Thursday, January 04, 2007's top 100 Prospect List...

10. Mike Pelfrey (Will figure things out in big leagues and surface as an ace before long)
23. Fernando Martinez (253/.305/.379 in AFL; still a few years away, could top this list by then.)
44. Phillip Humber (Other Owl who is back on track, expect Humber to crack the Mets rotation by July)
72. Carlos Gomez (Career: .279/.337/.400; best season came in 2006: .281/.350/.423)
87. Deolis Guerra (Very impressive for his age (17); career: 89 IP 69:43 K to BB 1.25 WHIP)


MPH's take: I really doubt Pelfrey and Humber are as far apart as this list indicates. Anyone who knows me knows I rank Humber ahead of Pelfrey on any list I do. As for Nando, he's special, that's for sure. He outperformed Jose Tabata, his Yankee counterpart, but both are (barring injury) destined for stardom in the majors.

I am very surprised by the low rankings for Carlos Gomez and Deolis Guerra. And obviously, these guys don't know much about either, if all they give us in their discussion is career stats.

Carlos Gomez is a potential 5 tool talent, he's got blazing speed, great defensive skills, and can hit for average pretty well. He needs to work on plate discipline and power hitting, which should come in time.

Let's remember that you don't need to hit 20 homers to be an impact major league player. Oh, and not every prospect has to be an impact player. If someone came up and consistently hit .280 with 8 homers and 46 RBI and solid defense, that's certainly not high impact, but it is a very solid player.

Deolis Guerra is 17, as they mentioned, and should add a good bit to his 88-92 mph fastball, making it a plus plus offering (velocity/movement). While right now he's compared to Yusmiero Petit, we feel that in the future, he'll be compared more to a King Felix type. Not to mention Guerra is actually a half season ahead of Felix Hernandez in terms of player development. Felix didn't see high A until his second professional season, Deolis saw high A in his rookie campaign. Look out.

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