quite well in 2006. “Maybe a little bit of the luster has faded, since he didn't come up and dominate,” Mayo explains, but he should still be considered a top prospect.
http://www.metsblog.com/
According to Mayo, though Vargas has done some relieving, he does not profile as a reliever, instead he is more of a back-end-of-the-rotation type of guy. Of course, Mayo is certain to reference cardinals RHP Adam Wainwright, who was initially projected to be a starter, but was quite dominant as a closer this past season when called upon to do so.
Regarding Joe Smith, who the Mets selected in the 2005 draft, Mayo believes he could be ready to pitch at the major leagues by the middle of this season, noting he will be more successful as a set-up man and not a closer.
Like many minor-league experts, Mayo was very impressed with the progress and maturity of Fernando Martinez, who was the youngest player to play in the Arizona Fall League, during which he hit .303. The 18–year-old Martinez, according to Mayo, has lived up to early expectations at this point in his young career, which is certainly worth noting since many international signees struggle early on.
Mayo was quite surprised to see Phil Humber return as strong as he did, following Tommy John surgery a year-and-a-half ago. As Mayo put it, “He went from being sort of a, 'well, he's an injury guy, we'll have to see what happens, another ruined-arm from Rice,' to a guy who is ready to help out in New York as early as next April.
Lastly, Mayo does not believe that other teams have soured on Lastings Milledge, noting, “considering his age, and his skillset,” while not outstanding, the young outfielder did quite well in 2006. “Maybe a little bit of the luster has faded, since he didn't come up and dominate,” Mayo explains, but he should still be considered a top prospect.
http://www.metsblog.com/
Tuesday, November 28, 2006
Mets boast top talent despite recent trades -- Humber, Pelfrey highlight young pitching prospects
Considering how much talent was traded away during the offseason a year ago, the Mets farm system didn't have a half-bad year.
Don't use the .477 overall winning percentage as a guide. On the flip side, the St. Lucie Mets' title, while a nice addition to Gary Carter's impressive Minor League managing resume, shouldn't be seen as a tremendous omen either.
To get Carlos Delgado and Paul LoDuca, the Mets had to give up a fair amount of depth. They've also given up a fair share of draft picks (last year for signing Billy Wagner, the year before for Pedro Martinez and Carlos Beltran), so they haven't been able to restock as well as other teams.
That being said, they did get a number of contributions to the big-league club courtesy of the farm in 2006. Lastings Milledge made his highly anticipated debut, and while he had some issues in the clubhouse and on the field, his skill is evident, even if he's traded to help make that last step to the World Series in 2007. Most of the help, though, came on the mound. Mike Pelfrey rose quickly, making four starts after signing late, Philip Humber quickly recovered from Tommy John surgery to make his big-league debut, and Brian Bannister looked impressive before injuries cut short most of his season.
That trio alone should have Mets fans pleased about the future. Throw in some interesting young outfielders and perhaps more pitching on the way, and the Mets should be able to retool quickly -- whether it be by promoting homegrown talent or using said talent to actively partipate in offseason trade talks.
Five Faves
At the start of the season, MLB.com identified five prospects to keep an eye on. Here's how they fared in 2006:
Lastings Milledge, OF
On the one hand, 2006 was a big success for the Mets' top position prospect. After impressing in Spring Training, he headed to Triple-A for the first time and started out like gangbusters. Milledge hit .357 in April with seven steals and it seemed a matter of when, not if, he'd get his first callup. That moment came on May 30 and the 21-year-old stuck around enough to pick up 166 big-league at-bats and even made some positive contributions (four homers, 22 RBIs in 56 games). On the other hand, Milledge may have gone from untouchable to trade bait after rankling the feathers of more than one veteran for what was perceived to be an unrookie-like attitude. His future with the Mets this offseason is very much up in the air, especially since the 2007 outfield once again looks crowded.
