Monday, October 22, 2007

Emmanuel Garcia

Has been just white hot in Hawaii. But really, it's been going on for alot longer then that. From June 1st to August 31st, he hit ..285/.361/.342/.703. As you can see, the only thing "holding him back" is a decided lack of power. He did not hit 1 homer in 488 ABs at St. Lucie. And struck out 103 times, a .211 strikeout rate. What's extremely impressive about him is, in 2006 between Kingsport (a ROOKIE league) and Brooklyn (short season A ball), he struck out at a .211 rate, as well. So the jump all the way to high A did not result in a higher strikeout rate. Also, this season, his BB/K ratio was 0.6116 (dividing BBs by Ks), while last year, it was 0.5926, so he actually showed an improvement in that measure of plate discipline. Again, very impressive jumping 2 leagues the way he did.

His splits in St. Lucie as far as lefty/righty show that he hit marginally better versus LHP. He hit .263/.338/.316/.654 vs LHP, with 7 2b in 133 ABs, and a 15/28 BB/K ratio (0.5357), while hitting .257/.337/.297/.635 vs RHP, with 5 2b and 5 3b in 360 ABs, and a 46/75 BB/K ratio (0.6133). While I do not have his splits during his hot streak, you can probably add 20-30 points to each category and be fairly safe, as a guesstimate.

He's 6'2/188, so there is still some room to fill out that frame and develop some power.

Oh, and in Hawaii, in 53 ABs, he's got 20 hits, a .377 average, an 8/3 BB/K ratio, a .468 OBP and .547 SLG. 5 2b and 2 3b, and 8 steals.

I'd say he's our top middle infield prospect, simply due to the fact that there is some upside here, whereas there is no upside with Anderson Hernandez.

THE FUTURE: Garcia, knowing the Mets, will be in Binghamton next season. However, I would give him 6 weeks in St. Lucie, let him really tear it apart, then promote him. It wouldn't hurt his plate discipline, either, to slow down his trek through the system. Garcia's ceiling is probably comparable to a Luis Castillo type, someone who won't hit for a whole lot (if any) power, but should hit alot of doubles (which would've been singles) and triples (which should've been doubles), and steal you quite a few bases.

9 comments:

  1. Dan Murphy is fine with me. Watched him play all season in St. Lucie. The favorite of our group of fans.

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  2. I'd like to hear more about Lucas Duda. I'd also like to hear about those Brooklyn starters, Nick Carr, Dylan Owen, and the other prospect(Gee, I think?).

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  3. What about two guys the Mets drafted thus year, Dan McDonald and Scott Moviel. I know the Mets originally drafted McDonald out of high school and he didnt sign but he played locally at Seton Hall so it might be good to get an idea of what he brings to the table.

    And i think Moviel would be good to get to know, seems like theirs a lot of upside with him considering the young Andrew Brackman comparisons

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  4. Wow. Didn't think there'd be this much interest.

    I'll speak with David, and we might unretire the Prospect of the Day feature.

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  5. How bout Hector Pellot, Devaney, Carnival (forget the name. Also can you make a top 10, 15, 20,25 or 30 prospects for this site and rank them. Also give us a feel for when you think they could end up in the majors.

    Example
    Fernando Martinez
    Carlos Gomez
    Kevin Mulvey

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  6. Carvajal was put on waivers and claimed by the Marlins. He's no longer with us (in another example of absolutely putrid roster management by the Mets this year).

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  7. first flores now carvajal these other guys better be better!!!

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  8. yeah cause marcos carvijal was a big deal pff... and can people stop getting on the Mets for Jesus Flores. He was a single A catcher that was left unprotected in the rule 5 draft because it is was unthinkable for a team to take a single A cather and jump him all the way up to the majors and keep him on the roster for the entire year. Every organization in the majors would have left him unprotected...

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  9. I think the point is - there were better people to remove from the 40 man roster in lieu of Jesus Flores (Diktor Bombrano and Jason Standridge are two that come to mind), and as for Carvajal, he's a young power arm who was misused all season as a starter in Binghamton (I crucified the Mets all season on NYFS for that). Fact is, there were better people to DFA then Carvajal. Guillerblow Blowta is the best example here, but Steve Schmoll and Jason Vargas are two others we could've DFAd.

    The Mets roster management was, to be honest, retarded this year, and it cost us a top catching prospect, and a pretty damn good high upside reliever.

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