First off, we here at MPH want to say Happy New Year to everyone. Hopefully 2007 will not only bring the Mets a World Series Championship, but also be the year the Mets farm system moves into the top 10 farm systems in the MLB, and both are very possible.
Now for the analysis:
MPH Analysis: Its a good list overall, I agree with the placing of Nando at number 1, even though he is still very raw and far away, his upside is insane, look for him to start in St. Lucie this year. The next two I also agree with, Pelfrey has higher upside, but Humber is more ready to help the Mets right NOW. Pelfrey still needs to refine his offspeed stuff, but its not like he has to get himself a new pitching repetoire. Pelfreys fastball is special, and should let him become a very very good pitcher in the Bigs. Humber looks to be more of a #2, with #1 potential in his prime. If he does in fact get the 5th spot in the rotation, look for him to put up solid numbers, a nice k/9, some control and command issues, and an era around 4.10, he should also put up nice h/9 numbers as well. These two pitchers could anchor the top of the Mets rotation for a long time. Next we have a very toolsy outfielder in Gomez. He is very raw and doesnt have much plate discipline, but his speed, defense, and overall exciting play has got many people and scouts raving about him. He also has nice power potential and should fill out as he gets older, as hes only 20. Look for him to start in New Orleans next season. Next one might be a little high, but Tejesh has been following him since we drafted him, and he absolutly loves him. Like Sickels said, he is very projectible, and a lefty, which already gives him an advantage over our other lower level pitching prospects. Hes still very young and should be starting in St Lucie this season. The next guy on the list is someone who I actually think should be number 5, but its alright. Guerra is only 17 years old and had a great year in 2006, dominating players 2-3 years older than him in A ball. He projects to be a frontline starter, and has the upside to be an Ace. He should be starting out in St. Lucie, which should make that team very fun to follow in 2007. Next up we have the Mets first overall pick in the 2006 draft, Kevin Mulvey. After he signed, he started out in AA and started 3 games and pitched to a 1.35 era. He also pitched in the AFL, and looks to project out to a #3/#4 starter in the future. Look for him to start out in Binghamton(AA) next season. Next up we have Joe Smith, a side arming reliever who moved up pretty quickly. He dominated in Brooklyn, but struggled a bit in Binghamton. He struggles against lefties, but should become a decent reliever in the future. Look for him to start out in Binghamton this year. The next guy on the list is an MPH personal favorite, and someone who should be higher on the list IMO. You should know a lot about Carp already, and if you don't, look through our archives on this site and read up on some of the Carp articles we posted. He should start the year out in Binghamton. Rounding out the top 10 is the bull, Alay Soler. I think he was pretty good in his first few starts in the MLB, but the Red Sox and Yankee games ruined him. I still think he could be a solid reliever for us, because he does have good stuff.
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