Philip Humber, RHP
Humber made his first game appearance on June 22 after coming back from Tommy John surgery, but he made up for lost time in a hurry. After one outing in the Gulf Coast League, he made seven starts in the Florida State League (3-1, 2.37 ERA) with uncharacteristic command for someone just coming back from surgery. He had similar results in six Double-A starts -- 2.88 ERA, .195 batting average against -- which resulted in a surprising September callup. He made his big-league debut on Sept. 24 and finished the season with two scoreless innings of relief work. He headed to the Arizona Fall League to get some more work in, but was shut down after just two innings as a precaution because of shoulder tendinitis. If he's healthy next year, he should contribute in New York at some point.
Carlos Gomez, OF
The Mets seem to be growing young outfielders with Milledge hitting the big leagues and teen sensation Fernando Martinez making it to the Florida State League. Gomez sits between them in his development. He leapt from the South Atlantic League up to Double-A and played well in the Eastern League at just 20 years old. He hit .281 and led the organization with 41 steals (tied for second in the EL). Clearly the Mets have high hopes for him as they added him to the 40-man roster this offseason. Some time in Triple-A wouldn't hurt, but he could be pushing for a callup at some point in 2007 should the need arise.
| 2006 Organizational Record | |||||
| LEVEL AAA AA A (Adv) A SS R | LEAGUE IL EL FSL SAL NYP APP GCL | TEAM Norfolk Binghamton St. Lucie* Hagerstown Brooklyn Kingsport Mets TOTAL: | W 57 70 77 58 41 34 23 360 | L 84 70 62 82 33 33 30 394
| PCT .404 .500 .554 .414 .554 .507 .434 .477 |
* Won League Championship | |||||
Anderson Hernandez, 2B
After a breakout 2005 season that saw him hit a combined .315, there were hopes Hernandez might even take over second base chores in New York in 2006. He did break camp with the big club and got in 41 at-bats in April (hitting .146). He went back to Norfolk and stayed there until September thanks to Jose Valentin's renaissance and his own lackluster offensive performance. Hernandez hit just .249 in 102 Triple-A games while playing more at shortstop than second. He did end up on the Mets' League Championship Series roster and could still find a way to be a handy utilityman in the future.
Brian Bannister, RHP
Things started out so well for Bannister, with the right-hander winning the Mets' No. 5 starter spot thanks to a splendid Spring Training. But he ended up appearing in just eight games (six starts), going 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA over 38 innings. He went 2-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five April starts, but was shut down with a hamstring injury. He didn't hit the big leagues again until the end of August (he tried to come back in May, but it was a no-go). He made five starts in Norfolk in August after two in St. Lucie in July to get himself ready to rejoin the Mets. He's making up for lost innings in Mexico this offseason and has pitched reasonably well. He could be in the mix once again in 2007.
| 2006 Organizational Leaders | ||||
| Average Home Runs RBIs Stolen Bases ERA Wins Strikeouts Saves | .341 21 88 41 2.13 12 142 31 | Corey Coles Jesus Flores Mike Carp Carlos Gomez Michael Devaney Michael Devaney, Evan MacLane Jonathan Niese Carlos Muniz | ||
| Complete MiLB statistics | ||||
Cinderella Story
Mitch Wylie, RHP
Wylie has been through a lot since being drafted back in 1998 by the White Sox, but it looked like he might get the chance to finally break through to the bigs after the Mets took him from the Giants in last year's Rule 5 Draft. But he was at the end of Spring Training and offered back to the Giants, who turned him down. He headed to Norfolk, hit the disabled list early with a sore shoulder, tried to come back, went back on the DL and missed nearly six months with a shoulder strain. He also missed a couple of weeks with a blister problem in late July. When he was on the mound, he pitched pretty well, with a 2.96 ERA and 53 K's in 48 2/3 IP. But he'll be 30 next year, so he'll need a real Cinderella story to make it up in the future.
Breakout Year
This player was pegged as a breakout candidate before the season began. Did he live up to expectations?
Shawn Bowman, 3B
The 21-year-old headed back to St. Lucie with the hopes of building on what had been a good offensive stretch before a back injury -- a broken vertebrae, to be exact -- hijacked his season. He started slowly, hitting just .220 in April, but was hitting .324 with three homers and 11 RBIs in 10 May games before the back stepped in again -- breaking the same vertebrae in the same place for the second straight season -- and ended his season. He didn't need surgery and spent the rest of the year rehabbing with hopes of a 2007 return.
2006 draft recap
1. Kevin Mulvey, RHP
The Mets didn't have a first-round pick due to the signing of Billy Wagner, so Mulvey was their top pick in the second round. The Villanova product moved quickly, finishing the year in Double-A before heading to the Arizona Fall League. He only threw 15 1/3 Minor League innings, but gave up just two earned runs and 11 hits in that span. He got in 15 more innings in Arizona and should be able to pitch in the upper levels of the system for his first full season with a fastball that sits in the low-to-mid 90s.
2. Joe Smith, RHP
After posting a 0.45 ERA and 28 strikeouts (vs. just two walks) in 20 innings for Brooklyn, the Wright State product moved all the way up to Binghamton. There he appeared in 10 more games and scuffled a little more, though he still struck out nearly a batter an inning. The side-armer throws a pretty good fastball and a nasty slider.
3. John Holdzkom, RHP
Holdzkom can throw extremely hard, but he doesn't always know where it's going. That was fairly clear in his pro debut in the Gulf Coast League, where he struck out 23 and walked 20 in 23 1/3 innings. But Major-League ability runs in the family as the 6-foot-7 right-hander's brother, Lincoln, has logged some time in the bigs. Holdzkom will have to prove that some issues as an amateur -- including being academically ineligible for part of his senior year of high school and dropping out of junior college after a problem with a coach -- are things of the past.
4. Stephen Holmes, RHP
Holmes did nothing but win in Rhode Island, setting that university's record for career winning percentage and earning Atlantic 10 Pitcher of the Year and third-team All-American status in his final season. He signed and was assigned to Brooklyn but didn't end up throwing a professional inning this past summer.
5. Scott Schafer, RHP
Schafer, a Texas high-school right-hander, went in the sixth round. He didn't pitch much after signing, but did manage to get his pro debut out of the way, yielding a hit and two walks while striking out three in a two-inning stint for the GCL Mets at the end of June.
2005 draft recap
1. Mike Pelfrey, RHP
It seems the late signing didn't affect his development, did it? After not making his pro debut until Spring Training (and pitching well there), he pitched at three Minor League levels and put up a combined 2.43 ERA while striking out 109 and walking only 33 in 96 1/3 innings. He also made his big-league debut in his first pro season, making four starts for the Mets in July and August. From there, he went to the AFL for some fine-tuning, getting in four innings before being shut down with "general soreness."
2. Hector Pellot, 2B
Taken in the fourth round, Pellot didn't make his pro debut until this year after signing a 2006 contract. The second baseman played 100 games for Hagerstown and struggled in 359 at-bats, hitting just .189 and striking out 95 times while finishing the year on the DL with a sprained knee. On the plus side, he did draw 41 walks and he's only 19 years old. He headed home to Puerto Rico for some winter ball work and might have to return to Class A in 2007.
3. Drew Butera, C
The son of former big-league catcher Sal Butera, the Central Florida backstop continued to show that it'll be his defense that will carry him anywhere. he hit just .186 in 295 at-bats with Hagerstown, bringing his pro career average down to .198. He then went to Hawaii and hit .232 in 21 games there. He did make nine errors with the Suns, but also threw out 47 percent of would-be base stealers. As impressive as that is, though, he's probably going to have to swing the stick a little better to keep advancing in the system.
Monday, November 06, 2006
Collection of Mets Prospect Analysis
I've come up with a collection of recent rankings and analysis' of mets prospects(Note:They are ALL VERY RECENT)
check it out:
From a very recent top 100 list:
#12. Mike Pelfrey (23) Pitcher -- New York Mets
New York Mets (MLB) 21.1IP 2-1 5.48ERA 179K
Norfolk (AAA) 8IP 1-0 2.25ERA 6K
Binghamton (AA) 66.1IP 4-2 2.71ERA 77K
St. Lucie (High-A) 22IP 2-1 1.64ERA 26K
#37. Fernando Martinez (18) Outfield -- New York Mets
St. Lucie (High-A) 30 Games .193 5HR 11RBI
Hagerstown (Low-A) 45 Games .333 5HR 28RBI
GCL Mets (Rk) 1 Games .250 0HR 0RBI
#56. Carlos Gomez (21) Outfield -- New York Mets
Binghamton (AA) 120 Games .281 7HR 48RBI
Baseball America's rankings by position:
Center Field/Outfield
#6 Fernando Martinez
#8 Carlos Gomez
Righthanded Starters
#9 Mike Pelfrey
#11 Philip Humber
Mets top 3 prospects:
New York Mets
1. Fernando Martinez, OF: You can imagine Mets scouts in the Dominican salivating watching this highly-touted prospect named “Jesus” spray line drives from gap to gap. After dropping Jesus in favor of Fernando and signing to a $1.4 million contract in 2005, the 18-year-old (10/10/88) tore up Low-A Hagerstown before he was awarded a late-season promotion to High-A St. Lucie. His production slowed after the promotion, but he put up .279/.336/.457 combined vitals.
Paired with his comparative youth in both the leagues that Martinez played in, the 6-foot-0, 185-pound lefty was also just as productive against left-handed pitchers as he was righties, and his contact numbers were extremely impressive, as he struck out just 61 times in 315 at bats (80.6% contact). It’s hard to project when players as young as Martinez will appear at the major league level, but if he lives up to his considerable promise, the Mets may soon have another offensive messiah.
2. Mike Pelfrey, RHP: Drafted 9th overall in 2005 and given a $3.5 million signing bonus, Pelfrey, 22, has lived up to expectations. He started the season at High-A St. Lucie, before moving to AA-Binghamton, then to the big league roster, back to AAA-Norfolk, and up with the Mets again – that’s a mouthful. His combined 2006 minor league numbers include a 10.19 K/9 ratio, 1.18 WHIP, and 0.37 HR/9.
Pelfrey was disappointing in his 21.1 inning major league regular season debut (5.49 K/9 and 1.74 WHIP) but standing 6-foot-7 and owning a fastball that touches the high nineties as well as an above-average slider, quality curve, and changeup, he is almost a lock to start next season in New York, where he should make his way to the top of the rotation in the near future.
3. Phillip Humber, RHP : A 6-foot-4, 210-pound righty out of Rice University, Humber, 23, underwent Tommy John surgery in July of 2005 and suddenly looked like more of a risk than the Mets bargained for when they took him third overall in 2004.
But Humber regained his form beautifully upon his return to the mound in late-June. The Texas native went on to combine for a 9.32 K/9 ratio, 1.00 WHIP, and 0.94 HR/9 ratio with the Golf Coast League Rookie Mets (4.0 innings), High-A St. Lucie (38.0), and Double-A Binghamton (34.1). He’ll become the fixture that he was supposed to be in the Mets rotation before long.
also, Fernando Martinez was ranked best prospect in the entire NL EAST, meaning, best prospect out of the mets, marlins, braves, phillies, and nats farm systems.
Another sites top 10 prospects:
Our Top 10 Prospects
1. Delmon Young, OF (TB)
2. Alex Gordon, 3B (KC)
3. Brandon Wood, 3B (LAA)
4. Phil Hughes, SP (NYY)
5. Billy Butler, OF (KC)
6. Homer Bailey, SP (CIN)
7. Jay Bruce, OF (CIN)
8. Andrew McCutchen, OF (PIT)
9. Cameron Maybin, OF (DET)
10. Fernando Martinez, OF (NYM)
check out number 10 =)
Some more raving on Fernando Martinez:
Maybe the most impressive player so far in Arizona is Martinez, the Mets' Class A outfielder who signed last summer for $1.4 million. "It's pretty incredible at age 18 to be out here holding your own," says an American League scout. "He's a solid runner, throws pretty well, and he's going to hit. I admire this kid. . . . It's amazing considering he ought to be taking high school algebra right now, not batting practice." The same scout notes Martinez is "very respectful of older players," something that apparently has been a problem for Milledge. . .
Because of the workload in his first full season--he logged 89 innings in Class A--Guerra remained in Port St. Lucie after the season throwing bullpens, but he didn't pitch in the instructional league. Guerra already has an exceptional changeup to go along with a fastball that settles in the 88-91 mph range, and the Mets wanted him to work on his breaking pitch. Guerra then returned to his native Venezuela for some winter downtime.
"He has a good fastball, an above-average fastball, and a very good changeup," Mets special assistant Tony Bernazard said. "He's working on the other pitches. But you have to remember he's only 17 years old. Most kids at that age are juniors or seniors in high school."
Said farm director Adam Wogan: "It's a very positive sign for him that his changeup is such a strong pitch at his experience level. I think that's why he's been able to advance."
Guerra is expected to begin 2007 in the Florida State League. Mets executives rave about his maturity.
"He's a very remarkable kid," Wogan said. "I shouldn't call him a kid. I should call him a man. I think you get past the age. His performance in full-season ball stands out regardless of age."
• Outfielder Dustin Martin was off to a great start for the North Shore Honu in Hawaii Winter Baseball. The 22-year-old had six hits in his first 14 at-bats with two doubles and three walks. Martin hit .315/.399/.454 for short-season Brooklyn in 251 at-bats.
• The Mets may have gotten a steal in the 37th round of the draft in righthander Josh Stinson. The 18-year-old was 1-3, 1.79 between the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League and Hagerstown and was named the organization's player of the year for the GCL club.
~David
check it out:
From a very recent top 100 list:
#12. Mike Pelfrey (23) Pitcher -- New York Mets
New York Mets (MLB) 21.1IP 2-1 5.48ERA 179K
Norfolk (AAA) 8IP 1-0 2.25ERA 6K
Binghamton (AA) 66.1IP 4-2 2.71ERA 77K
St. Lucie (High-A) 22IP 2-1 1.64ERA 26K
#37. Fernando Martinez (18) Outfield -- New York Mets
St. Lucie (High-A) 30 Games .193 5HR 11RBI
Hagerstown (Low-A) 45 Games .333 5HR 28RBI
GCL Mets (Rk) 1 Games .250 0HR 0RBI
#56. Carlos Gomez (21) Outfield -- New York Mets
Binghamton (AA) 120 Games .281 7HR 48RBI
Baseball America's rankings by position:
Center Field/Outfield
#6 Fernando Martinez
#8 Carlos Gomez
Righthanded Starters
#9 Mike Pelfrey
#11 Philip Humber
Mets top 3 prospects:
New York Mets
1. Fernando Martinez, OF: You can imagine Mets scouts in the Dominican salivating watching this highly-touted prospect named “Jesus” spray line drives from gap to gap. After dropping Jesus in favor of Fernando and signing to a $1.4 million contract in 2005, the 18-year-old (10/10/88) tore up Low-A Hagerstown before he was awarded a late-season promotion to High-A St. Lucie. His production slowed after the promotion, but he put up .279/.336/.457 combined vitals.
Paired with his comparative youth in both the leagues that Martinez played in, the 6-foot-0, 185-pound lefty was also just as productive against left-handed pitchers as he was righties, and his contact numbers were extremely impressive, as he struck out just 61 times in 315 at bats (80.6% contact). It’s hard to project when players as young as Martinez will appear at the major league level, but if he lives up to his considerable promise, the Mets may soon have another offensive messiah.
2. Mike Pelfrey, RHP: Drafted 9th overall in 2005 and given a $3.5 million signing bonus, Pelfrey, 22, has lived up to expectations. He started the season at High-A St. Lucie, before moving to AA-Binghamton, then to the big league roster, back to AAA-Norfolk, and up with the Mets again – that’s a mouthful. His combined 2006 minor league numbers include a 10.19 K/9 ratio, 1.18 WHIP, and 0.37 HR/9.
Pelfrey was disappointing in his 21.1 inning major league regular season debut (5.49 K/9 and 1.74 WHIP) but standing 6-foot-7 and owning a fastball that touches the high nineties as well as an above-average slider, quality curve, and changeup, he is almost a lock to start next season in New York, where he should make his way to the top of the rotation in the near future.
3. Phillip Humber, RHP : A 6-foot-4, 210-pound righty out of Rice University, Humber, 23, underwent Tommy John surgery in July of 2005 and suddenly looked like more of a risk than the Mets bargained for when they took him third overall in 2004.
But Humber regained his form beautifully upon his return to the mound in late-June. The Texas native went on to combine for a 9.32 K/9 ratio, 1.00 WHIP, and 0.94 HR/9 ratio with the Golf Coast League Rookie Mets (4.0 innings), High-A St. Lucie (38.0), and Double-A Binghamton (34.1). He’ll become the fixture that he was supposed to be in the Mets rotation before long.
also, Fernando Martinez was ranked best prospect in the entire NL EAST, meaning, best prospect out of the mets, marlins, braves, phillies, and nats farm systems.
Another sites top 10 prospects:
Our Top 10 Prospects
1. Delmon Young, OF (TB)
2. Alex Gordon, 3B (KC)
3. Brandon Wood, 3B (LAA)
4. Phil Hughes, SP (NYY)
5. Billy Butler, OF (KC)
6. Homer Bailey, SP (CIN)
7. Jay Bruce, OF (CIN)
8. Andrew McCutchen, OF (PIT)
9. Cameron Maybin, OF (DET)
10. Fernando Martinez, OF (NYM)
check out number 10 =)
Some more raving on Fernando Martinez:
Maybe the most impressive player so far in Arizona is Martinez, the Mets' Class A outfielder who signed last summer for $1.4 million. "It's pretty incredible at age 18 to be out here holding your own," says an American League scout. "He's a solid runner, throws pretty well, and he's going to hit. I admire this kid. . . . It's amazing considering he ought to be taking high school algebra right now, not batting practice." The same scout notes Martinez is "very respectful of older players," something that apparently has been a problem for Milledge. . .
Because of the workload in his first full season--he logged 89 innings in Class A--Guerra remained in Port St. Lucie after the season throwing bullpens, but he didn't pitch in the instructional league. Guerra already has an exceptional changeup to go along with a fastball that settles in the 88-91 mph range, and the Mets wanted him to work on his breaking pitch. Guerra then returned to his native Venezuela for some winter downtime.
"He has a good fastball, an above-average fastball, and a very good changeup," Mets special assistant Tony Bernazard said. "He's working on the other pitches. But you have to remember he's only 17 years old. Most kids at that age are juniors or seniors in high school."
Said farm director Adam Wogan: "It's a very positive sign for him that his changeup is such a strong pitch at his experience level. I think that's why he's been able to advance."
Guerra is expected to begin 2007 in the Florida State League. Mets executives rave about his maturity.
"He's a very remarkable kid," Wogan said. "I shouldn't call him a kid. I should call him a man. I think you get past the age. His performance in full-season ball stands out regardless of age."
• Outfielder Dustin Martin was off to a great start for the North Shore Honu in Hawaii Winter Baseball. The 22-year-old had six hits in his first 14 at-bats with two doubles and three walks. Martin hit .315/.399/.454 for short-season Brooklyn in 251 at-bats.
• The Mets may have gotten a steal in the 37th round of the draft in righthander Josh Stinson. The 18-year-old was 1-3, 1.79 between the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League and Hagerstown and was named the organization's player of the year for the GCL club.
~David
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